Top 3 NFL Player’s Performance Props You Should Bet On During 2018 NFL Season
With preseason football kicking off this week, it’s just a little a month until the regular season starts. Online betting markets are always expanding and this year is no different. SportsBetting Sportsbook and many other betting sites have now expanded their options to over/unders on player statistics, in addition to Super Bowl, divisional, and player award futures. If you want to learn more about pro football betting you should read this NFL Betting Guide.
Without further ado, here are my three favorite player performance prop bets at SportsBetting.ag
Julio Jones Over 6 Touchdowns -135
Atlanta has one of the best receivers in the league, but Jones managed to grab just three touchdowns last season. Was this due to them deciding not to target Julio Jones in the red zone?
In a word, no, in fact, Jones was targeted in the red zone more than ever last season, but Matt Ryan only connected on 1 of 18 passes in the end zone. Jones had the lowest percentage of red zone receptions in his entire career last season.
Jones is an elite talent and at worst the third best receiver in the league behind Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham. It was simply variance that he didn’t have the largest TD total of his career last season. They’re going to go right back to Jones this season in the red zone, at near the same rate, and he should easily eclipse six touchdowns.
David Johnson Under 949.5 Rushing Yards -115
I respect Johnson’s talent and realize his injury wasn’t a major one that can hamper a player’s production, such as an ACL tear, but Arizona’s situation on the offensive line is one of the worst in the league.
Generally speaking, it’s a lot more about the offensive line than it is about the talent running through it. Johnson is an elite back, but he still may not be able to run behind a terrible offensive line.
I think Johnson may end up getting a lot more of his production from receiving, rather than rushing the ball. Arizona’s receiving corps is still extremely thin behind Fitzgerald. He’ll be used heavily in that role. Of course, he will still, primarily, be a rusher, but I don’t think that’s a path to success for any running that is running behind a line that PFF projects to be a bottom-five unit.
Emmanuel Sanders Over 925.5 Receiving Yards -115
Sanders had an early ankle injury last season that bothered him all season. It’s likely he came back too quickly and couldn’t recover, but it was clear that he was not himself last season. Not only that, but the Broncos have gotten better the quarterback position.
No longer is it Trevor Siemian and Paxton Lynch behind center, but Case Keenum. Keenum isn’t likely as good as his numbers in Minnesota last season, but he’s a massive upgrade over Siemian and Lynch.
We know that training camp reports should be taken with a grain of salt, but early reports have Sanders at another gear compared to last year. He’s going to get the ball early and often with Demaryrius Thomas getting up there in age, as well.
He’s the firm deep threat on their offense and though he won’t get many red zone targets compared to Thomas – we’re betting on yards, not touchdowns. I like Sanders to easily clear 925 yards this year with the big upgrade at quarterback and his return to full health.
Joseph Falchetti is the author of the blog, most picks, and the majority of content on Safest Betting Sites. Joe has an extensive background as a writer and gambler of all types. He was a professional poker player and sports bettor for eight years until he decided to make the switch to writing gambling content after the Black Friday seizures.