– The Packers lost Davante Adams and MVS this offseason, and enter camp with no clear number 1 or 2 option. Allen Lazard will likely fill one of those roles, but the other is wide open. With the Packers packaging both of their late 2nd rd picks to move up for Watson, he should have the first crack at the role.
When you are playing with Aaron Rodgers both the number 1 and 2 WR on the Packers could have a fantasy impact. No one player will replace Adams, but with so many open targets Watson has a chance to outplay this ADP.
There is some concern about how ready Watson is, but with a strong camp he can hopefully earn the starting role. If he does his ADP will be much higher in late August. So grab some shares now to take advantage of the upside.
– Robinson was a surprise early 2nd round pick, as he profiles mainly as a gadget type player. Even worse the Giants WR depth chart is really deep, with Gollady, Toney, Shepard and maybe Slayton ahead of him. Even if one of those WRs get moved, this is still a pretty poor passing team. Let someone else hope that Robinson has enough spike potential to make this selection worth while.
– Metchie has good draft capital and is basically being given the slot role in Houston. He’s tough to get too excited about for 2022. He tore his ACL in early December and there is no clear indication when he will be back. He could miss 4-8 weeks and could take some time to get ready even when he is healthy. Even when he is fully back, he’s probably the 3rd option in this offense behind Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins. This is a pretty clear “pass” situation for me in Best Ball line-ups.
– Despite his strong draft stock, Thornton is not a guy to get really excited about in Best Ball. Even if the Patriots throw the ball more this year, Thornton is likely behind Parker, Meyers and Bourne. In addition New England utilizes their tight ends a fair amount leaving even less for extra receivers. Barring a significant change in the depth chart you can avoid Thornton.
– Pickens came into draft with some 1st round hype and major upside, and he lands with Pittsburgh. The Steelers are excellent at evaluating receivers, and they clearly wanted to improve their depth here. Dionte Johnson is their alpha receiver, but there is some question if Pickens can unseat Chase Claypool as the number 2. Even if Pickens ends up as third in the WR depth chart, he has spike week value. As a 6th-8th WR at this price he’s worth investing in.
– Pierce climbed draft boards throughout the season, and pre-draft process. He went from maybe a late round Day 3 option, to a legitimate Day 2 receiver. Pierce ended up going in the 2nd round, but hasn’t had the ADP bump you’d expect.
This is even more surprising as the opportunity here is one of the strongest there is. The Colts were a low pass volume team last season, but they are expected to increase that this season. Matt Ryan figures to be a solid upgrade over Carson Wentz.
Michael Pittman is the clear alpha in this offense, but beyond him this offense is wide open when it comes to target share. There is no real strong competition options currently on this roster in the receiver room. Pierce should easily be penciled in as the number 2 WR. With the TE role not expected to be a featured piece of the offense, there is a lot of potential here.
Pierce also profiles as a good Best Ball type of a receiver, as he’s a strong deep threat option. He will likely have some big spike weeks where he racks up big yards and 1 or 2 TDs. At this current ADP he could be a fantastic steal as your 6th or 7th receiver.
– Moore had a lot of draft buzz and was potentially considered a late 1st rounder in some circles. He’s an explosive small receiver who can play both in the slot and outside.
The Chiefs already added JuJu and MVS, but keep in mind they lost Tyreek Hill, Byron Pringle and DeMarcus Robinson. No one player will replace Hill, but Moore is the best option to be 75-80% of what Hill brought to the offense.
Moore’s ADP is a little high for a non-1st round rookie, but the upside is here for it to pay off. I wouldn’t push him much beyond this ADP, but this is a strong option as a 4th WR.
– Jones had little draft buzz as an older prospect who never really broke out in college. He was mainly thought of as a late round/special teams player. The Bears though spent a 3rd round selection on him, and added him to a WR depth chart that has zero certainty after Darnell Mooney.
The Bears offense isn’t expected to be that strong, but opportunity is here. If Jones ends up as the 2nd WR on this team he should be able to outplay his ADP pretty easily. Consider him in the final round of your Best Ball drafts.
– The Cowboys lost Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wilson this offseason opening up a starting role opposite Lamb. Michael Gallup will eventually be the number 2, but he’s expected to start the year on the PUP list.
This is an incredible opportunity for a 2nd/3rd option on the offense that scored the most points and produced the most offensive yards last season. Even when Gallup comes back, there should be a 3rd WR who is fantasy viable.
Tolbert is competing with free agent James Washington and holdover Noah Brown for this incredibly valuable role. Though its going to be an open competition, there is reason to believe that Tolbert is the favorite.
If Tolbert can earn a significant role on the Cowboys he will vastly outproduce this Best Ball ADP. Making him a player that drafters should be on now.
– Bell had some buzz after being drafted in the 3rd round as a big slot to replace Jarvis Landry. The idea was the 2nd option in this offense was pretty open, and they would be playing with DeShaun Watson. Even if he ended up as the 3rd WR, there could be value there. Now with a major suspension likely for Watson, its tough to get excited for Bell. He’s still probably viable, but I’d wait for his ADP to drop a bit before I take him.
– Gray could end up as the 49ers number 3 receiver this season after being drafted in the 3rd round. He’s a deep threat option who could pair nicely with Trey Lance’s cannon for an arm. The problem is with Samuel, Kittle and Aiyuk, it would be tough to see Gray as anything more than the 4th option on a low volume team. He’s probably best to avoid at this point, unless there are some signs this offense starts throwing considerably more.
– It’s not easy for a 4th round WR to have some fantasy buzz, but Doubs has some diamond in the rough potential here. He goes to the Packers who have perhaps the most wide open depth chart in the league.
Only Lazard and Cobb have any real experience among their holdovers. Sammy Watkins is the only notable outside free agent, and he hasn’t been fantasy relevant in a couple of years. Watson will get first crack at a starting role, but he’s a bit raw. If Doubs outplays him (or one of the other projected Packers starters), the sky is the limit here.
Playing with Aaron Rodgers offers big time fantasy upside, even if it’s just a 2nd or 3rd option. Doubs could vastly outperform his ADP in this scenario. For a final round selection Doubs should be in consideration.
– Austin is probably fighting for the number 4 WR job as a rookie, but he can play both inside and outside, and has some serious speed. Pittsburgh has done an excellent job at finding 2nd-4th rd WRs in the past so that can’t be ignored. Still it’s tough to see fantasy relevance given the talent level ahead of him. Ignore him at this time.
– Normally a 5th round pick wouldn’t even make the Best Ball radar, but Shakir had some pre-draft buzz. He played in the slot in college, but he can play outside as well. Though he might be no better than the 5th Bills WR to start the season, he is probably the top back-up outside WR for Diggs/Davis. You can probably find a better use for your final pick in Best Ball drafts. But if any injuries happen in Bills camp, put him on your radar.