Taking advantage of Undefined WR Rooms in Best Ball- AFC West
Denver Broncos- Courtland Sutton (ADP-92.6), Troy Franklin (ADP-171.9), Marvin Mims Jr. – (ADP 180.9), Josh Reynolds (ADP-215.5)
Sutton-
Sutton is dealing with some contract issues, but most likely he’s ready to roll when the season starts. He should be the clear cut number one on this team, and did great last year in Sean Payton’s offense. He will likely be working with a rookie QB, but I expect him to be the top target earner by a wide margin. I love his ADP being this low, and it makes him a really good value, even if the offense is below average.
Franklin-
It’s a bit surprising to see Franklin as the number 2 WR taken in drafts. Though at one time he had more NFL draft consideration, he did slide to the 4th round, which is 2 rounds lower than Mims. Franklin did work with Bo Nix in college so that is a help, but it’s far from a guarantee that he’s the number 2 on the team.
It’s a lower ADP, but it’s hard to get excited about him over Mims and even Reynolds.
Mims Jr.-
Mims showed some big play ability in limited chances last season, and he should have more of an opportunity this year with Jeudy gone from the team. He still feels more like a longterm project, but he does offer some real spike week upside. Since the investment is low, he’s not a bad target as your 6th or 7th WR.
Reynolds-
Reynolds signed a solid 2 year Free agent deal with the Broncos this offseason. Though more people are excited about Franklin and Mims, it still could be Reynolds as Denvers 2nd leading receiver. You can get him in the last round, and he probably won’t be more than 50% drafted in a tournament.
Advice-
Figuring out Denver’s WR room past Sutton is one of the more difficult things out there right now. With no real threat at TE, it’s pretty likely that a 2nd WR is a decent fantasy asset this year. There are outcomes where Franklin/Mims and Reynolds just all limit one another, but probably one of them ends up fairly outperforming their ADP. Mims offers probably the best spike week, while Reynolds has the most certainty and best floor.
LA Chargers- Ladd McConkey (ADP-70.8), Joshua Palmer (ADP-102.3), Quentin Johnston (ADP-151.3), DJ Chark Jr. (ADP-210.3)
McConkey-
The Chargers offense might be new look, and will probably pass a little less, but that doesn’t mean we don’t want their top receiver. This ADP is wild to me as you can get Justin Herbert‘s likely top weapon at 70? Sign me up. There isn’t a TE or pass catching back that is expected to take on a larger role either.
McConkey was clearly a priority pick for the Chargers, and he could be a poor-mans Keenan Allen. That would of course make him just one of the absolute steals of fantasy drafts this season. He’s an excellent route runner, and should quickly become the top target leader for the team. It’s not a lock that he’s WR1, but even if he’s WR2 he’s returning value here.
Palmer-
Palmer is the veteran of this unit and to be fair he has shown some promise when he’s been on the field. The Chargers felt confident enough in him to let both Allen and Williams walk away.
I love the value you are getting here with Palmer as he can still be the top WR on the team, or a very good number 2 attached to a great QB. While McConkey is likely to lead in catches and probably yards, Palmer might have a little more TD value.
Johnston-
Johnston was massively disappointing as a rookie, and it will be interesting to see if there is any change in year two. He had plenty of opportunity with injuries to the top 3 WRs, but he couldn’t find a role. Now the door is open, but I’m still pretty cautious that he can be worth a pick in best ball. I’m really only taking him in some Herbert builds, but he’s not a priority.
Chark Jr.-
Not a big fan as Chark has continued to disappoint in recent years, and most likely he’s competing with Johnston for a singular role. If Johnston wins it, Chark is totally buried, but if Chark “wins” it, Johnston could still eat into the role given his first-round pick status. I’m only taking Chark in some Herbert builds.
EDITORS NOTE: Reports are Chark is penciled to be the starter. More interest in Herbert stacks or late pick.
Advice-
The concerns about this being a lower-volume passing offense are way overblown. You are getting the top two WRs at 70 and 102? That is crazy to me and I want to scoop all of that value. Especially since there isn’t a TE or RB that scares us. The 49ers and Ravens are both great low-volume passing offenses, and their top 2 passing options are going in the top 20 and top 50 respectively.
Kansas City Chiefs- Hollywood Brown (ADP-51.9), Rashee Rice (ADP-63.7), Xavier Worthy (ADP-63.9), Justin Watson (ADP-215.9)
Brown-
Brown was the Chiefs’ big free agent signing, and he is going as KC’s top WR this year, but this number is low. Yes, there is some uncertainty of how the targets will align behind Travis Kelce, but the Chiefs should be one of the highest passing teams in the NFL, and historically have one of the highest TD rates.
Even in outcomes where Brown isn’t the lead receiver he should pay off this ADP pretty easily. If he is the clear cut top WR on the team, he can blow the doors off his WR32 ranking. He has top 15 upside.
Rice-
Rice was the Chief’s best WR last year, but he now faces more competition and a multitude of offseason legal issues. For some reason his ADP has climbed back up some of late and this feels like a mistake. He will probably be suspended for 3-6 games, and even when he’s on the field he might be no more than the Chiefs 4th target option. It’s hard to see him being able to exceed Brown’s production on the team.
Worthy-
Worthy is very much a wild card, he has dynamic speed and can be a threat to defenses similar to Tyreek Hill. He is still a work in progress, and the Chiefs may bring him along slowly, especially early in the year. Most likely I’d project him to be a spike week guy, who is the team’s third target option behind Kelce and Brown.
Is there a chance that he’s dominate enough to explode in this offense? Yes! That is why he does deserve his ADP range, and he could exceed his value.
Watson-
Justin Watson is likely now buried on the Chiefs depth chart. I would still consider him some in late Mahomes stacks, given his deep threat/spike week upside. Particularly in scenarios where Rice sees a longer suspension, and/0r Worthy takes more time to fully develop. Overall though, expectations should be very muted.
Advice-
I’m not taking much Rice or even Watson, but I want all the Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy that I can get. You aren’t paying a premium and it’s likely that one or both greatly exceed this value with Mahomes. Rice feels like a trap, as both the suspension and competition aren’t baked in yet.
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