Week 10 Underdog Pickems of the Week

Fantasy Football Fantasy Football Projections

Here are my favorite NFL Week 10 Underdog Pick’ems for you all to follow! If you are new to Underdog Fantasy, sign up here and be sure to use code FANSPEAK for 100% deposit match up to $100! Double your money to play more Pick’ems! Now let’s get to why I like these Week 10 picks.

QB Daniel Jones – Lower than 186.5 passing yards

Jones has topped this number 4 times this season, but he’s never been higher than 217 passing yards in a game, so this is a very fair number. In the games where Jones has gone over this amount, typically the Giants have been behind or in a real back-and-forth game. This match-up against the Texans feels like a game where New York should be comfortably ahead. The Texans are also horrendous versus the run, which is what the Giants want to be doing. If they aren’t getting in a lot of 2nd and 3rd and long situations, it seems unlikely that Jones will need to pass as much. Given the lack of big-play weapons in the Giants’ passing game, it’s tough for Jones to rack up yardage on limited attempts.

QB Sam Ehlinger – Lower than 188.5 passing yards

Ehlinger now has two starts with 201 passing yards on 23 attempts and 103 yards on 29. In this past game the Colts were down considerably the whole game and were without their star running back Jonathan Taylor, and yet they only managed 29 passing attempts. Gone is the offensive coordinator and Head coach that believed in Ehlinger and worked with him throughout camp and the season. Now the reports are that Matt Ryan will be active and that the best QB will play. If Ehlinger struggles again, it would not be surprising to see Ryan reclaim the job. Given the inexperience, in the coaching staff, it would even make more sense to utilize the veteran QB over Ehlinger. I think there is a real chance that he ends up getting benched in this game. Even if somehow he does play the whole game, with Jonathan Taylor back it would make sense for the Colts to rely more on their star back.

RB Nick Chubb – Higher than 91.5 rushing and receiving yards

Chubb has beaten this line in 5 of 8 games on rushing alone, and in another two games by combining his receiving numbers. The only game where Chubb failed to get to 92 combined yards was in a blowout loss against the Patriots. Chubb played his lowest snap share of the season in that game, as the Browns were in a trailing game script for the 2nd half. Chubb is averaging 105 rushing yards alone a game making this line very soft. The Dolphins do have a high-powered offense that could take the Browns out of the game, but they have a weak defense. Cleveland should be able to move the ball and stay close enough for Chubb to get enough carries and targets to be over this number.

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