Draftkings Week 14 DFS Small Tournament Plays
-If there is a game that could be a shootout that could outscore the Tampa game, it’s Washington vs Dallas. Prescott has been a bit inconsistent since coming back from the injury, but his match-up this week is incredible. Washington has given up so many big plays in the passing game, and they are missing their top 3 edge rushers now. Prescott has the potential to put up huge numbers with all his weapons healthy.
-Brady continues to show that he is playing at a MVP level. People may be scared off a bit by the Bills defensive rankings, but they are missing multiple key players. This is the highest total game on the slate and there is no need to overthink things.
-Allen is likely to be the 2nd highest owned QB this week, but he also probably has the highest upside. The Bills figure to really try to push the ball through the air this week, and Buffalo needs Allen to start doing more with his legs as well. While he’s not as safe as a couple other QBs, he has 35-40 point upside.
-Wilson has looked better the past couple weeks and faces a horrid Texans defense. With their issues running the football, I’d expect Wilson to be involved early in this game. There is a concern that he might not need to do much in the 2nd half, and could miss the 300 yard bonus. Despite those concerns, I think we’ve seen Wilson able to succeed on efficiency in the past. This could be a lower scoring QB week as well, which helps.
-Kamara’s ownership could be held down due to Taysom Hill. This too me is a major mistake, as Kamara is the best RB play on the slate. With Ingram out, this should be Kamara’s backfield and I’d expect him to see a decent target share as well. There is a concern that Taysom Hill won’t throw to him, but Kamara is there best weapon by far. They need to put the ball in his hands as much as possible. The Jets are also awful versus opposing running backs and Kamara’s break-away ability should be a major headache for them.
-It’s tough to invest in the Falcons offense, but Patterson is the one guy that it makes sense. He’s highly involved in both the run and passing game, giving him a very strong floor. If he gets in the end zone once or twice, he ends up with 25-30 points. At low ownership and a reasonable price he’s worth taking a shot on.
-Williams is still seeing decent ownership with Melvin Gordon likely to play, but honestly he should be owned more. The Broncos should absolutely dominate this game, and their total rush attempts should spike. Even if Gordon re-takes a significant role, Williams can absolutely hit value at his price.
-Everyone is going to play Jeff Wilson Jr. in this game, making Hasty an intriguing Draftkings pivot. Wilson is dealing with a multitude of injuries, and might not have the full role that people are expecting. Hasty should also handle the passing role out of the backfield. If he ends up still some carries to go along with 5-7 targets he could be a nice cheap low owned play. I wouldn’t expect 20 DK points In smaller field stuff, his savings though could be what you need.
-Evans could see half the ownership of Chris Godwin, despite the fact that the Bills are without their shutdown outside corner. Evans is going to match-up versus a couple younger guys, who could be in way over their head. If this game goes back-and-forth, I’d look for Evans to have a monster game.
-Diggs will see decent ownership, but it seems way too low for the top Bills receiver in this match-up. Diggs only has one 30 point game this year, but this sets up as a major shootout. Diggs is still seeing a good amount of targets and a solid TD market. While he hasn’t smashed much this season, he’s been very close this year. It doesn’t take much more from his baseline to get the big week you are looking for.
-It’s really surprising to see pretty low ownership for these two Cowboys receivers. Cooper seems fully back from his bout with Covid after a longer week. While he’s been boom/bust this year, this sets up as a “boom” week. Washington’s secondary is bad and they are missing all their edge rushers. Lamb’s low ownership projection is even more shocking, but I think with tight pricing this week he is falling through the cracks. Lamb sets up extremely well in this match-up and could put up a monster week. I am planning on a high ownership stand on Lamb for this game.
-Washington has clearly tried to focus on the run and controlling the clock since the bye week. In the four games since the bye, McLaurin hasn’t seen more than 8 targets so this is a risky play. Why it makes sense though, is because this game has sneaky shootout potential. McLaurin could see a bump back into the 10-12 target range and could have a big 25-30 point game at almost no ownership.
-Boyd is a good price, has a strong target share and plays in one of the higher total games on the slate. Despite all of that, his ownership figures to be in the low single digits. I understand he has yet to crack 20 DK points, but he is getting 6-10 targets most weeks and plays in a strong offense.
-While there are plenty of pay down option, Kelce is in such a great spot this week versus a Raiders team that has been crushed by TEs this year. Last week George Kittle was the TE you needed in your line-up, and this week it could be Kelce. He’s expensive, but he could be well worth it.
-After Moreau burned a lot of people last week his ownership will be non-existent this game. The Chiefs are heavily favored and should jump out to a big league. This will keep Carr throwing, potentially opening up more targets for Moreau.
-Since Wilson has come back, Everett has been highly involved in the offense. He fumbled twice last week, which almost cost Seattle the game, so he might be in the dog house. If he’s still involved you have to love him in this spot versus the Texans.
-It’s tough to get excited about any Giants player, but with all their receivers out Engram is in a good spot from a usage stand point. At his price he can still be a solid piece in your line-up if he gets 10 DK points. That is a mark he’s hit in 4 of the last 6 weeks.
-This is a projected low scoring game, but the Ravens pass defense has been getting worse and worse this season. At the same time, the Browns other two tight ends are both out this game meaning Hooper will play every snap. He’s not going to put up a huge target number, but if he catches 5 for 50 and a TD you will be quick happy.