Infographic: How Many Upsets Will There Be in Round 1 of NCAA Tournament?

March 13, 2013 in NCAA Tournament

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Right now, many basketball fans across the country are filling out their brackets. So Fanspeak is offering Bracketology 101 in the form of an interesting Infographic!  This shows how many upsets occur for the #2 through #6 seeds over the last 28 years in Round 1. Why 28 years? That's how long the 64 team format has been in place.

This Infographic also shows how many "upsets" have occurred EACH year in the first round. So as you can see, some years there has only been 1 upset, and some years there has been as many as 7 upsets, like last year in 2012.

There has never been a #1 seed team upset in the first round, so we didn't include the #1 seed. And we really don't consider a #9 seed defeating a #8 seed, or even a #10 seed beating a #7 seed an "upset". So that's why the data is the last 28 years for #2 through #6 seeds.

 

To embed this infographic on your website, use the following code:

<a href="http://fanspeak.com/ncaab/2013/03/13/infographic-how-many-upsets-will-there-be-in-round-1-of-ncaa-tournament/"><img title="How Many Upsets Will There Be in Round 1 of NCAA Tournament? From Fanspeak.com" alt="How Many Upsets Will There Be in Round 1 of NCAA Tournament? From Fanspeak.com" src="http://fanspeak.com/images/fanspeak-tournament-upsets-infographic.jpg" /></a><br /><div style="width:601px; padding: 10px;"><a href="http://fanspeak.com/ncaab/2013/03/13/infographic-how-many-upsets-will-there-be-in-round-1-of-ncaa-tournament/">How Many Upsets Will There Be in Round 1 of NCAA Tournament? From Fanspeak.com</a></div>

 

CONCLUSION:

As you can see, in 28 years there has been 122 "upsets" in the first round. This means the AVERAGE "upsets" in Round 1 is 21.78%.

This is important to keep in mind as you sports fans and gamblers out there pick your brackets. Because if you get a lot wrong in Round 1, you're setting yourself up for failure the rest of the way!  So use this Infographic as a guide and play the percentages when you decide which high seeds are getting upset this year and how many upsets there will be in 2013.

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Also, check out Fanspeak's NCAA Blog for Tournament Coverage!  And listen to the Fanspeak Radio Network THIS Tuesday @ 8 p.m. to break down the brackets!

 

 


4 responses to Infographic: How Many Upsets Will There Be in Round 1 of NCAA Tournament?

  1. Great, just one more thing to think about! haha. I'm not sure of the volume of upsets, but I definitely think there will be a big one this year.

  2. So you're saying you don't consider a 10 over a 7 an upset? Granted, they're closer together than the others, but an upset is an upset, I would say. Or would the sheer number of 10 over 7 upsets not make your graphic look as pretty?

  3. Bd said on March 19, 2013

    It's because the NCAA long ago set their standard for a Tournament upset as "a seed losing to a team seeded 5+ seeds below them". Hence no 9-8 or 10-7 "upsets"