The NBA Playoffs have been a bit frustrating from a prop betting perspective this year. Why? Blowouts. Every day there is a game where either one or both teams simply do not show up. In almost all the playoff games in May, there has been at least one, if not two blowouts each day. The most surprising blowout would have to be Wednesday’s upset of the Warriors by the Grizzlies without Ja Morant. The final score was 134-95, but the game was pretty much over by halftime.
Over course blowouts make it more difficult to hit the Overs on prop bets. After a huge Grizzlies win at home, I’m not confident they can string together back to back upsets or even keep this game close.
So here are some prop Unders I am interested in for tonight’s game. Prop lines are per FanDuel Sportsbook.
-Dillon Brooks – Under 18.5 points:
Brooks has struggled shooting recently and hasn’t come close to this line all series. I’m sticking with the under here, especially if the game gets out of hand.
-Klay Thompson – Under 21.5 points:
While Thompson can get hot any moment, he has not hit this prop line in the last 6 games.
-Draymond Green – Under 7.5 points:
Green also has not hit this prop line in awhile, as he’s gone under 7 points for five games in a row. Plus, he can always get into foul trouble or get ejected running his mouth. So you can play that angle too.
-Steph Curry – Under 5.5 rebounds:
As you know if you read this article, I like to use Brian Matthew’s Prop Consistency Sheet on Oddschecker. It highlights the players that have hit their props in the last 7 of 10 games. Since more unders have been hitting, he highlighted some unders too. Curry has under 5.5 rebounds in 8 of 10 games.
-Jaren Jackson Jr. – Under 6.5 rebounds:
This one is risky. Jackson Jr. either blows out his line and grabs 10+ rebounds or falls just short. But he’s fallen short of this line 4 of the last 8 games.