Week 7 Underdog Pick’em’s of the week
Here are my favorite NFL Week 7 Underdog Pick’ems for you all to follow! If you are new to Underdog Fantasy, sign up here and be sure to use code FANSPEAK for 100% deposit match up to $100! Double your money to play more Pick’ems! Now let’s get to why I like these Week 7 picks.
Lamar Jackson – Above 214.5 passing yards
This might seem risky a bit since Jackson has only topped this line twice this season, and one of those was 218 passing yards. The Ravens’ offense has struggled the past few weeks, but this seems like a get-right game for Jackson and Baltimore. The Browns’ defense has been really bad this season and has given up 6.8 yards per attempt (25th worst in the league). What’s even worse is with the exception of Justin Herbert the other QBs they’ve played are all highly questionable (Baker Mayfield, Joe Flacco, Mitch Trubisky, Marcus Mariota, and Bailey Zappe). Jackson is going to be a far different quality of QB, and I see him blowing past this number.
Marcus Mariota – Below 187.5 passing yards
It seems scary to pick on a QB having under 188 passing yards, but in this case, I feel pretty good about it. Mariota has topped this number 3 times this season, but it was the first 3 games of the season and he topped it with 215, 196, and 226. So he barely managed to be above this number. The Falcons even in some of their better games are going to be very run-focused, and they are happy to not force the ball in the air. The Bengals have had a good defense this year, making Mariota’s job even tougher.
Daniel Jones – Lower 198.5 passing yards
Another lower passing yards pick and this one I feel even better about. Jones has only topped this number 1 time this season, with a 217 number. The Giants lack receiving weapons and are going to do everything in their power to keep the ball on the ground. The match-up vs Jacksonville typically favors passing attacks, but the Giants simply aren’t a team to take advantage of that. Barring a few broken plays, it’s unlikely Jones will get there on is 25-30 pass attempts.
Aaron Jones – Higher than 13.05 fantasy points
Jones has only topped this number twice this season, but I love this match-up vs a bad Commanders defense. Washington is allowing 4.6 yards per carry, and in general is a very weak defense. Jones is the Packers top skill position player, and someone who the Packers are trying to get more-and-more involved. Jones could get there with just combined yards and a few catches, but he also is due some positive TD regression. Jones has 85 combined touches and just 2 TDs on the season. That kind of usage is going to start paying off, and this match-up is strong for him.