NFL Week 3 Underdog Pick’ems
Here are my favorite NFL Week 3 Underdog Pick’ems for you all to follow! If you are new to Underdog Fantasy, sign up here and be sure to use code FANSPEAK for 100% deposit match up to $100! Double your money to play more Pick’ems! Now let’s get to why I like these Week 3 picks.
Michael Carter – Lower than 40.5 rushing yards
Carter is seeing the most snaps among the Jets running backs, but a lot of that is his work in the passing game. Carter did top this line in week 1, but last week on 7 carries he fell far short with 23 yards. Breece Hall is getting half the carries, and going forward he could take on a larger rushing role. This is also another game where the Bengals could be up meaning the Jets won’t be running the ball enough to challenge this total. As long as Carter doesn’t break off a big run, this feels pretty safe.
Tua Tagovailoa – Higher than 259.5 passing yards
Tua has already topped this line in both of the first two weeks of the season, and he faces a match-up versus the Bills that could be a high-scoring game. The Dolphins likely only have a chance to win this game if Tua throws for 300+, so I love a line at 260. With playmakers like Waddle and Hill, Miami could have a lot of big chunk plays. Even if somehow Miami doesn’t need to throw the ball 35+ times, he can still hit this line. Though Bill’s defense is still a concern, they will be missing multiple key starters, making this pick even a little safer.
A.J. Brown – Higher than 5 receptions
Brown is the Eagles’ number 1 option at receiver as he caught 10 of 13 targets in week 1 and 5 of 8 targets in week 2. He faces a Commanders’ secondary that has been picked apart by other top receivers in one of the highest projected totals on the week. Even when Hurts doesn’t need to throw the ball a ton, Brown should still see 8-10 targets, and this could be a game where Washington’s offense forces the Eagles to keep throwing.
D.K. Metcalf – Lower than 54.5 receiving yards
Through two games Metcalf has 36 and 35 yards on 7 and 6 targets respectively. So far they are doing a lot of safe throws with Geno and aren’t attempting passes downfield. With the Seahawks under 200 passing yards in each of the first two games, it’s tough to get excited about Metcalf cracking this line. The Falcons have some good young corners as well that could force a risk-averse Geno to dump it off more as well.
Darnell Mooney – Lower than 45.5 receiving yards
Mooney came into the season as Justin Fields’ top target, but he has just 2 catches on 5 targets for 4 total yards. I know there are excuses for the rain-soaked week 1, and that they will get on the same page, but I’m going against the Bears’ offense this week. Justin Fields hasn’t looked good as he has just 191 total passing yards so far, and the Bears have only attempted 28 passes. Even last week when they were down for most of the game, they didn’t try to throw the ball more. Something is wrong with this offense, and Houston’s defense has played pretty well so far this season. One deep pass could wreck this pick, but Mooney likely has another poor fantasy showing.