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by Steve Shoup

5 Other Offensive Players to Watch For this Season:

May 17, 2013 in Redskins Personnel

Though Leonard Hankerson may rank as the Redskins top offensive sleeper this year, there are plenty of other guys to watch for this season. Here are 5 other offensive players who could considered a bit of a "sleeper".

OT Maurice Hurt:

-Hurt began camp last year as the Redskins 3rd or 4th string right tackle, depending on if you considered Jammal Brown to be in the mix. Though he was a longshot then to make much of an impact the idea was that it might be the better long term position for him. Unfortunately for Hurt his transition to right tackle and any shot of earning a starting job went out the window when Kory Lichtensteiger suffered a set back at the beginning of camp and it became unclear if he could start the season. Rookie 3rd rounder Josh LeRibeus was too raw for the team to trust, so they had Hurt playing guard. Hurt got the chance to start at RT late in the year when Tyler Polumbus was out with an injury and top back-up Jordan Black was suspended. Hurt handled himself fairly well that game, and gave at least a little promise that he had some potential at the position. Though he's still a longshot for the starting job, Hurt could put himself a good position to win it at somepoint if he has a strong camp.

WR Aldrick Robinson:

-Robinson got a little bit of playing time last year and proved himself to be a pretty decent deep threat. While there are questions about what he can do with some of the more intermediate routes, Robinson showed good promise in preseason last year working with the back-ups. He also suffered a setback last year after his pre-game collision with Brandon Meriweather, so his health should be better as well. While he's not really in consideration for a starting role, he could earn himself a greater percentage of snaps and targets if he plays with more consistency.

RB Roy Helu Jr.:

-Helu did have an impressive string of games as a starter his rookie year before he got injured, but last year couldn't stay healthy and the team is unsure what to make of him for this year. If he is healthy though Helu could have a big year as the change of pace back for the Redskins. With Robert Griffin III limited in his running ability this year, there should be more carries for the running backs to split. Helu can be more of an edge back, and receiver out of the backfield, two areas where Alfred Morris doesn't excel at. In fact this could end up being Helu's best role going forward. In 2011, some of Helu's best work was actually when he was not the starter. Though he did manage some nice 20+ carry, games he is probably better suited for 5-10 carries and 3-5 targets a game.

TE Niles Paul:

-Paul is a guy that Redskins fans love to hate, despite the fact that he clearly showed himself to be a stud special teamer and a solid blocker. Yes it is understandable to be frustrated with his drops, but that is hardly an isolated thing on the Redskins. Pierre Garcon, Santana Moss and Joshua Morgan all are known droppers and they get paid quite a bit more than Paul. Also, while it's of course unlikely that he will every come close to Shannon Sharpe's level of play, Paul actually produced him in his first year converting to TE, than what Sharpe did his first season making the same conversion. Also, despite the fact that it was Paul's 2nd year (his first as a TE), it's important to remember that Fred Davis had all of 3 catches for 27 yards his rookie year, numbers Paul trounced with his 8 for 152 and a TD. Davis was also a top 50 pick, that offered zero special teams or blocking value.

OT Tom Compton:

-Compton was the Redskins 6th round pick last year, and was seen of a smaller school guy with a little promise. It quickly became clear that he was on the outside looking in last year as he wasn't even given a shot at the RT job, despite the fact that Brown was out injured and Hurt was moved back to guard. Compton didn't make the team, but he was given a shot on the practice squad. The Redskins liked what they saw there, and to protect him they called him up to the active roster. It's unclear how much he's developed, but unlike most of the other options at RT he's got some potential and is under team control for 3 more years. If he were able to emerge as a viable RT option it would be a huge win for the Redskins.

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by Steve Shoup

Top Sleeper On Offense:

May 15, 2013 in Redskins Personnel

Given the Redskins lack of money for free agents and not having a first round pick this year any improvements they are to make this season will have to come from players developing. Here is my top sleep on offense, who could improve this year to become a bigger factor on the Redskins offense. Though he has gotten a shot before, this player is relatively unheralded, especially in terms of being a productive member of the Redskins.

 WR Leonard Hankerson:

-Now Hankerson is a guy who many fans are ready to write off after just two seasons, but that is just way too premature. For one thing, Hankerson hasn't had close to two full seasons. His rookie year he was without the Rookie Camp, mini-camp and OTA's that rookies typically have. That set him back to start training camp and the season, meaning he had further fewer reps. Then he suffered a hip injury that kept him out of the 2nd half of the year, while also eating in to some more offseason activities. The other thing to consider is that receivers typically take 2-3 years to develop. In fact you can make the case that Hankerson had a better 2nd year, than Santana Moss, Josh Morgan and Pierre Garcon. Now it is debatable with Garcon since he had more yards, and yards per catch, but he caught a lower percentage of his targets and had more drops. The point is all three of these receivers saw very little production in their first two years, and that was without any injury or lockout to take into consideration.

Hankerson last year really didn't have as bad of a season as people want to make it out to be. His drop percentage was lower than Garcon, Morgan and Moss and his numbers are comparable to anyone. In fact comparing him to the Redskins premier receiver Pierre Garcon, who on average makes 12.5 times as much as Hankerson a year (based solely on their average salaries, not year to year), I think shows just what Hankerson can do.

Hank: 38 receptions | 57 targets | 66.6% completion% | 543 yards | 14.3 ypc | 3 TD | 7.89% TD % | 8- 20 yard+ catches | 157 YAC | 25 1st Downs

Garcon: 44 receptions | 67 targets | 65.7% completion | 633 yards | 14.4 ypc | 4 TD | 9.09% TD% | 10 -20 yard+ catches | 325 YAC | 26 1st Downs

Now I don't think anyone questions that Garcon is the better receiver, but is Hankerson that bad? If Hankerson would have had the same number of targets he'd be expected to put up essentially the exact same numbers (if not slightly better). The only area that Garcon has a real demonstrative advantage is yards after the catch, which is nice, but only means that Hankerson was a more effective target down the field, since their ypc's are basically the same. Another thing to take in consideration is the fact that Garcon's completion %, is actually more inflated due to the 16 catches he had behind the line of scrimmage (which also boosted his YAC). Hankerson only had four such catches (though was no where near effective with them).

Again Hankerson isn't Garcon, as they are different type of receivers, but the reality is most Redskins fans should be happy with where Hankerson is right now. Sure it would be nice if he had already taken his game to the next level, but given the injury and lockout factors he seems to be well on pace for where he should be in his career. This year he should push Josh Morgan for that Y receiver position, and get his fair share of playing time. Now he likely won't come anywhere close to 1,000 yards or big touchdown numbers, given that the Redskins still figure to be a run first team and will spread the ball around. What we should see though is further improvement as he looks to start opposite Garcon in 2014, when both Moss and Morgan are free agents.

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by Steve Shoup

Three Ways To Improve The Redskins Pass Rush:

May 14, 2013 in Washington Redskins

1. Ensure that Brian Orakpo, Ryan Kerrigan, Stephen Bowen and Barry Cofield are on the field as much as possible against the pass:

-Now this is not saying to overplay these guys, as I firmly believe that they need some plays off to stay fresh (and that includes Ryan Kerrigan). What this is saying though is that when possible sub them out on rushing downs, or earlier in the game, so that later in the game when the opposing team needs to pass they will be more fresh. Also, don't sub out more than one of these guys at a time, losing one of their pass rushing abilities would make it hard enough to get after the quarterback, having two or three of them on the sideline would make for a nice clean pocket for the opposing quarterback.

2. Don't be afraid to blitz, particularly with ILB's and DB's:

-The Redskins defense was more effective last year when they would allow for some cornerback, safety or inside linebacker blitzes. Yes it can be a risk with a team that struggles in coverage, but when you struggle in coverage the only real remedy is a pass rush to force the throw. The secondary can't be asked to cover 3, 4 or even 5 seconds. If they have to do that they will lose. bringing a free rusher will help ensure the ball is coming out sooner which also increases the chances for mistakes. The one thing the Redskins secondary does do well is make quarterbacks pay for their mistakes. Guys like DeAngelo Hall, Brandon Meriweather, Phillip Thomas, David Amerson, and Bacarri Rambo, can have some positive value if the quarterback is under fire. The Redskins should look to mix up who and from where people are blitzing, but do it a fair amount each game. Now this doesn't mean the Redskins should run the dreaded "zero blitz" every single time (though they shouldn't be opposed to do it some). But it would be nice to see 5 rushers on most downs and six on a fair number of plays.

3. Get creative with your personnel packages and play calls:

-One thing that has held the Redskins back in recent years is the amount of plays that either Brian Orakpo or Ryan Kerrigan is in coverage. These are your two best rushers by far and yet too often one is trying to cover some running back or tight end (and typically not doing a good job). Both Orakpo and Kerrigan need to rush the quarterback together as much as possible. That is when other rushers will get free because offenses have to worry too much about these guys. Now if this means being in more of a sub package set, with just two down lineman, then so be it.

Another creative thing the Redskins should look into, is finding a way to get another pass rusher on the field, especially in key passing situations. Typically the Redskins nickel package will consist of two defensive linemen (likely Bowen and Cofield), Orakpo, and Kerrigan rushing the passer. With five defensive backs and both inside linebackers on the field as well. While it is good to blitz the slot corner or one of the inside linebackers in that situation, I'd like the Redskins to try to add another natural pass rusher on the field at times. Instead of having both Riley and Fletcher on the field, I'd sub out one (likely Fletcher) and bring in a natural pass rusher like rookie Brandon Jenkins. In that case you would probably have Jenkins rush from one of the edges, and have either Orakpo or Kerrigan stand up and rush from either the edge, or from more of an inside position. This would allow you to get extra creative and even have Orakpo and Kerrigan rush from the same side together at times, which could be a nightmare for opposing offenses.

What do you think? How can the Redskins maximize their pass rush?

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by Steve Shoup

Which Rookie Should Have the Best Season?

May 13, 2013 in Uncategorized, Washington Redskins Draft

Typically a question like this is kind of a formality as it is typically the teams' first round pick, and if it's not him or like the Redskins the team doesn't have a first round pick then it is the 2nd rounder. I don't think the answer is that simple for the Redskins this year. Not only do the lack the first rounder, but they took high risk/high reward picks. So everyone could make a case for having a stellar season or a disappointing one.

2nd Round CB David Amerson:

Why it could be him: Amerson was a ball hawk at the college level, leading the NCAA in interceptions his sophomore year. He's the type of guy who is capable of coming up with multiple big game defining plays over the course of the season. Amerson is also a corner who is adept at getting big returns after interceptions and could add a defensive touchdown or two, to his stat line.

Why it won't be him: Amerson is a feast of famine type of cornerback, and too often this past year it was famine. As much as he's capable of making game defining plays, he's just as likely to give up game defining plays. It's an inconsistency in this game that could lead the team to decide that he's best served as a reserve behind DeAngelo Hall, Josh Wilson and E.J. Biggers this season while he develops. He very well might not even see the field enough to warrant consideration of the best rookie season.

3rd Round TE Jordan Reed:

Why it could be him: Reed has a lot of potential in that joker tight end role and could be a weapon that creates major match-up problems for opposing defenses. He could quickly become the Redskins number two target behind Pierre Garcon, especially if Fred Davis doesn't recover well from the injury. Reed could also be a big Red Zone weapon, not just with his receiving skills, but some trick plays involving his rushing could be in the works as well.

Why it won't be him: Reed has a lot of promise, but he's pretty raw overall, given that he started his career at Florida as a quarterback and dealt with some injury issues slowing his development in college. If Fred Davis is healthy it will make it hard for Reed to make an impact. Also, the Redskins have never really been a team to involve two tight ends in the passing game at the same time, so if Davis is the number one, there will be few targets for the rest of the TE's. Finally, the Redskins are a run first team, and Reed's lack of blocking ability could make him a liability if he's out there too often.

NFC EAST OFFSEASON UPDATE

 

4th Round S Phillip Thomas:

Why it could be him: Thomas has a really good chance to start next season, something that isn't as clear with the two rookies ahead of him, or any of the players picked behind him. Thomas is a ballhawking safety so he definitely could come up with his fair share of turnovers next year. Thomas has also shown himself to be a quality blitzer so he could add some sacks next season as well.

Why it won't be him: Though he has the potential to do it, Thomas is probably miscast if he's forced to play free safety next year. While he may still be the Redskins best option in that role, he will probably more likely suffer growing pains in that position.

5th Round RB Chris Thompson:

Why it could be him: Thompson has game breaking speed and could have a major situational role on the offense, both as a runner and receiver. Though his touches won't be starting level, he could come up with some big gains and huge game deciding plays. Thompson also could potentially be used as a weapon in the return game as well.

Why it won't be him: Thompson is coming off back-to-back injury shortened years, including an ACL injury this past year. Though some can return at 100% after an ACL, 9-10 months after the injury, the majority of guys still struggle that first year back. Especially in the case of a guy like Thompson who's entire game revolves around speed and lateral quickness. At the very least Thompson will be behind due to missing all the offseason work leading up to training camp (and he might miss some time there as well). It's also unlikely that he'll be able to take over return duties since he doesn't have collegiate experience and likely won't have the time to work on it this offseason.

5th Round OLB Brandon Jenkins:

Why it could be him: Jenkins would have been a lock for the top 50 picks and likely a first round pick, had he not gotten injured the first week of the season this past year. He had a dominant sophomore campaign and a really strong junior year, prior to the injury. If he's fine, he could be a valuable situational pass rusher for the Redskins, particularly early on when Rob Jackson is suspended. Even though he's not going to be a starter, Jenkins could contribute 5+ sacks if given the opportunity.

Why it won't be him: Though other teams might do it, the Redskins haven't really shown many looks of bringing in a third edge rusher on passing downs. While Jenkins could fill in for Brian Orakpo and Ryan Kerrigan some, barring an injury it is likely to just be a handful of snaps, especially once Rob Jackson comes back.

6th Round S Bacarri Rambo:

Why it could be him: Rambo is possibly the best natural free safety on the team and has a big history of making big plays. If Thomas can't handle the free safety role, Rambo could get a shot at it. If so he's more than capable of showing his range and coming up with some big turnovers. Rambo also is a guy who is known to defense routes as well, and not just always go for the pick.

Why it won't be him: Rambo has had off the field maturity issues which caused him to slide in the draft, if there are any further issues it could lead him to being benched or suspended. Rambo also has two areas of concern in his game as well. For one thing he tries too hard to strip the ball, which could lead to some missed tackles and extra yards for the offense. Also, Rambo struggled at the Senior Bowl, particularly when asked to man up with tight ends and receivers. Finally, it is very likely that Rambo just won't have the opportunity to play enough as a rookie.

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7th Round RB Jawan Jamison:

Why it could be him: Jamison comes from a zone blocking scheme and is a perfect fit for Mike Shanahan's offensive system. Knowing the track record Shanahan has with late round running backs (and just rookies in general), you have to feel good about Jamison's chances. Though he should just max out as Alfred Morris's back-up, the reality is at RB the back-up can quickly become the starter. While Morris was 100% healthy last year, he might not be as lucky this year. In which case Jamison could fill in and put up some really good numbers.

Why it won't be him: Though Jamison is a really good fit for Mike Shanahan he will still start out on the depth chart behind Morris, Roy Helu Jr. and likely Evan Royster. Unless he has to, Mike Shanahan typically has not relied upon rookies (other than first rounders) with the Redskins early in the season, so Jamison's attempts could be way down, even if Morris were to miss some time. If Morris is healthy and Thompson is the change of pace/specialty back, it will likely limit any chance of Jamison getting the opportunity to be the best rookie.

Also in honor of Mother's Day, check out these video's of Jackie Griffin on what it is like to be the mother of RGIII

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by Steve Shoup

Redskins Defensive Position Battles to Watch

May 10, 2013 in Redskins Personnel

Offensive Position Battles | Defensive Position Battles

Starting Defensive End:

Top Contenders: Jarvis Jenkins, Adam Carriker
Longshot: Kedric Golston

-Now many think that it is a shoe-in that Carriker will regain his starting spot, but that might not be the case. Jenkins really came on with some nice performances down the stretch for the Redskins last year. While he didn't record any sacks, he was more consistent about pushing the pocket and creating pressures than Carriker has ever been. The biggest knock against Carriker though is likely his injury status. Despite suffering his injury in Week 2 last year, Carriker's status for the start of camp and the season is a bit up in the air right now due to setbacks. Even if he is "healthy" by the start of the season, it is likely that Carriker will be a bit behind given that he will have missed all the OTA's, Minicamps and possibly a portion of the training camp/preseason. Golston helped fill in for Carriker last season, but he's a long shot, given that he is really just a rotational guy.

Prediction: Jarvis Jenkins- He's younger with bigger upside, and isn't coming off an injury. If healthy Carriker will definitely see his fair share of snaps, but I expect Jenkins to win this job.

Back-up Nose Tackle:

Top Contenders: Chris Baker, Chris Neild
Longshot: Ron Brace

-In 2011 Chris Neild was the back-up NT, and was expected to earn a spot last year before he suffered an ACL injury in camp. Chris Baker who was having a strong preseason won the starting job, and did okay last season, but he will still have to fight for the job this year. Baker is probably stronger versus the run, but Neild has an edge in rushing the passer. Former Patriots 2nd round pick Ron Brace is a longshot option, and while the potential has always been there, he's woefully underperformed and had injury issues.

Prediction: Chris Baker, Neild may still squeak out a roster spot, but Baker should probably be the primary back-up NT. Cofield is a good pass rusher and will be in there on passing downs so it kinda negates any advantage Neild brings to the table. The bigger key is stopping the run, which is Baker's strength. The Redskins allowed far too many Red zone rushing TD's and allowed too many yards per carry.

Starting Free Safety:

Top Contenders: Phillip Thomas, Bacarri Rambo, Brandon Meriweather
Longshots: Jordan Pugh, DeJon Gomes, DeAngelo Hall

-This is a wide open battle and one that could even see a corner get into the mix. Though he is much more likely to earn the starting strong safety spot, veteran Brandon Meriweather may be asked to be more of a free safety, given the lack of natural free safeties on the roster. Bacarri Rambo is probably the most natural free safety, but he was a 6th round pick, and it would be a surprise if he was more than a back-up this year. Fourth rounder Phillip Thomas played some free safety in college, but he's probably a more natural fit at strong safety. Among the longshots, both Pugh and Gomes should be considered poor free safety fits. When they've been asked to play more of the free safety role they have struggled. Converting cornerback DeAngelo Hall has been an option that some of have mentioned, but given his track record, it probably isn't a good fit.

Prediction: Phillip Thomas, now in reality I think we will see a lot of interchanging of the roles between the strong and free safety (likely Meriweather and Thomas), but that Thomas will likely see the lionshare of the work as the free safety. I also expect Rambo to get some opportunities as well, as the team will likely want him as the longterm FS (with Thomas moving to more of a SS role).

Starting Strong Safety:

Top Contenders: Brandon Meriweather, Phillip Thomas, Reed Doughty
Longshots: DeJon Gomes, Jordan Pugh

-It is very likely that Meriweather will start at one of the two safety positions, but his most natural fit is at strong safety. If Phillip Thomas struggles though at free safety, it could open up a more interesting battle for strong safety. While Phillip Thomas obviously would have the upside and potential, Reed Doughty, Gomes and Pugh have all proven to be better SS options than FS's. Doughty and Pugh could resume the time-sharing role they had last season. Another thing to consider is the fact that Meriweather is returning from a mid-season ACL injury, and could not be 100%.

Prediction: Brandon Meriweather, While it is possible he is tabbed as the free safety, I think he will be considered much as the strong safety when it is all said and done next season.

3rd Cornerback:

Top Contenders: 1 of (DeAngelo Hall, Josh Wilson, and E.J. Biggers), David Amerson
Longshots: Richard Crawford, Chase Minnifield

-This is an interesting battle, in part because the starting jobs aren't exactly settled. Likely the starters will be DeAngelo Hall and Josh Wilson (though that is far from guaranteed), which will pit free agent E.J. Biggers vs 2nd rounder David Amerson for the role of the 3rd corner. Now if it is Biggers he may end up playing it as the true "slot" corner, whereas if it is Amerson, he would force one of Hall or Wilson to move inside to slot role (note: even with Biggers one of Hall or Wilson could kick inside).  Richard Crawford and Chase Minnifield would both be long shots for this role, but there chances are extremely small. Of the main two guys, Biggers has the advantage of being in this league and his knowledge of secondary coach Raheem Morris's style of play. Amerson has the upside, and could be valued higher given his draft status.

Prediction: E.J. Biggers, Amerson may have the ball-hawking ability, but Biggers has the experience and the familiarity with Morris which could go a long way. Amerson will probably need some time to adjust to the league, and will likely see more limited work this season.

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by Steve Shoup

Early Offseason Roster Prediction: Defense

May 9, 2013 in Redskins Personnel

Based on my Defensive Roster Construction breakdown here are the players I see making the 53 man roster.

Offense | Defense

Defensive Line: 7

-Stephen Bowen, Barry Cofield, Jarvis Jenkins, Adam Carriker, Chris Baker, Kedric Golston, Chris Neild

-I know most think that just six defensive linemen are enough, but it is one of the more highly injured position groups in the NFL and the Redskins could use some extra depth here. For the last two years injuries have led to Bowen and Cofield to play more snaps then should be expected of them. That has perhaps kept them from playing up to their potential as they've been overworked. With the extra depth you could cut their snaps by maybe 10-15% and get more productive defensive linemen overall. Jenkins I believe will start ahead of Carriker given how the latter is dealing with a set back from his injury and may not be ready to start the season. The concern on Carriker's health is another reason to keep 7 defensive linemen.

Linebackers: 8

OLB- Brian Orakpo, Ryan Kerrigan, Brandon Jenkins, Darryl Tapp* (replaced by Rob Jackson when his suspension is up)
ILB- London Fletcher, Perry Riley, Keenan Robinson, Bryan Kehl

-No real shock here with the starters, but I do believe that Brandon Jenkins spot should be pretty well locked down. He's a young pass rusher with a ton of potential and unlike both Tapp and Jackson, he's under team control going forward. When Rob Jackson gets back from his suspension, I expect Tapp to be the odd man out. Looking inside I think Robinson will claim the top ILB depth spot and get some work filling in for both Fletcher and Riley. Kehl should make the team over Muckelroy due in part to his special teams ability. He might not be on Lorenzo's Alexander's level, but he's probably the best the Redskins have among the linebackers, which should help him lock down a spot.

Defensive Backs: 9

CB-Josh Wilson, DeAngelo Hall, E.J. Biggers, David Amerson, Richard Crawford
S- Brandon Meriweather, Phillip Thomas, Reed Doughty, Bacarri Rambo

-I know 10 DB's is a popular theme, but I just don't see the value here. There are really no other CB options outside the top 5 and safeties like Jordan Pugh and DeJon Gomes have yet to show their worthiness for a roster spot and would likely have zero chance for playing time. Wilson, Hall and Biggers should play the majority of the CB snaps, with Amerson sprinkled in on the outside periodically to give him some work. Meriweather and Thomas should get the primary work at safety, but I expect both Doughty and Rambo to be used sporadically some as well.

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by Steve Shoup

Offensive and Defensive Area The Redskins Need to Improve the Most

May 8, 2013 in Washington Redskins

The Washington Redskins went 10-6 last year and won the NFC East, but they needed an improbable 7-0 run to close out the season, plus the collapse of both the Giants and Cowboys to get there. The Redskins have to focus on things to continue to improve themselves, if they want to maintain their spot atop the division. While there are plenty of things they could look to improve upon (getting healthier, penalties, their secondary), I think the most important areas on both side of the ball are pretty obvious: Offense- Protecting Robert Griffin III (or the QB in general if Kirk Cousins has to play); Defense- Getting more pressure on the quarterback.

Offense- Protect RGIII:

Griffin was sacked 30 times last season, which doesn't sound too bad, but Griffin also didn't throw as much last season. He was brought down at a rate of 7.1% of his dropbacks, which was 11th worst in the league. If Griffin dropped back to throw 550 times (which is a bit unlikely but possible), he would have been sacked 39 times which would have been the 5th worst total in the league.

On top of the sacks you have the hits and the pressures, which Griffin had happen on far too many plays. While Griffin's mobility probably brought on some hits and sacks as he felt he could hold on the ball for longer, they also saved him from a number as well given how many times he had to scramble. It is likely that Griffin won't be able to scramble like he did a year ago, and will likely be a step or two slower when in the pocket. Last year had that been the case, sacks would have skyrocketed. The offensive line and company simply needs to do a better job of protecting their star quarterback, otherwise it could ruin the Redskins season.

Even if you ignored the fact that Griffin is coming back from an injury and he got hurt multiple times last year due to the protection breaking down, it would be wise to ensure he's not taking additional hits. In addition to the injury factor, reducing the number of hits, sacks and pressures, typically boosts production as well. While it is true a quarterback like Aaron Rodgers has been highly productive despite taking a lot of hits and pressures in the last couple of years, that isn't the norm. Most of the top quarterbacks look to avoid pressure or taking more hits, and their teams understand that. When you invest so many resources into a quarterback you want to make sure he is on the field and upright.

Defense-Getting More Pressure On the Quarterback:

Most people would say improving the secondary is the biggest key on defense, but the reality is, unless you are grabbing the secondaries off the Pro Bowl rosters, the best way to help a secondary is to improve the pass rush. With the way the game is now, unless your defensive backs are elite, they will get beat by quality quarterbacks if they have time to throw. The best way to counter that is to not give the quarterback time to throw. It's even more important, given how the Redskins have built their secondary with high risk ball hawks. These guys aren't meant to cover for 3, 4 or 5 seconds, they are meant to make quarterbacks pay for making mistakes. Most mistakes typically occur when a quarterback is under pressure, where he throws it off target, or doesn't get the chance to see his guy is actually covered.

Last year the Redskins pass rush was pretty quiet outside of Ryan Kerrigan, and it directly impacted their passing game (and entire defense). In fact the majority of the Redskins sacks came during that 7 game win streak and it improved the Redskins overall defense. Without that 2nd half improvement from the pass rush, the Redskins simply don't make the playoffs last season. The Redskins pass rush needs to show up for the full 16 games this season, and with the return of Brian Orakpo there is a good chance that occurs. Orakpo and Kerrigan give the Redskins two very good pass rushers that should impact a lot of plays (even if they aren't getting sacks with hits and pressures). Even with Orakpo back the Redskins need some of their other defenders to step up and generate more penetration and pressure. Both from a blitzing perspective of ILB's and DB's, and the defensive line.

The two guys that can impact it the most are Stephen Bowen and Barry Cofield. Bowen came from the Cowboys known more for his pass rushing ability than his run stopping ability, yet we haven't seen that here as much. Cofield does some damage rushing the passer (don't forget the impact of his blocked passes), but he could still improve, especially if he isn't overworked as a nose tackle.

What do you think? Are these the two most important areas, or do you think something else will help the Redskins more this season?

 

 

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by Steve Shoup

Early Offseason Roster Prediction: Offense

May 8, 2013 in Redskins Personnel

Based on the number of spots per position in my Offensive Roster Construction (with an addendum here) here are my predictions for the players on the final 53 man roster on offense (note: Special teams doesn't have any mystery as it should be P Sav Rocca, K Kai Forbath and LS Nick Sundberg)

Offense | Defense

Quarterbacks: 3

Robert Griffin III, Kirk Cousins, Rex Grossman

-No real mystery here, the Redskins are all but assured to keep three quarterbacks and we know which ones they will be and in what order.

Running backs: 4

Alfred Morris, Roy Helu Jr., Jawan Jamison, Chris Thompson

-Some people might not agree with the four running back approach, but the Redskins need to have a back-up plan to Alfred Morris. And it is pretty simple in Mike Shanahan's history if he can run the football he wins games. The Redskins need to ensure they can do that, and the best way to do that is to have four capable backs. Jamison could end up the back-up before the season is out and Chris Thompson should be used in a variety of specialty roles.

Fullback: 1

Darrel Young

-No shock here, the only way Young isn't the fullback is if he's injured.

Tight End: 4

Logan Paulsen, Fred Davis, Jordan Reed, Niles Paul

-The Redskins should keep four tight ends given the variety of skill sets and the concern over Fred Davis's injury. If Davis is healthy the team should get creative, utilizing some more three tight end sets. Not just as a jumbo formation or for running, but to throw out of as well.

Wide Receiver: 5

Pierre Garcon, Santana Moss, Joshua Morgan, Leonard Hankerson, Aldrick Robinson

-With four tight ends the Redskins can really only keep five wide receivers. The top four are basically locked, leaving that battle for the fifth spot between Aldrick Robinson and Dezmon Briscoe a pretty interesting camp battle. Briscoe has better size and is probably a better red zone and possession receiver option. He's also worked out of the slot some more (though traditionally not Mike Shanahan's definition of a slot receiver), giving him some versatility. Robinson on the other hand is the bigger deep threat and saw more time this past season. He's a bit more limited in what position he can play and routes he runs, but he has very impressive speed. Robinson also has probably more special teams ability and could even get a look as a returner, which is why I think he could win this battle.

Offensive Line: 9

Trent Williams, Kory Lichtensteiger, Will Montgomery, Chris Chester, Tony Pashos, Tyler Polumbus, Maurice Hurt, Josh LeRibeus, Adam Gettis

-The only slight surprise among the starters is Pashos edging out the competition to win the RT job. With Pashos winning the job, I think it will be tough for Jeremy Trueblood to win a spot given that he is basically a RT only (and not a very good one). Tom Compton also will probably be an odd man out, unless he shows a lot of potential. Guys like Polumbus and Hurt have the versatility to play guard (maybe not that effectively, but it is there). LeRibeus and Gettis also get the nod, as hopefully one if not both of them have worked at center some to increase their utility.

What do you think?

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by Steve Shoup

What Can We Expect From the Second Year Players?

May 7, 2013 in Redskins Personnel

We all know what Robert Griffin III and Alfred Morris mean to the Washington Redskins, but how about the rest of the 2012 draft class? What can be reasonably expected from them this season, as the Redskins look to repeat as NFC East Division Champs?

3rd Round: G Josh LeRibeus

-LeRibeus heads into 2013 as the likely primary back-up at guard (at least LG) for the Washington Redskins. The team re-signed Kory Lichtensteiger despite him leading the team in penalties and generally struggling throughout the season, so it is a pretty fair indication that they didn't believe LeRibeus was ready for a starting role. In limited time last year he held his own, but this preseason will be the big test for him. If Lichtensteiger were to go down there probably wouldn't be much of a drop-off in production, but if Chris Chester were out it's unlikely that LeRibeus could match that level of production.

4th Round: QB Kirk Cousins

-Cousins is currently the "starter" for the Washington Redskins as RGIII rehabs from his knee injury. Cousins will likely be the starter throughout camp and could even start the season depending on how Griffin's injury heals. Though he is obviously not on Griffin's level, Cousins should more than hold his own for however long he's needed to start. He's a strong leader, with a great work ethic and he should develop nicely heading into his 2nd year. He's not the dual threat like Griffin is, which could cause some problems with the offensive line, but Cousins overall should be at least considered an effective potential starter.

4th Round: ILB Keenan Robinson

-Robinson could get an expanded role this season as a sub-package linebacker on passing downs. Both London Fletcher and Perry Riley struggled in coverage last year, but that has always been an area of strength for Robinson. Fletcher in general is more likely to get subbed out in an effort to keep him healthy and get the most out of him this season. Robinson will have some growing pains, but should give the Redskins some good minutes each week, particularly in coverage.

5th Round: OG Adam Gettis

-Gettis was a project when drafted and actually outplayed LeRibeus in Camp/Preseason last year. It will be interesting to see how he's developed this year, but it wouldn't be surprising to see him at least on par with LeRibeus this year.

6th Round: OT Tom Compton

-Compton could face long odds to even make the roster, though there were some positive reports on him during the season the fact is he spent most of the season on the practice squad and then the rest of the year on the inactive list. While it would be nice for him to be the team's RT of the future, that is not likely to occur this season. The best case scenario would be him squeaking out the final roster spot, but I think it is more likely that he ends up cut.

7th Round CB Richard Crawford

-Crawford showed a lot of promise last season as the teams punt returner at the end of the year, and could lock down that role this season. He should be a big upgrade over Brandon Banks in that department, as he has the potential to take one to the house and he likely won't make the costly errors that Banks would consistently make. As for his cornerback work, Crawford is definitely buried on the depth chart and probably won't see much work. That is just as well as it was clear that he was out of his element last season, despite some flashes of promise.

7th Round S Jordan Bernstein

-Bernstein is a longshot to make the team after tearing his knee up in week 1 last season. With the team adding a pair of safeties in the draft, even if healthy Bernstein would have a tough time making the team. The Redskins may try to keep him on the PUP list or IR given the injury, but the chance of him making the team is slim, and the chance of him contributing is even less likely.

What do you think? What can be expected of the 2nd year players this season?

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by Steve Shoup

Predicting the Redskins Stat Leaders for 2013

May 6, 2013 in Redskins Offseason

In the offseason down time I thought it would be fun to make predictions on who will be the Redskins statistical leaders in the following categories, also I will mention who I see as the runner up. Some will be a bit more obvious, but others could be more interesting.

Passing: Yards, TD's, Completions

Rushing: Yards, TD's, Carries

Receiving: Yards, TD's, Catches

Defense: Sacks, Tackles, Interceptions

Kick-off Return: Yards, Returns

Punt Return: Yards, Returns

Passing: Yards, TD's and Completions: Robert Griffin III leader, Kirk Cousins runner-up

-This doesn't have much mystery given that even if Cousins were to start 4-6 games, Griffin would start the lionshare and trump all of Cousins numbers. Though it would be unthinkable to Redskins fans, if Cousins were to start half and Griffin half, I think we'd likely see Cousins win both in yards and touchdowns as they are likely to throw more with him under quarterback. Griffin would likely still edge him out in completions due to his higher completion percentage.

Rushing: Yards, TD's, Carries: Alfred Morris leader, Jawan Jamison runner-up

-No surprise of course with who the leader is in these categories, but the runner-up will likely surprise. Though I believe that Roy Helu Jr. will initially have the back-up running back job, I think Mike Shanahan will eventually turn to Jamison. He's a really good zone runner, who is really tough to bring down. I think it will be close with Helu and Chris Thompson getting some chances as well, but Jamison will edge them out. One category that could go to someone else as the runner-up could be rushing TD's as FB Darrel Young may be called upon some short yardage situations. The real wild card could be RGIII, last year he was a major rushing threat, but coming back from an injury he's likely to be more limited and not running as much.

Receiving: Yards- leader Pierre Garcon, runner-up Joshua Morgan; TD's-leader Santana Moss, runner-up Garcon; Catches-leader Garcon, runner-up Morgan

-This category has a lot more interesting options. Garcon should definitely be the leader in yards and catches (though catches could be closer), but touchdowns could go in a number of different directions. Garcon will definitely get some TD's after turning a 17 yard pass into a 40+ yard gain for a score, but he typically wasn't targeted as much in or around the end zone. With the primary TE up in the air, and none of them true red zone threats, it wouldn't shock me to see Moss lead in touchdowns again. He's such a great precision route runner, and showed such a great versatility in his scores last year that it is likely he will continue to be a focal point in and around the end zone. The runner's up in all the categories are a lot tougher to figure out. The Redskins really spread the ball around last year, and with both Fred Davis and Garcon dealing with some injury issues, that will likely occur some once again.

Defense: Sacks- leader Brian Orakpo, runner-up Ryan Kerrigan; Tackles- leader Perry Riley, runner-up London Fletcher; Interceptions leader Brandon Meriweather, runner-up DeAngelo Hall

-A lot of interesting choices for me on defense. Sacks I do feel are pretty straight forward as it is pretty likely going to be Orakpo and Kerrigan, or Kerrigan and Orakpo as the leaders and runner-up. I have faith that Orakpo will be back healthy and take the sack lead. Tackles are one that will likely draw some debate, but Riley was just 10 tackles behind Fletcher last year, and it wouldn't shock me if we see Fletcher taking more plays off this year. We saw him take some snaps off last year, and I think we'll likely see a rise in that department, especially if Keenan Robinson shows any promise. Interceptions is very much up in the air (no pun intended), as last season Fletcher led the team with 5 picks, and Rob Jackson tied Hall for the runner up spot. The Redskins added three of the interception leaders in college football over the past two years, in this draft class, but how much they play is up for debate. Brandon Meriweather is a guy who could get a fair amount of opportunities (assuming he is healthy), Hall has always been a guy who goes for INT's so he should be in the mix as well, though it wouldn't surprise me if he doesn't play as many snaps this season, as the Redskins could look to utilize their deeper CB roster to match-up better.

What do you think? Who do you see as the leaders and runner-ups in these categories?

 

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