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Dallas Week: Washington Redskins Keys to the Game vs. Cowboys

December 28, 2012 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

By Staff Writer John Manuel:

Its Dallas Week.  Here are my keys to the game for the Redskins to beat the Cowboys in the Sunday Night Showdown at FedEx for the NFC East crown.

1 – I will get right into it with first and foremost we need to look at the opponent.  The Dallas Cowboys are an 8-7 football team not a 10-5 or even 9-6.  They are what their record is.  And honestly if Antonio Brown could have protected the football on a punt return this game could have been meaningless for them.  I do think they can be explosive and play like they did week one versus New York but that was week one, not seventeen.

Although the Redskins have not had any games of this magnitude in years, Dallas has had a few and when they have they failed.  The Cowboys have been up and down all season, eking out wins the past two months usually having to come from behind late in games.  The Redskins did the same versus Baltimore but took care of business against teams like Cleveland, in Dallas, New York and last week in Philadelphia over this six game win streak.  Yes, the games ended close but except versus Baltimore, Washington had the lead in all those games down the stretch of the fourth quarter.

2- I could almost copy the same thing I had on the quarterbacks before the Thanksgiving game in Dallas.  Tony Romo did have a big statistical game that day almost all in the second half after the Cowboys fell way behind.  The knock on Romo has been that he can't win these types of games and now to do it on the road gives me confidence he won't be able again.  Before the season I thought Dallas could be a disaster waiting to happen and that Romo could be the fall guy by seasons end.  I will admit that Romo has played very well but let’s see what he does Sunday night.

On the other hand we as Skins fans have full confidence that Robert Griffin III will show up and do what he has done all season.  Yes, the knee will have an effect but all Griffin does is move the ball, don't turn it over and put up 100+ passer rating performances.  And oh yeah, be a true leader as a rookie.  A captain.  That is what he does.

3- Everyone's main concern this week is dealing with Dez Bryant.  And by having to deal with Dez Bryant does that open it up for Jason Witten and Miles Austin.  Bryant last week was as good as anyone other than Calvin Johnson and clearly the weakness of the Redskins is in their secondary.  But will Dez Bryant show up?  Does Dallas add 2 or 3 more chaperones this week to make sure?  I still think that the Cowboys need to watch over a 24 year old is a joke by the way.  Though every time Dez Bryant looks to be on the right path, he does something stupid.  As for on the field, I do think he will be tough to handle.

The return of Demarco Murray also will be a factor in the Washington defense being able to slow down the Dallas offense and force turnovers.  Washington's bend but don't break approach has worked in recent weeks but it has worked because of causing timely turnovers.  Ryan Kerrigan has to do what he did last week.  Rob Jackson has to get back to level of play versus the Ravens as well to help the struggling secondary face the likes of Bryant, Austin and Witten.

4- The first game showed a head to head coaching advantage for the Redskins.  This must happen again.  Mike Shanahan has obviously been in more big games than Jason Garrett and Shanny needs to win the coaching battle.

Can Shanahan win the coaching battle Sunday night?

Can Shanahan win the coaching battle Sunday night?

The obvious battle between the coaches will pit Kyle Shanahan and his offense against Rob Ryan and his defense.  Shanahan worked Ryan in Dallas on Thanksgiving and I would expect no change this week.  Rob Ryan like all the Ryans', is a clown.  Kyle has had his ups and downs but right now has it going and going good.  Ryan will not be helped by Demarcus Ware being far from 100% but Ware is tough and even at 70-80% will give Pro Bowler Trent Williams a handful like always.

On the other side it was turning into a long season for Jim Haslett until the win streak occurred.  His defense is still giving up yards but just holding opponents points down enough to win.  Just holding them down this week may not work so he will need to find holes in a suspect Dallas offensive line.

5- Maybe the most famous Redskins/Cowboys game for Washington fans is 1982 NFC Championship Game.  The game will be mostly remembered for Darryl Grant's touchdown and Dexter Manley knocking out Danny White but what can't be forgotten is how the Redskins were able to run the ball down Dallas' throat with John Riggins all day.  Washington must do the same Sunday night with Alfred Morris.

Morris has proven all season to be this team's Diesel.  And although I doubt Alfred Morris needs any motivation losing out on a Pro Bowl nod to Frank Gore makes for adding motivation.  I expect Griffin to be more of a run threat Sunday night which will open it up more for Morris as well as the receiving core.  Dallas has been torched like the Redskins many times this season so matching big plays with Dallas will be a key as well.  But I would love to see the 2012 Cowboys get pounded into the FedEx turf like 1982 Cowboys were at RFK.  Here is a link to that game.

As for what will happen.  It is crazy to say that we finally have a huge game at FedEx Field after so long.  It is actually embarrassing after the success the team had for many years under Gibbs' first coaching run.  But I have confidence in my quarterback and I have confidence in our leaders like London Fletcher.

Over the past six weeks these guys have yet to fail us on the field and I don't see it happening Sunday night.  I see a win and a division title but not as high scoring as Thanksgiving and more like the Giants Monday night game.  Redskins 23  Dallas 17

 

 

 

Observations on Victory Tuesday from Redskins Huge MNF Win

December 4, 2012 in Washington Redskins Post Game Recap

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By Staff Writer John Manuel:

Here are my five observations from the Washington Redskins huge win over division rival New York Giants. What better way to enjoy your Victory Tuesday:

1.  RG3 – you heard the chants.

Sorry but he has to be number one again.  Actually not sorry, and maybe this is going to sound as a homer, but he is just that special.  Robert Griffin III once again showed he is a superstar in the making, if not already one.  The kid is never frazzled and even though the numbers were not spectacular, he always looked in control and gives everyone full confidence when he is under center.

If he stays healthy Griffin is they type of player that guarantees at least one championship.  Not just in football, but all sports special players like him always at least get one.  Dan Marino is probably the only superstar quarterback not to win a championship, so the odds are in Washington's favor.  Even though he was killed for years, you knew that LeBron was not going to get shut out also.  RG3 is that type of star and I am very confident in what the Redskins have in him.

2. I love how the Redskins ran once again last night.

The league's best running team pounded the Giants all night and especially on the final drive.  It is getting to the norm that Alfred Morris will not go down on first contact and is always going to get 2-3 more yards than most backs per run.  Morris should at least be in the Rookie of the Year discussion as well, although the play of Griffin, Luck and Martin will overshadow the consistent solid year he has had.  The Shanahans know they have a workhorse who is showing no signs of letting up.

Who else knows?  Other teams now and the Redskins and RG3 are able to pummel teams with play action out of the read option.  The Giants never could stop it from the first drive to the last.  I hope that Darrel Young gets a Pro Bowl nod as the fullback.  He is the fullback on the #1 rush attack and when he does get the ball positive things happen.  I expect he won't because everyone in Wisconsin will vote like 10x for John Kuhn, but Young deserves the honor.

3. Defense Stepped Up.

The much maligned defense had a long first half but when it mattered down the stretch stepped up.  Holding the Giants to only 16 points and one touchdown was the difference on Monday night.  Everyone felt the frustration of the first half as the defense failed to get off the field 3rd down after 3rd down.

But Haslett's crew adjusted and adjusted well and were able to in the second half.  Helped by poor Giants starting points all second half, the defense came up with enough key stops to hold the Giants to just a second half field goal.  The yards allowed may not look pretty but I think the defense which has been criticized all season should be given credit today.

4. What a difference Pierre Garcon makes to this team.

Garcon showed how valuable he is to the surging Redskins.

Garcon showed how valuable he is to the surging Redskins.

I am sure his foot is bothering him but you would never know based on how he has played the past couple weeks.  Garcon's ability to catch the ball in open field and go for big gains is something we haven't seen on a consistent basis in years.  Santana did some but not as the threat that Garcon is.  The Giants could not stop that play action post all night.

I also should give credit to a huge grab by Leonard Hankerson on a bad toss by Griffin.  Ball was clearly behind him and Hankerson adjusted to make a huge grab.

And if I needed mention it would just be wrong but the offensive line deserves big credit.  Obvious we ran the ball once again but Griffin was given time to throw against the Giants "Nascar" pass rush we heard about all night.  Just like Young, Trent Williams deserves the Pro Bowl trip especially going out there hurting last night.

5. Finally maybe the lone bad.  Brandon Banks has to go and go now.

Niles Paul can handle kickoffs just fine and I still think Santana Moss should be back on punts.  I think the Redskins would be smart to cut Banks and add a kickoff specialist.  Forbath cannot get touchbacks and when the NFL is giving you that by moving kickoffs to the 35 you must not allow teams to get returns.  I am afraid one of these times the Redskins will get burned.  I think that roster spot would be much better utilized in that manner now that Banks isn't even used to scare defenses as well.

As for Forbath, I don't like the kickoffs but once again he comes through on field goals.  Not only is Forbath making kicks but they seem to go right down the middle each time.

Now the Baltimore Ravens come down 95 to FedEx on Sunday.  I have a lot of friends who are Ravens fans so this should be an interesting one.  We will look at that game later in week as we celebrate Victory Tuesday today!

 

 

Dallas Week: Big Short Week as Redskins Prepare for Thanksgiving Match-up

November 21, 2012 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

By Staff Writer John Manuel:

Now that the Redskins are back in the playoff race (well slightly) after beating a horrible Eagles team, the next two weeks will clearly determine where they end up this season.  Win both and they are sitting in great shape in the NFC East.  Lose both and they are done.

The Redskins vs. Cowboys rivalry heats up on Thanksgiving Day this year with 2nd place in the NFC East on the line.

The Redskins vs. Cowboys rivalry heats up on Thanksgiving Day this year with 2nd place in the NFC East on the line.

Last time we looked at a two game stretch it was New York and Pittsburgh and that didn't go well.  So let’s just start with Dallas for now and Thursday’s game.  Here are five things that must happen to win there.

1- Dallas seems to play everyone the same no matter how good or bad a team is.

Go to Atlanta and barely lose, home to Cleveland and barely win.  Each week their opponent is in the game so it comes down to things like turnovers and penalties.

As for penalties, we must worry because the Skins are the worst.  So this needs to change right away.  The Dallas crowd doesn't really concern me so hopefully false starts will be at a minimum.  We can't get 15 yarders either.

As for turnovers, Griffin has been amazing but they cannot have key fumbles like the second half of the Giants game.  Have to get to Romo also but we look at that next.

2- And here we go on Tony Romo.

Washington needs to get to Romo early and often.  Last week we said they need to take advantage of the Eagles poor offensive line and they did.  Time to do this again.  And if the ball bounces off Dez Bryant's hands they need to be there to snag it.  That's if Bryant doesn't break curfew Wednesday night, a traditional party night.

Romo like Griffin can buy time and our defensive backs really don't like sticking with receivers for long periods of time, so we have to run him down quickly.  I predicted before the season a beginning of the end of Romo's time in Dallas and this would be a good week to start that.

3- Make Jason Garrett coach.

The Redskins need to get up early and see if Jason Garrett is a true NFL coach.  He was able to bring them back against the Browns last week but that was against a horrible coach in Pat Shurmur.  So it’s time to call out the $7 million tan man Mike Shanahan and see if he can out-coach Garrett.  Shanahan proved me right week one against the Saints but many times has killed me.  A good sign will be Jerry Jones on the sidelines by the mid third quarter if things are going well.

4- Is Brandon Banks still on the roster?

I think so but he is now really only known for being part of shaky offensive play calls.  Do something Banks in the return game and do it this week.  As I have said many times I wouldn't mind giving Santana a chance on a punt return or two because we need something.

Really think Shanahan blew it not adding Shawne Merriman and dropping someone like Banks or Grossman.  Merriman is older and worn down but he looked pretty good for Buffalo last week.  Key again is that they need something from Banks.  Special teams have covered fine and Kai Forbath has been perfect on kicks, so it’s time for the return game to step up.

5- Finally I think Robert Griffin plays big in a nationally televised game back in his home state.

This season has shown for him not to fold at all under pressure in these types of situations.  RG3 and Luck have gone back and forth all season as the better rookie quarterback and last week Griffin proved better and I think it will continue this week.  The Skins have to attack downfield like last week and look for big plays.

I think they can run the ball against Dallas without a guy like Lee in there but Griffin has to be able to do more than slants and screens.  Garcon although hurt does make the defense have to watch for him, and hopefully he can go.  I could easily see Griffin putting on a show in Big D on Thanksgiving.

 

 

Washington Redskins Week 11 Post Game Thoughts

November 19, 2012 in Washington Redskins Post Game Recap

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1. Defense Shows Up:

The Redskins much maligned defense showed up yesterday in a big way. They forced three turnovers, had four sacks, and kept the opponent out of the endzone for the first time since 2008. The biggest difference today was the pressure, as in edition to the sacks, the Redskins were able to keep pressure on quarterback Nick Foles throughout the game. Jim Haslett who has been on the hot seat all year, dialed up a great defensive game plan, with a number of exotic blitzes. One of the better parts of the game for the defense was the fact they weren't committing as many penalties as they had been prior to the bye. Though it was a really strong performance of the defense and the best so far of the season, one thing to keep in mind is the fact that the Eagles didn't help themselves at all. Not only was it a rookie quarterback behind a banged up offensive line, but Philly continuously shot themselves in the foot with penalties, missed assignments and dropped passes.

2. Robert Griffin III Saves the Day:

For as good as the defense was the offense was overall pretty ordinary, but they were still able to put up 31 points due to some big plays by Robert Griffin III. Much will be made of his 14-15 passing including four touchdowns, but the most impressive part of his game was what he did with his legs. Griffin scrambled a number of times to extend drives and pick up big chunks of yards on the ground. In fact he ended up running nearly as many times (11 to 15) as he attempted a pass. Griffin did made some big plays through the air as well that obviously resulted into points, but much of those wouldn't be possible if not for him setting them up with plays on the ground.

3. Offensive Line Woes Continue to Plague the Redskins:

The reason why Griffin was so key, was because the Offensive line was so bad. They allowed a number of runs to be stopped for little or no gain, and gave up just a ton of pressure. If not for Griffin's ability to scramble, the line may have given up 6 or 7 sacks. On top of that the line was once again the main culprit in giving up penalties, which helped stall multiple drives. The Eagles lost contain on Griffin, but a more discipline team would be able to capitalize on the offensive line issues to the point of stopping the Redskins, on a short week the Redskins need to get this fixed fast.

Quick Thoughts:

Santana Moss: It might have just been one play, but what a tremendous catch and effort by Moss to get that touchdown. That play rivaled Robert Griffin III's run against the Minnesota Vikings to seal that game. It also once again brings to mind the question, why is Moss not getting more snaps and targets. He's been so productive this year when given the opportunity, why are the Redskins limiting him?

Penalties: The Redskins came into the game averaging 8.3 penalties (accepted penalties) a game, which was the highest in the NFL, so how do they come out at home after the bye? They commit 13 penalties, about 5 more than their average. The offense was the biggest culprit, which is unacceptable as multiple of the penalties were false starts. How you commit multiple false starts at home is beyond me.

Play-calling: Once again there were a number of questionable play calling decisions by the offense. Going for ti on 4th and 1, inside the red zone when a field goal would essentially ice the game made little sense. Yes a first down and eventual TD would have been better, but a field goal made it a three TD game. It would have been one thing if the Skins were inside the 5 forcing them to drive 95+ yards, but from near the 20, that gave Philly solid field position. Their play calling on the drive after the fumble recovery before half was also problematic, and something that better teams would have exploited. Finally, why the Redskins were continuing to run Griffin, late in the game when it was already out of reach is beyond me. Look what happened on the side when LeSean McCoy gets injured on a meaningless play at the end of the game, and that was with the team being down. At least there you can make the case that they are trying for the miracle comeback, or working on plays for the rest of the year. The Redskins need to be smarter and either pull Griffin in those situations or don't put him in a position to take hits. .

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Washington Redskins 5 Keys to the Game: Week 11

November 17, 2012 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

1. Run The Football:

I know they will be tempted to pass the football on the Eagles and their disappointing passing defense, but it is a mistake to try to rely on the passing game. It looks tempting given that the Eagles pass rush hasn't been potent, and their safeties have been a huge liability. The problem with that thinking is it ignores how poor the Redskins pass blocking has been. If the Eagles can get some pressure, those Philly defensive backs can be very opportunistic. Running is the safer game plan for the Redskins as it has been the most consistent part of their offense. The Eagles Wide-9 defense can also be more susceptible to the run than the pass, allowing the Redskins strength to attack the Eagles weakness.

2. Attack Nick Foles:

Nick Foles is a rookie quarterback behind a line that is missing four starters. it doesn't matter whom the Redskins are missing, they have to be able to get pressure. There is no excuse to not be able to make the rookie uncomfortable at home. They have to force Foles into some errant throws and some turnovers. Ryan Kerrigan and Stephen Bowen are the two players that need to step up the most in this game, as they are the top remaining rushers for Washington.

3. Protect Robert Griffin:

The offensive line has started to get more exposed these couple of weeks, and it is starting to affect Robert Griffin III's play. Part of the Redskins problem is they have been utilizing shot gun formations and quick passing less and less (in part due to the opponents score). That is forcing Griffin in the pocket for over 2.5, a timeframe that this line is incapable of blocking for. The Redskins have to use their backs and TE's to chip defensive ends on their way out for routes (or actually stay in to block). Also the Redskins need to limit their passes that will take longer than 2.5 seconds ensuring that Griffin will have the time to complete his passes.

4. Limit the Penalties:

The Redskins are the most penalized team in the NFL and it is costing them games. They can't keep averaging 8.3 penalties a game if they want to be a legitimate contender going forward. The Redskins biggest problem has been on offense were they have committed over 50% of their penalties. The increased penalties in recent weeks is one of the reasons why the Redskins offense has started to stall out, and the scoring has slowed down

5. Get Creative:

Look the Redskins are 3-6 and their playoff hopes are all but lost, but that doesn't mean you give up. What it does mean is everything should be on the table. While the Redskins have run some tick plays on offense, for the most part they have been telegraphed (having Banks on the field) and unimaginative. The Redskins need to get more creative on offense and defense, hopefully coming up with some much needed big plays. On Special Teams the Redskins could use a trick play or two to shake things up.

Washington Redskins Week 9: Post-game Thoughts

November 5, 2012 in NFL

Washington Redskins Week 9 Thoughts and Observations:

1. Mike Shanahan Needs to Take Responsibility:

Look the Redskins playoff hopes are extremely small right now, but you don't say that as a head coach. Making statements about now being an evaluation process, is offensive to both the players and the fans. This entire season and Mike Shanahan's three years with the Redskins should be a time where you are evaluating players, and perhaps that is the problem. If Mike Shanahan had been properly evaluating players, perhaps he'd know that Brandon Banks is awful as an offensive weapon, so perhaps he shouldn't be out there in goalline situations (also he's not a good return man, so perhaps we should fix that as well). If he had been evaluating personnel perhaps he'd notice that Alfred Morris has been the Redskins most consistent offensive weapon, and that he should probably have more than 13 carries. Maybe he'd notice that many of the gimmick plays (WR and TE end arounds, Banks formations etc.) are not fooling anyone. Perhaps evaluation could have told Mike Shanahan that the offensive line is a huge mess, and actually really hasn't improved as much as people try to say.

In addition to his post game comments, the buck also stops with Mike Shanahan. He hand-picked this coaching staff and almost this entire roster. He helps with the game planning on offense, and at the end of the day he's the one who decided to ignore (or go cheap) on the offensive line and secondary. Shanahan also is responsible for why this is the most penalized team in the NFL, as well as continued poor clock and game management. Mike Shanahan has to bear responsibility for being outplayed and out coached by a 1-6 team, despite being at home and winning time of possession.

2. Brandon Banks needs to Go:

This Brandon Banks experiment has to end, and it has to end ASAP. He is awful as an offensive weapon and just can't make plays when given the opportunity. And why are you even attempting to use him in to-goal -to go situations. The only chance for Banks to be effective at all is if he can get the ball in space, which is pretty impossible to get when the defense is only three yards away from the goalline. That final play of the game was just horrendous as well, that was almost as awful as "Swinging Gate". Who thought that would be effective? And Why was Banks running around killing the clock? If whatever you were trying to do didn't work, either go to the ground for one more play or go out of bounds.

3. Offensive Play Calling Hurt The Team:

Throughout this game the play-calling was just really poor. In addition to the awful use of Brandon Banks, Mike and Kyle Shanahan have a lot to explain about what they were thinking in this game. Going for it on 4th down, instead of kicking the field goal to make it 7-6, was inexcusable. As was the play call to try and run Griffin to the sideline, with little apparent help. Continuing to try to attempt passes throwing down the field as opposed to the quick passing attack that worked so well the first month of the year, exposed Robert Griffin III to a lot of pressure. Not running Alfred Morris more in the 2nd half, regardless of the score. Not keeping in more backs and tight ends to max protect for Robert Griffin III, when it was clear the offensive line was not up to the task.

4. Robert Griffin III Had  Rough Game:

Yes I know he didn't have a turnover, and no it wasn't a downright awful game, but there is no doubt that he struggled. Griffin was 23-39 for 215 yards, while being sacked 4 times for the loss of 29 yards. That is just a 58.9% completion rating and just a 5.15 yards per attempt average. If you include net yards per attempt, which includes sacks the Redskins passing offense had just 4.3 net yards per attempt. Those numbers are all poor (especially the ypa and nypa). Tough one can point to Griffin having to suffer a few drops, and that he threw some nice strikes, many of his passes were well off the mark, including multiple ones that were complete. Now the pass rush did impact a number of those off target throws, but Griffin bears some of that responsibility as well. Though the failure was mainly with the offensive line and the coaching schemes, Griffin also held on to the ball too long on a number of occasions. Sometimes he was able to make positive plays occur, but other times it led to sacks or errant passes.Griffin was also for the most part contained in the running game. He did have 11 carries for 53 yards, but going beyond the box score they were pretty ineffective scrambles. 21 of those yards came on the final two drives when the game was pretty much out of reach. Early in the game, Griffin was contained, especially on designed runs where the Panthers got him for a loss or no gain multiple times.

5. The Defensive Struggles Continued:

Now there play was perhaps the best of the season (though the Panthers helped out greatly by blowing some opportunities), but it was still very poor overall. They might have limited the Panthers to just 330 yards (which for the Redskins is a positive) and 50 plays, but they still managed to give up some big plays, and allow Carolina to score three touchdowns (including going 2-2 in the Red Zone). The Redskins defense also failed to force any turnovers, or get any sacks. They managed maybe a couple of pressures, but by in large their pass rush failed them again.

6. The Offensive LIne Matters:

The Redskins ignored the offensive line in free agency, and took project players in the draft (including 3rd rounder Josh LeRibeus), and it is costing them. While the thought has been that the line is better this year, even heading into this game there were some serious concerns. Penalties were up among the offensive line. Sack percentage was up (overall sacks were down, but the Redskins were throwing far less). While the rushing numbers were impressive, Alfred Morris had dealt with a lot of contact, at or behind the line of scrimmage. Also, much of the rushing numbers came from Robert Griffin scrambling after the offensive line broke down in pass protection. Yesterday the line had their worst game, committing three penalties, allowing 4 sacks, numerous pressures and allowing multiple runs to be stopped for no gain or a loss. The Panthers for the most part were able to rush four and get that level of penetration which is very problematic going forward. Though much of the blame will be on RT Tyler Polumbus, the reality is all five linemen struggled, including LT Trent Williams who the team has been suggesting as a Pro Bowl candidate.

Washington Redskins Quick Thoughts From Week 6

October 15, 2012 in NFL, Uncategorized

1. Robert Griffin III is electric:

-One week after having a game to forget, Griffin came back with a very strong all-around game. Even before he broke a 76 yard touchdown run to seal the game late in the 4th quarter, Griffin was having a strong game both running and passing, and had done enough to get the Washington Redskins their first home victory in over a year. Robert Griffin III over came an early interception, to go 17-22 for 182 and a touchdown. The Redskins utilized a quicker passing game to neutralize Vikings defensive end Jared Allen, and to help protect Griffin. Griffin picked Minnesota apart on some key drives, and when things broke down picked up some yards with his legs (while avoiding many unnecessary hits). All-around it was one of Griffin's strongest games this season, and by far his best game at home.

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2. New Kicker Comes Through:

-The Washington Redskins didn't get a chance to ease their new kicker, Kai Forbath into his duties with an easy kick, as Forbath's first NFL kick was a 50 yard attempt with the Vikings already up 9-0. The extra distance and pressure of the situation didn't matter as Forbath drilled the kick, and probably would have made it from another 5-7 yards. Forbath now gives the Washington Redskins a chance to at least attempt long field goals, something they didn't have with Billy Cundiff, and more confidence with total accuracy. His kickoffs weren't as good as Billy Cundiff's, but they weren't awful by any means.

3. What a difference Pressure Makes:

-Last week the Washington Redskins defense barely came close to Matt Ryan, and he was able to pick apart the Redskins secondary at will, This week Christian Ponder was able to put up big numbers against the Redskins defense, but it came at a cost. Pressure forced four sacks including a fumble that set up the 2nd touchdown. Pressure also forced some off target throws, including the Vikings final pass of the game which was intercepted by DeAngelo Hall in the end zone. The Washington Redskins defense isn't that good, so they need to generate pressure to come up with big plays which can be the difference between a win or a loss.

4. 3rd down No Problem:

-The Washington Redskins came into the game with the worst 3rd down conversion percentage in the game, but were 6-12 on Sunday (including Griffin's 76 yard scamper).  The Redskins started off poorly (2-6 in the first half), but did much better in the 2nd half of the game, which helped extend drives, and keep the Vikings off the field. No bigger conversion was the one of Griffin's scamper, as the Vikings were set to get the ball back with over 2 minutes and 1-2 timeouts (they likely would have called their second timeout had they held on third down), and would have taken the lead with a touchdown. Griffin's run picked up the first down (and then eventually a touchdown), and was a major deciding point in the game. Even if he hadn't have scored on the play, the first down, would have helped in the field position department, and forced the Vikings to burn their timeouts and the two minute warning.

5. Why is Brandon Banks touching the ball late in the 4th Quarter?:

-I know everyone thinks he's a "weapon", but let's look at the numbers. Zero kickoff return yardage, because the Vikings kicked it through the end zone on just about every kickoff. One punt return yard, on his single return. In the Redskins option style attack, Banks managed negative 2 yards on two attempts. Receiving Banks was a bit more effective,with 3 yards on two catches. The worst though was his final catch, where he caught the ball out in the flat after the Vikings scored to make it an 11 point game, and fumbled the ball (after gaining zero yards). Luckily for both Banks and the Redskins the fumble bounced out of bounds. Had a Vikings player recovered it it would have given Minnesota excellent field position, with about 8 minutes remaining and the momentum (also easily could have been a scoop and score type of play). When you are trying to run out the clock, why would you rely on a guy with chronic ball security problems? That was a horrible play call by the Redskins and one they need to avoid going forward.

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Washington Redskins Keys to the Game: Week 6

October 12, 2012 in 2012 NFL Draft, NFL

The Top 5 Keys to the Game For the Washington Redskins to Win on Sunday:

1. Protect Robert Griffin III:

-This is an important key every week, but is absolutely critical with the Washington Redskins star rookie returning from a concussion. The Redskins need to do whatever it takes to ensure that Robert Griffin III doesn't take any unnecessary hits. This can be done in multiple ways. First they need to keep the running back in to block on all plays, as the Minnesota Vikings are a team that loves to blitz. Next they need to use their tight ends to at least chip, if not double team Jared Allen, to ensure he is not 1-on-1 versus Trent Williamsall day. Third, the Washington Redskins need to have a game plan where they throw short, quick passes, hopefully before the pass rush can make an impact. Finally, Robert Griffin III has to not take any risks, if there is nothing open and the defense is bearing down, throw the ball away, it is not worth taking an unnecessary hit.

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2. Establish the Run:

-The Minnesota Vikings are 2nd in rushing defense, based on yards allowed per attempt, and have only allowed one team to run for over 100 yards, but this is where the Washington Redskins need to attack them. The Redskins rushing attack, even with Alfred Morris alone has been the most consistent part of this offense, and for the Redskins to win they need it to show up on Sunday. Relying on Alfred Morris, will also take pressure off of Robert Griffin III, and can help minimize the hits on Robert Griffin. The Redskins should look to carry the ball at least 30 times this game, with Morris getting at least 20 carries.

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3. Slow Down Percy Harvin:

-The Vikings receiver has done a great job this year being an all-around weapon and has scored via a run, kick return, and reception. The Vikings are going to find ways to get him the ball, and the Washington Redskins need to find a way to contain him. Don't let him pick up big gains, and hopefully keep him out of the end zone. It's not easy, especially given the number of big plays this secondary has given up. Harvin could also have an impact like a Danny Amendola did against the Redskins defense in week two, so DeAngelo Hallwill need to come up big to slow him down.

4. Beware of the 2nd year Stars:

-Going into this year the threat from the Vikings would appear to be limited to Adrian Peterson and Percy Harvin, but 2nd year quarterback Christian Ponder and tight end Kyle Rudolphhave been a huge part of the Vikings success this year. Ponder has really taken his game to another level, as he has been extremely efficient with the football. He has a 69% completion rating and a 6-2 TD to interception ratio. He's killing teams with underneath throws as he marches the Vikings down the field. One of his favorite targets for those types of throws is TE Kyle Rudolph. Rudolph has 19 receptions for 169 yards, and has been a favorite red zone target with four touchdowns. Given how much the Redskins defense has struggled to stop good tight ends this year, this is a match-up that will have a huge impact on the game.

5. Get Creative:

-The Washington Redskins are 2-3 and facing a Vikings team that looks to be among the better teams in the NFC. The Redskins also have the longest home losing streak. This is not the time for the Redskins to be conservative with their approach. They need to get creative and do whatever they can to get the victory. Whether that is trick plays on offense, exotic blitzes on defense, or going for it on 4th down instead of punting/kicking it. Obviously the Redskins need to pick their spots, but if they can catch the Vikings unprepared they could get some game breaking plays. The one caveat is that offensively they can't afford any trick plays that put Robert Griffin III at risk for any additional hits. Other than that though the playbook should be wide open, as the Washington Redskins try to break their home losing streak.

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How the Loss of Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker will Impact the Washington Redskins

September 18, 2012 in NFL, Uncategorized

The biggest loss on Sunday for the Washington Redskins wasn't the game against the St. Louis Rams, but rather the loss of two defensive starters (Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker) for the season due to injury. With a defense that has already given up quite a few yards and points this season the loss of two starters could have serious ramifications throughout the rest of the season.

Of the two injuries, there is no question that the loss of Brian Orakpo is the bigger blow to the Redskins defense. He was the Washington Redskins second most talented defender behind London Fletcher, and was probably their most important defender since his ability to rush the quarterback is so coveted in today's NFL. Orakpo was without a doubt the Redskins best pass rusher, capable of giving even the best left tackles in the league something to be concerned about.

It isn't hard to see just how much Orakpo will be missed when you look at the numbers more in depth.

Now some may point to Orakpo's sack number (9.0) as something that isn't particularly great, and could come close to being replaced. The problem with that is looking solely at sacks is short-sighted and not seeing the bigger picture. Sacks make up only one part of the equation of a pass rusher, as you also have quarterback hits, hurries and penalties forced (i.e. holding calls an opposing line has to do to stop you). To judge a player just on sacks and ignore the rest would be like judging a slugger in baseball on home runs alone and ignoring all the singles, doubles and triples a player adds.

Now I know it seems odd since he went to the Pro Bowl his first two seasons, but 2011 was Brian Orakpo's best year. He had a combined 59 sacks, hits and pressures last season, which was not only a career high, but good enough for 10th in the league among all 3-4 rush linebackers and 4-3 defensive ends. While 10th is obviously very good, keep in mind that just two of the guys ahead of him (Trent Cole and Aldon Smith) had fewer pass rush snaps. Due to the fact that the Washington Redskins were down late in most games, teams stopped throwing against them a number of times in the 4th quarter. In addition in the scheme that Orakpo is in he has more coverage responsibilities than most rush linebackers (and of course 4-3 defensive ends). Orakpo rushed the quarterback just 74% of the time (among passing snaps) last year, well below the 85%+ that guys like DeMarcus Ware, Tamba Hali, and Cameron Wake rushed the quarterback. Take for instance DeMarcus Ware who had 20 sacks last season. In 450 rushes, he combined for 71 pressures/hits/sacks, or one every 6.33 pass rushes. Brian Orakpo had 59 combined pressures/hits/sacks in 383 pass rushes, which breaks down to one in every 6.49 snaps.

Another interesting stat comparison is looking at Brian Orakpo's numbers versus two defensive ends, Terrell Suggs and Jason Pierre-Paul, who are widely considered among the best in the league. Take Suggs for instance, who had 14 sacks last season. He obviously had a far better year than Orakpo right? Well Suggs had 100 additional pass rushes (483) to Orakpo, but finished with two fewer (57) combined hits/pressures/sacks. Now even if you normalized the snap count and gave Orakpo 483 rushes he would have only ended up with roughly 12.5 sacks, but his combined total would jump from 59 to 74 (which would have been good for 3rd best in the league among ends and rush linebackers). Sure Suggs ends up with more sacks, but is an extra sack and a half worth all the extra pressures and hits Orakpo would have brought to the table?

Believe it or not the split between Jason Pierre-Paul and Orakpo is even worse. Pierre-Paul may have had 16 sacks, but he only had 56 combined pressures, in 558 pass rush snaps (175 more than Orakpo). Given the same snap count Orakpo would have been on pace for 14.5 sacks and 86 combined pressures, a full 30 more than what Pierre-Paul produced. Now of course guys like Pierre-Paul and Suggs were better at getting sacks, which is a valuable commodity, but it seems clear that Orakpo was perhaps a bit more of an impact player than many give him credit for, making him a major void that will need to be filled on the Redskins defense.

Now Adam Carriker can't come close to boasting numbers anywhere in the range of Brian Orakpo, as he is primarily a run defender and fairly average at that, but that doesn't mean his loss won't be felt as well. Despite being an up and down player, Carriker was an extremely sure tackler. He may not have had the instincts or athleticism to get to the ball carrier at a high rate, but when he did you could be sure that the runner was stopped cold. He also had been with Jim Haslett since their days together in St. Louis, giving him a good understanding of his role as a clogger in this defense. Carriker also showed himself to be an oportunistic pass rusher last year, taking advantage of some snaps where teams either forgot to block him, or use a TE to keep him out of the play. He wasn't a consistent pass rusher, but he could make team's pay if they paid too much attention to Orakpo, Ryan Kerrigan and Stephen Bowen. The biggest issue with his injury is that it puts quite a bit more pressure on the Redskins depth, which while solid is no longer as deep.

Replacing Carriker will be some combination of Kedric Golston, Jarvis Jenkins and Chris Baker. Now on paper that looks pretty good, but there are still quite a few question marks. Last year in a reserve role (before suffering his own season ending injury) Golston looked really solid. Unfortunately the year before when asked to play a starting role he struggled. If Golston is forced to play more than 15-20 snaps a game, it's very possible that he'll get exposed like he did in 2010. Jenkins was drafted by the Redskins in the 2nd round in 2011, but a knee injury forced him to miss the season. Expectations for him were high this year, but there has been a noticeable lack of explosion from him this year, which is a major part of his game. So far in preseason and through the first two weeks his performance has been pretty lackluster. The idea of giving him even more snaps, isn't one the Washington Redskins would have entertained until he showed that his explosion was back. Now they might not have much of an option. Baker is an interesting case as he's been bouncing around the league since going undrafted in 2009. He showed a lot of promise and power during preseason and training camp (though primarily against back-ups), and could help out in run defense. Baker was inactive the first two weeks recovering from an ankle injury he suffered in the preseason, but is fully healthy now. No single option is really ideal for the Redskins, but hopefully between the three the Redskins can make up for the loss of Carriker and still have the depth to give starters Stephen Bowen and Barry Cofield enough plays off.

Replacing Brian Orakpo of course won't be nearly as easy. Chris Wilson and Rob Jackson have both shown the ability to get pressure against back-ups in preseason, but haven't shown (albeit in limited chances) that same skill against starters when it counts. Now they should be able to garner average pressure, especially if they can rush more often again right tackles (though that of course could impact Ryan Kerrigan's numbers going against LT's). The problem is of course getting average pressure to replace what was essentially elite pressure, is a significant drop off. The Redskins are likely going to need to blitz more , and get even more creative with disguising their blitzes if they hope to not fall too far behind in the pressure department. Though he's not considered particularly good in either defending the pass or stopping the run, Orakpo had improved to at least an average level in those areas. Jackson/Wilson will need to show that they aren't liabilities in those areas, or it will make it very hard to keep them on the field, which would further hurt the pass rush..

The losses of Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker won't be easy for the Redskins to overcome, and the idea of relying on Rob Jackson, Jarvis Jenkins, Chris Wilson and Kedric Golston is far from ideal, but the Washington Redskins will have to make due. That will mean guys like Stephen Bowen, Barry Cofield, London Fletcher and Ryan Kerrigan will need to step up their games and produce at even a higher level. If the Redskins want to prove that they are a good NFL defense, that is exactly what they will need to do. It will of course be easy to make excuses for the Redskins defensive performance each week, but good teams overcome these types of injuries, and perform at a high level. So what happens over the final 14 games will determine exactly where the Redskins stand defensively.

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Washington Redskins versus New Orleans Saints: Game Thoughts and Stats

September 10, 2012 in Uncategorized

Washington Redskins Initial Thoughts:

After reviewing the game I'll have more detailed analysis on players and schemes, but here is my quick take on the game. Though it will be spelled out throughout this, the Washington Redskins did a great job winning all five of my Key's to the Game.

Robert Griffin III:

Stats-19 of 26 for 320 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Griffin also had 42 rushing yards on 10 attempts.

Robert Griffin had a tremendous game for anyone, but especially for a rookie on the road in week 1. He was extremely efficient with his passing, and did a great job of not trying to do too much for the most part. He bought time in the pocket, and showed pretty good decision making as to when to run or pass. Griffin's speed was a factor as the Saints definitely appeared concerned with his ability to take off an run.

Kyle Shanahan and the Washington Redskins Offense:

-Kyle Shanahan has been very maligned for his play calling the last couple of years in Washington, but he called an absolutely brilliant game. Shanahan did a great job of making things very simple for his rookie quarterback Robert Griffin. Griffin's first six passes (all complete) were thrown behind the line of scrimmage as screen passes, a play that Griffin is the most familiar with coming from a spread attack in college. Another thing Shanahan did was allow Griffin to operate out of shotgun so much, something else that he is used too from his college days.

-Ten of the Redskins 11 offensive plays on their initial drive came out of a shotgun/pistol formation (lone exception a run by Alfred Morris). In fact 25 of the Redskins 33 offensive plays (not counting the kneel down) in the first half came from shotgun. This was a great job of putting Robert Griffin in his most comfortable position and letting his natural talents take over.

-While the 40 points were very impressive, the 70 total offensive plays may have been even more impressive. That allowed the Redskins to sustain drives and take minutes off the clock. The Redskins won the time of possession battle in every quarter, and were 39:10 for the game. They never held the ball for less than eight minutes in a quarter, and in the first and fourth quarter held it over 10 minutes. Though the defense played a very good game, The Redskins offense made perhaps the best defensive contribution, by simply keeping Drew Brees on the sideline.

-The Washington Redskins were able to dominate the time of possession by running the ball. Washington had 44 rushing plays to just 26 passing plays, which amounted to 63% of all plays. And it wasn't just that the team ran the ball late in the game, as the Redskins had 21 rushing attempts in the first half, which accounted for 61% of this first half plays. Considering that for each of the past two seasons the Redskins run/pass ratio, has been roughly 60/40 in favor of the pass, it was an impressive show for week 1. Overall the rushing attack wasn't highly effective as they managed just 3.5 yards per carry, but it was enough. It forced the Saints to respect it, and combined with the short passing attack, put the Redskins in a lot more favorable situations.

Billy Cundiff:

-Cundiff was not a popular choice for Washington Redskins fans when he was signed last week in place of Graham Gano, but he answered the call yesterday. Cundiff went 4-4 on field goals, and helped ensure that Redskins drives didn't go to waste. Now he was kicking inside a dome, and none of the kicks were longer than 45 yards, but he got the job done. Just missing one of those kicks would have made life quite a bit easier for the Saints at the end of the game. It could have totally changed the dynamic of the game, to the point where perhaps Drew Brees wouldn't have been throwing down field for Dejon Gomes to intercept him. Cundiff also came up big on kickoffs, with six touchbacks that helped neutralized the always dangerous Darren Sproles.

Redskins Defense:

-Winning the turnover battle was huge for the Redskins defense. While Reed Doughty's interception sealed the game, the Redskins two other turnovers were even bigger impact plays. Cedric Griffin stripping the ball from Marques Colston near the goalline saved probably seven points, and it also set somewhat of a tone for the Redskins defense going into the 2nd half. Dejon Gomes interception with just over 3 minutes remaining, not only stopped the Saints after they had gone 58 yards in just over a minute on their previous drive, but his return set up an Alfred Morris TD run. That score put it back to a double digit lead.

-The other key for the Washington Redskins defense was their ability to take away the Saints rushing attack. Now the offense obviously helped in this regard by putting points on the board, but even early in the game the Saints couldn't run the football. New Orleans was actually a top 10 rushing attack last season, so stopping them was no easy task, but they finished with just 10 attempts for 32 yards. This helped make the Saints offense more one dimensional, which helped the Redskins get some pressure on Brees and knock down some passes.

-A key stop for the Washington Redskins defense was late in the 3rd quarter where after a long 87 yard drive the Redskins held the Saints to a field goal, despite New Orleans having the ball 1st and goal from the 8 yard line. Now at the time the Redskins were up 30-14, so even if the Saints had scored a touchdown, Washington would have had a two possession lead, but the defense saved four point here. That meant after the Redskins added a field goal, the Saints were forced to score two touchdowns and two 2-point conversions to even tie the game. If the Saints had gotten the touchdown there, and cut it to a 9 point lead, it would have made it a much different 4th quarter.

Concerns:

-The blocked punt was just awful execution by the special teams unit, and with concerns about Nick Sundberg being injured this could be a shaky area all season. The Washington Redskins can't afford to give up points on special teams, especially when their offense was so effective.

-Brandon Banks fumbling kicks. He had two fumbled returns yesterday, and while he recovered both of them, it's a reminder of how his big play ability works both ways. While he's capable of taking one to the house, he's also very capable of giving the other team great field position by coughing up the ball. He's still a double-edged sword for the Washington Redskins, and a serious concern going forward.

-Offensive line- For the most part it looked like the Washington Redskins Offensive Line did their pass blocking assignments, but they were helped greatly by the Redskins quick passing attack. They still had multiple penalties and struggled in run blocking. Though their blocking performance didn't cost the Skins week 1, it's hard to say with confidence that will be the case throughout the season.

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