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Redskins vs. Eagles Preview & Prediction

November 14, 2013 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

Five thoughts on Redskins NFC East battle this Sunday and my prediction:

 

Courtesy of ICON SMI

Courtesy of ICON SMI

1. The defense was awful versus the Vikings.  Let me say it again the defense was awful versus the Vikings.  And now comes the Eagles who after a couple weeks of not being able to score have found their rhythm now with Nick Foles.

And we all can remember what happened in the opener versus Mike Vick especially in the first half.  The Redskins defense showed signs before the Minnesota game of improvement but last week was horrible.  Washington's defense has to make major adjustments from the week one debacle in stopping now Foles and once again McCoy and Jackson.  I think we should see more of Rob Jackson this week that only saw 9 snaps last Thursday.  This team needs guys who are going to make plays now and Jackson has in the past.  Working him in for Brian Orakpo would be a good idea that Haslett must look at.

Having Meriwether this time actually could help also.  You need to scare DeSean Jackson and Meriweather is certainly a guy who can do that.  I remember a game where London Fletcher lit up Jackson and completely took him out of his game.  Foles has been impressive but it seems like most of his touchdowns are pretty similar.  Defense doesn't get a good rush, Foles has time and steps up, then lets a deep throw go where his receiver adjusts to the ball better than the defender, touchdown.  Riley Cooper (who probably supports the Redskins name) has had a monster month, as has DeSean Jackson.  So simple, Washington needs to get pressure (which they haven't recently) and their defensive backs have to make plays (which they kinda have) or it could be a long day.

 

2. As bad as Jim Haslett is getting it for his defense, Kyle is not far behind even though his stats would back them as a good offense.  But they could be better and will need to be better by playing a complete game.

We all remember how bad the first half was week one, that can't happen.  And even though last week they started stronger the second half needed to be better.  How much we talk about Griffin this team's success has a lot to do with Alfred Morris.  Morris can run on anyone and the Eagles shouldn't be any different.  They need to keep Morris going and going to set up the offense.  They couldn't do this week one and must Sunday.

This team has three offensive weapons playing at pro bowl levels going into Philly.  Morris is running as good as any back right now.  Pierre Garcon is coming off two huge games and Jordan Reed has become a huge option in the offense over the past month.  Minnesota showed no signs of stopping them until the second half when the pass protection broke down and gave up a bunch of sacks.  As for Griffin I think the most important aspect I want to see from him is to just connect on the crossing patterns to Garcon or Moss and the seam passes to Reed.  All of these the past few weeks could have gone for huge yards but he missed them.  I would love to that happen Sunday finally.

 

3. I hate talking special teams because in the past it was really all about when will the replace Brandon Banks.  Now it's all about when will they replace everyone?

Coverage teams are the most important concern, we know it and obviously the coaches do as they pooch kicked versus the Vikings several times.  I found that embarrassing.  Sav Rocca needs a big game Sunday if the offense cannot move the ball and he is forced to punt. Because DeSean Jackson could kill them on punt returns.

Finally they have Niles Paul returning kickoffs which was 5 weeks too late but he is there now and should help.  Interesting to see if they chose to use Nick Williams on any returns also.  Josh Morgan is a daredevil back there by refusing to fair catch with guys all around him and I expect him to one of these times make a crucial error.  Forbath needs to make kicks also because what we saw coming in as a positive had not been and he needs to get it on track.

    jordanreed2

4. The Eagles have been horrible at home and the Redskins have been horrible on the road.

So something has to give.  How bad are the Eagles at home?  DeSean Jackson asked the fans to support them and not to boo.  Their last two home games they failed to score an offensive touchdown.  And the Redskins on the road?  Blowout losses in Green Bay and Denver, escaped Matt Flynn in Oakland and poor performances in Dallas and Minnesota.  Washington won last season in Philly barely against a down Eagles team in Andy Reid's final home game.

Washington needs guys to step up Sunday.  It has to start with their leaders, Robert Griffin and London Fletcher and go on down.  Brian Orakpo and Ryan Kerrigan need big games especially with Jason Peters suffering from multiple injuries.  I feel like we say this every week but that could be just the talk of a struggling team trying to get things going right.

 

5.  Prediction-

Courtesy of ICON SMI

Courtesy of ICON SMI

I just have a hard time with this NFC East seeing the Eagles sweep the Redskins.  Although Philadelphia is due at home I am not as worried about Nick Foles as some may be.  I was about Rodgers and Manning on the road but not Foles.  He could light us up being that Ponder looked pretty good last week for once.  Or McCoy could have a field day like week one and Foles may not matter.  But I look back to the Cowboys shutting them down and think it can be done.

I got Washington 20  Philadelphia 16

 

 

Redskins vs. Vikings Gameday Preview & Prediction

November 7, 2013 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

 

1. The game features two teams that have been far from good this season but will feature two of the league’s top two running backs.

One is averaging 5.2 yards per carry while the other one is at 4.6 yards per.  But you would Adrian Peterson is the 5.2 guy but he isn't.  Alfred Morris is and leads the league's running backs in that stat.  The only reason he is not leading the league in overall yards is a lack of carries.  Washington got back to feeding Morris the ball last week against and Chargers and just like 2012 they won.  This must keep up tonight and continue through the second half of the season for the Skins to be successful.

As for Morris as a player, I think the DC area knows how good he has been in his first season and a half, but the rest of the league is still learning.  Alfred Morris is great and should be considered in the league’s top 3-5 backs no question.  Morris in games has started the first couple series slow but after that he is able to break off runs with ease.  Do I wish he was more of a pass catcher?  Yes, but that may be more of the system's lack of throwing to the backs in the early downs.  Every week I see myself watching the games and saying Morris is awesome.

 

2. As for the Vikings running back we mentioned before Adrian Peterson, he is still the game’s best.

And if anyone wanted to question that all you need to do is check last week’s game versus Dallas.  It is obvious that Washington will have to keep Peterson in check and not allow him to take over the game.  He did it early in the meeting last season but overall did not dominate the Redskins like he does to most teams.  Washington has had success against Peterson in the past including being responsible for injury him in 2011.  No one wants to see that but we do need to see him slowed down.

Because if the Vikings can get Peterson rolling it could open up things for Christian Ponder and the Vikings struggling pass attack.  Washington needs to force the Vikings into obvious pass downs and let their ball hawks have chances to get takeaways against the shaky Ponder.  Ponder can move and takeoff especially in the red zone so Haslett must have his guys ready to look for that.  And it would be huge for London Fletcher to do what he did last season which was pick up his play in the second half.  The true leader has been very quiet so far and it would nice if he could make some noise.

 

3. The Washington special teams put together their best outing two weeks ago in Denver but last week once again was a struggle.

Usually it's the coverage teams we are cursing each week but last week they threw us a curve ball.  Kai Forbath had two kicks blocked including a chip shot after a long impressive opening drive.  This cannot happen no matter how good or bad a team plays.  Shanahan blamed the blocks on Forbath's low kicks which have to concern everyone since we thought we had a solid kicker finally after many years of struggling to find one.

Forbath also must in an indoor situation get his kickoffs out of the end zone.  I don't want to give the Vikings and Cordarelle Patterson a chance to burn us.  He has been the best in the league this season so please don't even chance it.  Washington needs to make Ponder go eighty yards as much as possible tonight.  As for the Redskins return game I don't even know if it’s worth discussing or hoping they can get something out of it.  Maybe Shanahan goes to Niles Paul on kickoffs and Santana on punts to try to make some things happen.

 

4. The Vikings are 1-7 and the Redskins need to win this game versus a bad team.

But just like having Peterson on offense and not much else, the Vikings have Jared Allen on the defensive side that can change a game.  The good news is that he should face Trent Williams which will help the Skins although Allen got to Griffin last season.  Amazingly that is my first mention of Griffin so far?  But Allen is great and Brian Robison and Kevin Williams are vets who can also cause some disruption.  And I wouldn't be a true Terp if I didn't mention Erin Henderson in the middle which I am impressed with his career after not being drafted out of Maryland.

So if Silverback can contain Allen and give Griffin pocket time we should see better results in the pocket passing game than the past weeks.  Mainly because the Vikings secondary is bad and not only bad but hurting as well.  If Griffin cannot take advantage then we should have some concern about this passing game like we did after the Denver game.  But then again they should be able to continue to kill teams with the read option post to Garcon all day if they can run the ball.

 

5. As for the game prediction.

Washington has to go into Minnesota and win if they want to have any chance of making a playoff run.  I think the offense will play another complete game much like versus Chicago and San Diego and the defense will hold Peterson in the first half, resulting in a lead that forces Ponder to throw and Peterson to be less of a factor

I got it as, Washington 27  Minnesota 13

 

 

5 Keys to the Game: Redskins vs Packers Week 2

September 14, 2013 in Redskins Personnel, Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

Here are my 5 keys to Sunday's Game:

 

1. Get Griffin Going Early:

I want to see the Redskins come out with basically the same game plan they had in Griffin's first game last year versus the Saints. Now I don't think Griffin is going to be as mobile and able to do some things with his legs, but I want to see him in the Pistol formation or shotgun and peppering the Packers with a variety of screens and quick hitters. Not only can this help get Griffin and the Redskins offense in rhythm. But it builds confidence and could help silence the Packers crowd if it can lead to a quick score or two. These are throws that won't be affected by Griffin's mechanics as much if he's still having issues in that department. Also, they are not throws that Griffin is really going to have to think about too much, so there can be no second guessing as he's getting into rhythm. The other big benefit is these types of throws make it almost impossible to have any sort of positive pass rush, which helps negate the threat of Clay Matthews Jr.

Now obviously the Redskins can't do this for the entire game (though John Beck may disagree with that assessment), but it can build confidence for the team, and if it's working, the Packers will need to adjust to it. When that occurs it could open some things up down the field with some of those intermediate and deeper routes. At that point the passing attack should be back to full effectiveness, if Griffin can exploit those holes in the defense.

 

2. Establish the Running Game and use it heavily:    alfredmorris

The Redskins rushing goal shouldn't just be to get 100 yards rushing or average 4.2 yards per carry like some teams, it really has to be about dominating opponents on the ground. Robert Griffin III having 49 passing attempts is bad for this team's chances of winning and that simply can't happen again. The Redskins really want to get to that 150-200 yard rushing level, where they know they can beat opponents and control the tempo of the game. To do that, the Redskins want to get to that 30+ rushing attempts mark per game. With Griffin not a major threat to run, it falls on Alfred Morris and Roy Helu Jr. to handle the load.

The Redskins need to get both of these guys involved early on in an effort to help wear down the Packers defense. Helu offers a better option to run the football on third downs as well as run some more stuff to the outside. Morris should be once again the bell cow with 20+ carries, mainly running between the tackles in this zone blocking scheme.

It won't be easy, as the Packers bottled up the 49ers zone read attack last week and that was with Frank Gore, Kendall Hunter and a healthy option QB in Colin Kaepernick. The Redskins have to be more persistent in their attack and find some ways to disguise what they are doing to get some extra running room. Not only is this crucial for the Redskins offense to function, but a steady and strong rushing attack helps keep Aaron Rodgers off the field.

 

3. Dial Up the Pressure:

The Redskins secondary is a poor match-up for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers passing game, so the only real option is to put enough pressure on Rodgers to where his level of play returns to normal human levels. Rodgers is better than most quarterbacks when under pressure, but he does see a drop in his level of production, and that is how you beat him.

To do this, the Redskins are in a good situation as the Packers offensive line is a major work in progress, starting essentially three new starters this year, including a rookie at left tackle. Brian Orakpo, Ryan Kerrigan and the rest of the Redskins need to get this going early and often. Not only should the team rely on their talent and experience superiority, but the Redskins should look to add a variety of blitzes to help confuse the Packers line. This is the perfect opportunity to use the Redskins new nickel defense with rookie Brandon Jenkins coming on to the field and Ryan Kerrigan slipping inside to rush from a DT position.

Rodgers will still win some battles, but this is really your only chance to stop this passing attack and win this football game.

 

4. Got to Stop the Penalties:

Enough is enough. The Redskins are committing more penalties than the Hanson Brothers from Slap Shot. They are killing big plays and stopping drives in their tracks. The Redskins were able to overcome it last year, to an extent, but this year they can't count on that happening again. Now penalties weren't the main reason why they lost last week, but it will be the culprit in a couple losses going forward if they don't change this ASAP. In a week where you are on the road, and an underdog, penalties can be a killer. The Redskins can't afford to hamper themselves at all if they want to beat the Packers, and you absolutely can't give Aaron Rodgers any free yards or plays if you want to stop that offense.

 

5. Don't Play for a Field Goal:

Not only should you not be playing for field goals in general, particularly when you are going up against a high powered offense like the Packers, but that is especially true for the Redskins this week. Kicker Kai Forbath is questionable with a groin injury and might not be able to go this week. If he can't kick, the Redskins will sign John Potter who was with them in camp. Potter's reputation is that of a kick-off specialist, not a true place kicker.

In fact in the preseason the Redskins didn't even have him attempt a single field goal (he did obviously in practice though). The Redskins' options are going to be either a kicker with a sore groin, or a kicker who hasn't attempted a field goal in a game situation since at least last preseason (possibly longer). And both of them will be doing it on the road in an unfamiliar stadium. The true effective range for both kicker options is going to be pretty limited, and this has to change how the Redskins call this game.

The Redskins may decide to punt or go for it in some certain situations, and on some third and long situations the goal won't be just to pick up a couple yards or center the ball for a field goal, but to actually get the first down. The Redskins are going to have to be really careful here, and hopefully they won't be put in a situation where a field goal will decide this football game.

Redskins vs. Eagles: What to Watch

September 7, 2013 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

Here are my keys to the game and what to watch for in the Redskins vs. Eagles Monday Night divisional showdown:

 

1. How will Robert Griffin III play in his first game action?

Not many quarterbacks step into week one without taking a single preseason snap but Griffin will do that on Monday.  Griffin did not get much preseason action as a rookie and played tremendous week one in New Orleans.  Much like the Saints, the Eagles come to DC with a defense many think will struggle.  I am not really concerned with Griffin's lack of game action and think he will do just fine.

It will be interesting to see the game plan used and more importantly the decisions Griffin makes with the ball to protect himself better.  I think Washington will run the same offense that was highly effective in 2012 with the read-option, pistol, etc.  But will Griffin play smarter?  That is a huge question we will have to wait and see.

 

2. To me one of the biggest matchups on Monday night will be Ryan Kerrigan facing off versus Eagles rookie Lane Johnson.          ryankerrigan

Johnson was highly drafted and to no one’s surprise will be put right into the lineup by Chip Kelly.  It will be interesting to see how Johnson plays after darting up draft boards in April to go 4th overall.  Many see him as a perfect fit for Kelly.  With three offensive tackles in the top four picks, odds have to be that at least one ends up not being the dominant tackle their team expected.

As for Kerrigan, this is a huge game.  Everything is in his favor to have a monster season and Monday night would be a good time to start.  His buddy Brian Orakpo will once again line up on the other side from him.  The preseason showed some interesting wrinkles added to the Redskins pass rush as Jim Haslett used Kerrigan, Orakpo and rookie Brandon Jenkins effectively to get pressure.  I would expect that to continue versus the Eagles.  Although Orakpo is the one in the contract year, it would be nice for Kerrigan to get off to a quick start.

 

3. Last season Washington gave up way too many big plays on defense.  And everyone remembers what Mike Vick did to them last time they played Monday night at Fedex.  So it will be a must that the Redskins limit and prevent this from happening again.

For starters, Laron Landry isn't there to start crap before the game thankfully.  The Eagles suffered a huge loss when Jeremy Maclin went down with an ACL but DeSean Jackson is still there.  Even though he fears going over the middle near London Fletcher, he can still get behind defenses.

With Brandon Meriweather a huge question mark due to health, the Redskins will be putting a lot on rookie Bacarri Rambo.  Even though the Eagles have major questions at receiver without Maclin, Washington still has major questions with their cover guys heading into week one.  What will help?  The pass rush we discussed in #2.  Vick struggled last season but so far has got solid reviews running Kelly's offense.  Washington has to do what they did last season and force turnovers on Vick.

 

4. Speaking of turnovers Washington thrived in that category in 2012 and hopes to continue that into 2013.

What Griffin did last season was remarkable only throwing 5 interceptions in the 15 games he played in.  I don't think he gets enough credit here even if a lot of the passes were short.  Then again I believe he did lead the league in yards per attempt.  But, the Skins must not turn it over and give the Eagles a chance.  Tyler Polumbus cannot be a turnstile at right tackle.  Hankerson and Robinson cannot have drops.  And new punt returner Chris Thompson has to protect the football first before looking for the big return.

Success in 2013 starts by winning the turnover battle each week.  It worked last season and will this one.  Although they won the turnover battle, the penalty situation is a different story.  Washington continued to pile up penalties and many were of the 15 yard kind.  This needs to stop.  We are not the Detroit Lions.

 

5. Simple one.  Make Fedex Field the home advantage it was down the stretch in 2012.

This needs to keep up this season.  Even though the air was taken out of the stadium when RG3 went down at the 5 versus the Seahawks, I expect the crowd to be back Monday night going strong.  It will be nice to send the Eagles fans wearing their Mamula and Freddie Mitchell jerseys back up 95 losers.

 

 

5 Keys to Redskins vs. Bills Preseason Game

August 23, 2013 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

Here are 5 things I'm looking for in the Redskins' 3rd Preseason Game against the Bills:

 

1.  Keep everyone healthy.

The Redskins cannot afford any more injuries to players who will make the 53 man roster.  So far it has been tough and the Steelers game didn't help.  I don't expect Mike Shanahan to play his starters anywhere near as much as the usual third preseason game.  I have this feeling the Shanahan's are at a level that the offense will be ready week one to make noise.  The defense not so much, but keeping everyone on the field should outweigh finding better chemistry.

2. Opportunity for Back-up OLine         tylerpolumbus

As I mentioned the Shanahan’s know how to run an offense.  They also know how to adapt to the talent they have.  My only spot of concern (having faith in the QB's health) is still right tackle.  Tyler Polumbus has not improved and most of the first two preseason games has struggled.  Saturday is a huge opportunity for a Tony Pashos, Jeremy Trueblood or a Mo Elewonibi to step up and take the right tackle spot.  I was joking on Mo.

3. Washington needs to figure out what they are doing at safety this week.

All signs seem to be pointing at Baccari Rambo and Reed Doughty week one, but that is far from a lock.  Philip Thomas is out, DeJon Gomes has struggled worse than Polumbus, and most importantly no one knows what is going on with Brandon Merriweather and his knee.  I think it’s time to have as much faith in Merriweather being a factor as Tanard Jackson.

4. Stop the penalties.  And especially the big ones.

It’s bad when even London Fletcher is picking up the 15 yarders.  Washington is starting to look like the Raiders or the Lions.  The game has changed due to the commisioner's move to a safer game so the coaches need to get through to the Redskin players.  What bothers me is these penalties are happening early when the first two strings are in.

5. Find out who will make up the special teams.

The coverage teams have looked shaky so they need to find who can step up for Lorenzo Alexander.  Reed Doughty and Niles Paul need some help.  One way to help would be to keep John Potter on kickoffs but I am not sure that is worth the 53rd spot.  I am fine with Niles Paul on kickoffs and Richard Crawford on punt returns.  Crawford could be battling for a roster spot but I feel his return skills make him a lock.

 

 

Redskins Keys to the Game vs. Seahawks in Playoffs

January 4, 2013 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

By Staff Writer John Manuel:

Playoffs are here for the Washington Redskins, so here are my keys to the game and what to watch for in Sunday's Playoff battle against the Seahawks:

1. This matchup brings us the two hottest teams in the NFC.

The Redskins have won seven games in a row while the Seahawks have won their last five.  Both teams win streaks have come against solid opponents as well.

The Skins used their win streak to capture the NFC East crown while the Seahawks just missed out catching the 49ers and are the wildcard.  Seattle has dropped Washington in their last two playoff appearances but those games were in Seattle.  I think this plays a major role Sunday.  Earlier in the season Seattle struggled on the road but their recent play has shown them to be a much better road team.

Good news for the Skins is that both Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch have had much better statistical performances on turf than grass this season.  And we all know by now that the FedEx Field surface is far from turf.  This could play a major factor Sunday.

2- The key matchup all of the NFL world will first look at is between the two rookie quarterbacks.

Both Robert Griffin and Russell Wilson deserved Pro Bowl nods as rookies.  RG3 made it and Wilson didn't, but if it went the other way around it would have been hard to argue.  Both quarterbacks have shown poise in big games and have produced in big games.  Much will be made about Griffin's knee, but I think he is better than most feel.  I have confidence in him in the pocket and he showed last week he could still be a running factor as he ran for over 60 yards.

Unlike last week’s game versus Dallas I cannot see quarterback play being such a huge factor in who wins Sunday.  I don't see either Wilson or the Seattle game plan putting him into situations to make mistakes like Tony Romo did.

3- One of the biggest factors why the Redskins have won seven in a row is that they have not faced any top notch defenses during that stretch.

Philly, Dallas, New York, Cleveland and Baltimore were far from stellar on the defensive side of the ball.  Seattle is a different story.  Up front they can get after the quarterback and on the back end they have two corners who can man up on receivers.  "Drip cup" Sherman and Brandon Browner are the best corner pair Washington has faced all season and will challenge Redskins receivers like Pierre Garcon and Josh Morgan to get open.

Griffin will need his mobility in this game to make time for his guys to break open.  Browner and Sherman, as well as Earl Thomas are very opportunistic so RG3 must protect the football as his has done all season.

4- Both teams like to run the football and both teams have shown they can run the football.

Seattle has been successful when they go into "Beastmode" with Marshawn Lynch and the Redskins cannot let him get going Sunday.  It could be a long day for a defense that has played much better recently if Lynch can move the ball down the field.

They have to get Wilson into 3rd and longs and not 3rd and shorts so stopping Lynch will surely benefit.  As for the Redskins, once again it will be key for Alfred Morris to pound an opposing defense.  The Skins ran well against the Seahawks last season without the force that is Alfred Morris.  Sunday they must continue to ride Mo' Diesel like the Gibbs teams did on their first runs.  Morris has not hit any kind of rookie wall and seems to be getting stronger like Riggins did in the past.  We have to like that.

5- Finally special teams have a couple concerns for me.

Cobra Kai finally had a miss last week, but I am still confident in him as our kicker.  I am worried about the Seahawks being able to block a kick especially with Red Bryant in the mix.  He got us last year and it’s a concern for Danny Smith's crew.

Also, as I have mentioned in the past I really wish the team brought in a kickoff specialist and this week one is clearly needed.  Leon Washington is dangerous and I would rather not give him the opportunities to break one.  Forbath's kickoffs will give him the chance to burn the Skins.  And I was very happy with Niles Paul last week on kickoff returns.  When Dallas had the momentum, Paul came up with a great return that put the Redskins at a good starting point.  He and Richard Crawford need to do the same again.

This is the toughest opponent the Redskins will have faced since going on the streak, but I am confident not only our game plan will work but our quarterback and others can win this game.  Good news is that the last draft has put us in great position for years to come, but I still would love to see this team go far this year.  I see it being a battle and the Skins coming out victors, 17-16.

 

 

Dallas Week: Washington Redskins Keys to the Game vs. Cowboys

December 28, 2012 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

By Staff Writer John Manuel:

Its Dallas Week.  Here are my keys to the game for the Redskins to beat the Cowboys in the Sunday Night Showdown at FedEx for the NFC East crown.

1 – I will get right into it with first and foremost we need to look at the opponent.  The Dallas Cowboys are an 8-7 football team not a 10-5 or even 9-6.  They are what their record is.  And honestly if Antonio Brown could have protected the football on a punt return this game could have been meaningless for them.  I do think they can be explosive and play like they did week one versus New York but that was week one, not seventeen.

Although the Redskins have not had any games of this magnitude in years, Dallas has had a few and when they have they failed.  The Cowboys have been up and down all season, eking out wins the past two months usually having to come from behind late in games.  The Redskins did the same versus Baltimore but took care of business against teams like Cleveland, in Dallas, New York and last week in Philadelphia over this six game win streak.  Yes, the games ended close but except versus Baltimore, Washington had the lead in all those games down the stretch of the fourth quarter.

2- I could almost copy the same thing I had on the quarterbacks before the Thanksgiving game in Dallas.  Tony Romo did have a big statistical game that day almost all in the second half after the Cowboys fell way behind.  The knock on Romo has been that he can't win these types of games and now to do it on the road gives me confidence he won't be able again.  Before the season I thought Dallas could be a disaster waiting to happen and that Romo could be the fall guy by seasons end.  I will admit that Romo has played very well but let’s see what he does Sunday night.

On the other hand we as Skins fans have full confidence that Robert Griffin III will show up and do what he has done all season.  Yes, the knee will have an effect but all Griffin does is move the ball, don't turn it over and put up 100+ passer rating performances.  And oh yeah, be a true leader as a rookie.  A captain.  That is what he does.

3- Everyone's main concern this week is dealing with Dez Bryant.  And by having to deal with Dez Bryant does that open it up for Jason Witten and Miles Austin.  Bryant last week was as good as anyone other than Calvin Johnson and clearly the weakness of the Redskins is in their secondary.  But will Dez Bryant show up?  Does Dallas add 2 or 3 more chaperones this week to make sure?  I still think that the Cowboys need to watch over a 24 year old is a joke by the way.  Though every time Dez Bryant looks to be on the right path, he does something stupid.  As for on the field, I do think he will be tough to handle.

The return of Demarco Murray also will be a factor in the Washington defense being able to slow down the Dallas offense and force turnovers.  Washington's bend but don't break approach has worked in recent weeks but it has worked because of causing timely turnovers.  Ryan Kerrigan has to do what he did last week.  Rob Jackson has to get back to level of play versus the Ravens as well to help the struggling secondary face the likes of Bryant, Austin and Witten.

4- The first game showed a head to head coaching advantage for the Redskins.  This must happen again.  Mike Shanahan has obviously been in more big games than Jason Garrett and Shanny needs to win the coaching battle.

Can Shanahan win the coaching battle Sunday night?

Can Shanahan win the coaching battle Sunday night?

The obvious battle between the coaches will pit Kyle Shanahan and his offense against Rob Ryan and his defense.  Shanahan worked Ryan in Dallas on Thanksgiving and I would expect no change this week.  Rob Ryan like all the Ryans', is a clown.  Kyle has had his ups and downs but right now has it going and going good.  Ryan will not be helped by Demarcus Ware being far from 100% but Ware is tough and even at 70-80% will give Pro Bowler Trent Williams a handful like always.

On the other side it was turning into a long season for Jim Haslett until the win streak occurred.  His defense is still giving up yards but just holding opponents points down enough to win.  Just holding them down this week may not work so he will need to find holes in a suspect Dallas offensive line.

5- Maybe the most famous Redskins/Cowboys game for Washington fans is 1982 NFC Championship Game.  The game will be mostly remembered for Darryl Grant's touchdown and Dexter Manley knocking out Danny White but what can't be forgotten is how the Redskins were able to run the ball down Dallas' throat with John Riggins all day.  Washington must do the same Sunday night with Alfred Morris.

Morris has proven all season to be this team's Diesel.  And although I doubt Alfred Morris needs any motivation losing out on a Pro Bowl nod to Frank Gore makes for adding motivation.  I expect Griffin to be more of a run threat Sunday night which will open it up more for Morris as well as the receiving core.  Dallas has been torched like the Redskins many times this season so matching big plays with Dallas will be a key as well.  But I would love to see the 2012 Cowboys get pounded into the FedEx turf like 1982 Cowboys were at RFK.  Here is a link to that game.

As for what will happen.  It is crazy to say that we finally have a huge game at FedEx Field after so long.  It is actually embarrassing after the success the team had for many years under Gibbs' first coaching run.  But I have confidence in my quarterback and I have confidence in our leaders like London Fletcher.

Over the past six weeks these guys have yet to fail us on the field and I don't see it happening Sunday night.  I see a win and a division title but not as high scoring as Thanksgiving and more like the Giants Monday night game.  Redskins 23  Dallas 17

 

 

 

Preview & Keys to the Game for Redskins vs. the Eagles

December 21, 2012 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

By Staff Writer John Manuel:

Previewing the Redskins @ the Eagles this Sunday with keys to the game and what to watch for.

1 – First Meeting vs. This Game:

Based on the first meeting between the Redskins and Eagles, as well as the Eagles losses at home versus the Bengals and Panthers, I would normally not be that concerned with this game.  The only thing that concerns me is that this will be Andy Reid's final home game as coach of the Eagles.

How will his players react?  I would hope they would show respect and come to play if I was an Eagles fan.  A lot of the Reid mainstays like Michael Vick are either gone or injured, but you have to think Reid is popular still with most of his players and they don't want to send him off with another embarrassing loss.

The Eagles fans have given up on the team and Reid, but could step up this week and give them a home field advantage they haven't had in over a month.  I have been in Philly a lot lately though and listened to WIP and not so sure that will happen.

2- Leadership:

I think last week’s game showed major strides for this team coached by Mike Shanahan.  Even though it was against an opponent that was overall not that good, it was still the kind of game the Redskins teams of the recent past would have no problem dropping.  The Redskins coming back in Cleveland from some early issues to dominate the second half reassured me that this team is not the same we saw in October.

I think the coaching staff deserves a lot credit as do the veteran team leaders like London Fletcher for the fast turnaround.  Fletcher in the end may not rank up there with former Skins like Green, Jurgenson, Riggins, and Monk, but what he meant the past five years to a franchise with little success until now should put him in the conversation.

3- Defense & Adjustments:

I have made it to #3 and have yet to mention Robert Griffin or Kirk Cousins.  I think I have one more important point before I get to them.  The offense has been there all season with the ability to run the ball and turn that into big plays in the passing game.

The defense has not been there all season.  I find it very weird that the defense led by Jim Haslett has quickly transformed from playing two bad halves down to one bad half which has allowed the Redskins to win games in the second half.

A lot was made in the glory days of Joe Gibbs and his staff's ability to access what was going on in the game and make adjustments at the half.  We are seeing that once again.  Add to that the ability to force turnovers in key points in the game and we now have a defense we can have some confidence in.

4- Griffin's Return:

As for who is behind center Sunday I expect it to be Robert Griffin III.  Griffin looks to be on his way to returning to action of missing last week.  If he is cleared to play I completely agree if the team decides for him to be out there.

Kirk Cousins was great last week but RG3 is the one who needs to be out there in another must win.  Griffin had a solid effort on the field in the first meeting and a spectacular one in the stat book.  I would expect him and the offense to be able to move the ball on the Eagles defense.

Injuries to both Will Montgomery and Tyler Polumbus up front worry me even though both should be able to go.  Jordan Black is suspended and is a major blow if Polumbus can't go.  The Eagles even without Jason Babin have guys who can get to the quarterback and that should be the Redskins biggest concern Sunday.

5- Prediction:

Sunday's game could go down as a battle with the worst collection of safeties on one field in NFL history.  Both teams have been marred by horrible play at safety all season and it could be a main factor.

Nick Foles was unimpressive a few weeks back at FedEx but I have to believe he will be better this time around.  Although I feel he is way overrated as a wide receiver not having DeSean Jackson will help the Skins.  I still have bad memories of him flying by Dirty 30 on the first play of that Monday night game after Dirty did his share of talking pregame.  Unlike my buddy Kingston, who still is mad that Laron Landry is gone and even though our secondary has struggled, I still agree with the decision to let him walk.

As for the game.  The Philadelphia Eagles should be up for Andy Reid's final home game but I think this is a different Washington team than year's past.  I am confident that the better team will win and that the Redskins can not only move the ball as normal, but also force Foles and company into turnovers just like the Bengals did last week.  I see this game as a Redskins victory, 30-17.

 

 

Redskins Keys to the Game vs. Cleveland Browns

December 13, 2012 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

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By Staff Writer John Manuel:

Here are the five biggest factors for the Redskins to defeat the Cleveland Browns this Sunday:

1.  First question is obvious, what should be the determination on if Robert Griffin III plays Sunday.

Monday I would have given little chance that he would be out there by then came practice on Wednesday and that Griffin was doing much better.  Right now no one is going to say any percentage chance he is at until Friday's injury report.  And I am fine with that move by Shanahan.

That being said, my guess is that the doctors will OK him to play and the Griffin will want to play.  It's going to come down to Mike Shanahan's call after he weighs the chances to win with Kirk Cousins versus the potential long term injury risk.  These are the big decisions that Shanahan is paid megabucks by Dan Snyder for.  I don't think anyone knows the answer yet.

2. If Griffin goes it most likely means he will be able to do what we have seen all season.

Big Ben would be out there Sunday in the same situation but his playing style would allow it.  If Griffin goes he will slash the Browns defense like he has all defenses.  It will continue the Skins ability to run the ball down the throats of the Browns even though they have a solid front as of late with Phil Taylor back.

The Browns have been playing better but it’s very low impressive wins versus teams like the Chiefs and Raiders.  I am convinced at this point that an 80% Griffin can move the ball against any NFL defense.

3. If Kirk Cousins is under center it is a big change.

Who will play this Sunday in Cleveland...Griffin or Cousins?

Who will play this Sunday in Cleveland…Griffin or Cousins?

I do think the Redskins can win this game with Cousins, although we have seen very little.  I think the coaching staff and Rex Grossman will have Cousins ready to play.  Cousins having Pierre Garcon out there will be a huge assist as well.  I have been amazed with the offensive game plans this season and especially most recently.  So I would expect the same if they have to prepare for a Cousins start.

The big difference could be protecting the football.  Griffin has been Brady-like all season throwing only four picks.  Cousins threw two in short work versus Atlanta so that would be the team’s biggest concern going with Cousins.

4. The Cleveland Browns offense is very young even though the quarterback is almost 30.

Sounds weird but it is what it is.  Brandon Weeden has played better than most expected and recently has found a big play connection with fellow rookie Josh Gordon.  Gordon has to be licking his chops to get against the Washington secondary like any wideout in the NFL, CFL, BCS, High School, or college intermurals.

For the defense it has to start up front stopping another rookie in Trent Richardson.  Richardson has been solid this season and is due for a monster game.  Both Rice and Pierce ran at 6 yard clips last week which is scary since the run defense has been decent.  Although that could be misleading since any good passing team should just pick the Skins apart and put the running game on the back burner.

Richardson scares me a lot more than Weeden in this game.  I can't see Weeden picking the Skins D apart as easily as Flacco, Manning and Romo did for a half of each game.

5. I am going to add this until they do something about it.  The Redskins must add a kickoff specialist this week.

I know roster spots are valuable but one long kickoff return can cost them any of these three final games.  Josh Cribbs or Travis Benjamin can easily burn us bad this week.  The Brandon Banks roster is useless now with Richard Crawford returning punts.  Make the move now.

I would even take Billy Cundiff back for kickoffs only at this point.  Cobra Kai Forbath is money on field goals but the Skins can't risk a big return even if their coverage teams are solid.  Goodell is giving teams a touchback with the 35 yard line rule so we need to take it.

As for my predictions.  Plural, because RG3 playing or not may be bigger than the game prediction itself.  I think Griffin goes Sunday and leads them to another win but it will be tough.  I'm thinking 20-17 win for this game.

 

 

Battle of the Beltway: Redskins Keys to the Game vs. Ravens

December 7, 2012 in Washington Redskins Keys to the Game

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By Staff Writer John Manuel:

1. Offensive System & Play Calling:

I think the one major advantage right now the Redskins have is with how their offensive system and play calling has been working compared to the Ravens.  The Redskins have constantly been able to run the ball to set up big plays in play-action.  I can see Washington continue to have success this week in the run game versus Baltimore going forward much like Monday versus the Giants.

With the Ravens you have not had that consistency with their offense led by Joe Flacco, and moving the ball on the road has been a major problem.   The Redskins need to do what kills the Baltimore fan base, which is to get Cam Cameron to forget that he has Ray Rice in the offensive huddle.  A player like Rice will give the Redskins more trouble than any back they have seen all season even though the Redskins have had success stopping the run.

 2. Pass Defense:

As for the defenses I think it comes down to one major question for each team.  First for the Redskins, they cannot get beat by the deep ball to Torrey Smith.  Flacco is not afraid to try it and the Redskins are a prime target.  Madieu Williams cannot be caught flat footed, side footed, or goofy footed with a threat like Torrey Smith.  And with Cedric Griffin done and DeAngelo Hall in a walking boot the secondary is in very bad shape as is.

As for the Ravens the question is can they be the first team to solve the read option of Robert Griffin III.  And it is going to start by being able to stop the run since the Ravens are also hurting at the corner position.  It will be interesting to see the battle between Griffin andHall of Famer Ed Reed.  RG3 has not faced a play making safety like Reed so far.

3. Turnover Margin:

Both teams have solid positive turnover margins coming into the game so I expect this to be a major factor.  The Redskins actually won a game versus the Giants where they lost the turnover battle Monday night.  They will not want to chance that again versus Baltimore.  Griffin protects the ball better than Flacco, which is surprising for a rookie versus someone who has played in many playoff games in his career.

As I say every week, the Washington defense has to force pressure on Flacco but I don't see that happening being that they are not facing a shaky line like Dallas or Philly.  The Skins got a huge sack from Rob Jackson versus the Giants but that was about it.  It’s time for Ryan Kerrigan to step up in one-on-one situations.

Griffin got lucky last week with his fumble and cannot risk plays like that.  Baltimore is always opportunistic as guys like Reed always find the ball and change games.  Ask Mark Brunell and Clinton Portis.  Reed has already single-handily beaten Washington twice in his career.

4. Home Field Advantage:

The Washington crowd has to continue what it started last week versus the Giants and have a home field advantage.  It is embarrassing that I have to make this point and that it’s not a given like the RFK days, but it is very important.  Baltimore has struggled on the road especially on offense and the crowd must be a factor.  I know that many Ravens fans will make the short trip down to FedEx but the Skins will have an advantage.  The one thing that can eliminate a home crowd is getting behind big early and the Redskins have to get off to a solid start.

5. Game Prediction:

As for the game.  The short series has been won by Baltimore 3 of 4 times with the Redskins only highlight being a Stephen Davis stiff arm to Rod Woodson.  Since the Browns moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens, the more successful organization has easily been Baltimore.  This could easily be summed up by the Redskins former GM for most of that period is now out of the league and doing radio in Baltimore.  All the while the Ravens have Ozzie Newsome.

That being said and hopefully quickly forgotten, these teams are a lot closer than their 9-3 and 6-6 records.  I have a lot more confidence in Robert Griffin III than I would in Joe Flacco.  The Skins defense blows but has been better as of late while the Ravens defense is better than Washington, it is not the same of years past.  And possibly once again without a monster like Terrell Suggs they are much closer than one would think.

It is hard to see a John Harbaugh coached Ravens team dropping two straight but based on the Ravens road struggles where they cannot put together a solid 4 quarters I have the Redskins winning 24-13.