Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Draft Grades

Round 1, Pick 24 (24)                                      David DeCastro           G                      Stanford Grade A+

Round 2, Pick 24 (56)                                      Mike Adams                T                      Ohio State: Grade A+

Round 3, Pick 23 (86)                                      Sean Spence                LB                    Miami: Grade B

Round 4, Pick 14 (109) (From Raiders                Alameda Ta’amu        DT                    Washington: Grade A-

through Redskins)

Round 5, Pick 24 (159)                                    Chris Rainey                RB                    Florida: Grade B+

Round 7, Pick 24 (231)                                    Toney Clemons           WR                  Colorado: Grade C

Round 7, Pick 33 (240) (Compensatory)             David Paulson             TE                    Oregon: Grade C+

Round 7, Pick 39 (246) (Compensatory)             Terrence Frederick     CB                    Texas A&M: Grade C

Round 7, Pick 41 (248) (Compensatory)             Kelvin Beachum          T                      SMU: Grade C+

PITTSBURGH STEELERS FINAL 7-ROUND MOCK DRAFT:

1^st Round:

24. Pittsburgh Steelers- OL Cordy Glenn, Georgia:

The Steelers need to find some upgrades at a number of spots, with the offensive line being perhaps the most pressing need. Pittsburgh could look for help at either guard or tackle making Glenn a smart selection.

2^nd Round:

56. Pittsburgh Steelers- LB Bobby Wagner, Utah State

3^rd Round:

86. Pittsburgh Steelers- NT Josh Chapman, Alabama

4^th Round:

119. Pittsburgh Steelers- G Lucas Nix, Pitt

5^th Round:

159. Pittsburgh Steelers- S Brandon Taylor, LSU

6^th Round:

193. Pittsburgh Steelers- OT Levy Adcock, Oklahoma State

7^th Round:

231. Pittsburgh Steelers – CB Ron Brooks, LSU

240. Pittsburgh Steelers (Comp.) – G Jaymes Brooks, VA Tech

246. Pittsburgh Steelers (Comp.) – WR Jarrett Boykin, VA Tech

248. Pittsburgh Steelers (Comp.) – QB Case Keenum, Houston

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UPDATED March 24, 2012

Pittsburgh Steelers Team Needs In Priority Order:

1. Tackle

2. Inside Linebacker

3. Nose Tackle

4. Guard

5. Cornerback

6. Running back

7. Backup QB

8. Safety depth

9. Wide Receiver

BALTIMORE RAVENS:

27. Jimmy Smith, cornerback, Colorado: While the whole trade mess, was a black mark it wasn’t really Baltimore’s fault. Smith fills a big need for the Ravens, and should really help their defense.

58. Torrey Smith, wide receiver, Maryland: Torrey Smith is a great fit for Baltimore as gives Flacco a true deep threat and another prime weapon.

85. Jah Reid, tackle, Central Florida: The Ravens have multiple offensive linemen who are free agents and Reid is a nice value at this spot.

123. Tandon Doss, wide receiver, Indiana: With Housh a free agent and Mason nearing the end of his career, Baltimore needs multiple WR’s. Doss is a good value here and I see him developing into a nice number 3 receiver going forward.

164. Chykie Brown, cornerback, Texas: The Ravens CB’s were pretty bad last season and their top 3 corners are all free agents. Brown is a good nickel corner prospect and should have an impact going forward.

165. Pernell McPhee, defensive end, Mississippi State: This is a great value for McPhee who was more of a 4th round prospect. I’ll be interested to see if they look for him to stand up, or put on weight and play the 5 technique, but either way he has value.

180. Tyrod Taylor, quarterback, Virginia Tech: Taylor is a nice value here and while he might never become a starting QB, he could help as a wildcat type of QB.

225. Anthony Allen, running back, Georgia Tech: This is a nice value for the Ravens as Baltimore is likely to lose a couple of their backup backs to free agency. Allen has nice size and could be a good between the tackles back in the future.

GRADE: A-

Baltimore did a great job addressing their needs at CB and WR, while at the same time not reaching for players. Grabbing Reid was a nice pickup in the 3rd round that filled another big need as well. I also liked their late round picks as I believe none were reaches and all add quality depth to the Ravens.

CINCINNATI BENGALS:

4. A.J. Green, wide receiver, Georgia: I like AJ Green, but when you have as many needs as the Bengals have a wide receiver isn’t really the answer. Apparently the Bengals had a chance to take the Falcons offer and they passed on it, which I think they will grow to regret.

35. Andy Dalton, quarterback, TCU: I like Andy Dalton and could see him start in this league, but he was more of a 2nd or 3rd round pick in my book. I just don’t think Dalton will be any better than an average starter and that to me isn’t worth a high 2nd rounder.

66. Dontay Moch, defensive end, Nevada: Moch is an impressive pass rusher, but he really only looks like a situational pass rusher for the Bengals. I just don’t know if he can be an every down LB in a 4-3. I love this area for Moch, but just don’t know if he is good fit here.

101. Clint Boling, guard/tackle, Georgia: This is a good fit for Boling and nice value pick here. The Bengals needed to address their line and this is a nice addition for them.

134. Robert Sands, safety, West Virginia: I love this pick for the Bengals. Sands is a bit raw, but he has big time upside, and feels a big need for them.

167. Ryan Whalen, wide receiver, Stanford: Whalen is a nice pick here. Cincy needs some depth at WR and Whalen is a good possession receiver.

207. Korey Lindsey, cornerback, S. Illinois: Lindsey is a nice value pick here and gives the bengals some nice depth.

246. Jay Finley, running back, Baylor: I like this pick for the Bengals, Finley is a power back and should find a role here.

GRADE: B-

Overall I liked the Bengals draft, but I just felt that their hope of a Green and Dalton combo won’t be what they expect. Green could be great, but the track record for big play receivers isn’t pretty. I also don’t see Dalton as a star quarterback they are looking for. The end of their draft could be pretty redeemable, which makes me think it will all balance out for the Bengals.

CLEVELAND BROWNS:

21. Phil Taylor, nose tackle, Baylor: While this could be slightly high for Taylor he has the upside to be a star defensive tackle.

37. Jabaal Sheard, defensive end, Pittsburgh: I love this Sheard pick for the Browns. I think he can be a very good pass rusher and should make a big impact for Cleveland.

59. Greg Little, wide receiver, UNC: The Browns gave up the shot to take Julio Jones, but they still could end up with an impact WR. Little has major upside and I think he can be the number one WR, Cleveland was looking to give Colt McCoy.

102. Jordan Cameron, tight end, USC: The Browns added a big time upside TE in Cameron and another weapon for their offense. This is a great value here and really could set the Browns up going forward.

124. Owen Marecic, fullback/linebacker, Stanford: Marecic is a classic fullback, and is a nice pick for the Browns here. He makes their running game even more potent.

137. Buster Skrine, cornerback, UT-Chattanooga: Skrine could be a nice late round value for the Browns and I really believe he can develop into a starter.

150. Jason Pinkston, guard, Pittsburgh: Pinkston is a steal in the 5th round and fits a bit need at either RT or G. I think he can be a solid starter and a nice value pick here.

248. Eric Hagg, safety, Nebraska: Hagg is a good young safety and a real solid 7th round value. He will likely never be a starter, but he is a nice value as a backup/special teamer.

GRADE: A+

I thought the Browns had an excellent draft from top to bottom. They made the bold move to trade down from number 6 overall, but for their combined 1st and 3rd rounders, Cleveland ended up with Taylor, Little, Marecic and the Falcons 1st and 4th rounder next year. In addition I think Sheard, Cameron, Skrine and Pinkston should all be significant contributors early on in their careers.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS:

31. Cameron Heyward, defensive end, Ohio St: DE wasn’t the biggest need, but Heyward is an excellent value here. Pittsburgh knows how to build a 3-4 defense, and this Heyward pick is the perfect example.

63. Marcus Gilbert, tackle, Florida: Gilbert fills a big need for Pittsburgh at either tackle or guard. He was a nice value pick here and fills a major need for them.

95. Curtis Brown, cornerback, Texas: the Steelers corners last year got burned constantly last season. Brown is a great value at the bottom of the 3rd round and could end up being even better than 2nd round college teammate Aaron Williams.

128. Cortez Allen, cornerback, Citadel: The Steelers needed to double up on CB’s in this draft and they did exactly that. Allen is a nice developmental guy and should be at least a 3rd corner.

162. Chris Carter, outside linebacker, Fresno St: This is an absolute steal for Pittsburgh as Carter was expected to go in the 3rd round. Carter is an excellent pass rushing prospect and is going to the absolute best team possible for him.

196. Keith Williams, guard, Nebraska: The Steelers needed to add multiple offensive linemen, and while Williams isn’t a star prospect, he has some nice potential.

232. Brandon Batch, running back, Texas Tech: This is a nice late round pick for the Steelers as he has some depth potential and could be a special teamer.

GRADE: A-

Pittsburgh got great value at each of their picks while filling their biggest needs. Pittsburgh added three players that should help them right away, while getting great depth guys later in the draft. The Steelers did a nice job not reaching for players and taking guys that fit their system.

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3: Round 4

97. Carolina Panthers: QB Ricky Stanzi, Iowa-

I don’t know if the Panthers are sold on the long term future of Jimmy Clausen. While I don’t think they will opt for a QB in round 1, they will keep their eye on the midround guys. Stanzi has some upside, and was extremely productive as a senior in college. Good value for this pick.

98. Seattle Seahawks (from New England via Denver): G/T DeMarcus Love, Arkansas-

The Seahawks need to upgrade their offensive line, if they hope to win the West again. They have needs at guard, and possibly at RT, which means Love versatility is a plus. Personally I like Love more as a guard, and see that as the better fit.

99. Buffalo Bills: ILB Kelvin Sheppard, LSU-

If the Bills resign both Akin Ayodele and Paul Posluszny, then inside linebacker isn’t a huge need, but that could be a big ‘if’. And the Bills might not want to put that much money in the position. Even if they do resign both backers, Sheppard is a great value for this spot, and the Bills could be tempted from a depth standpoint.

100. Cincinnati Bengals: WR Greg Little, North Carolina-

If the Bengals haven’t done so by now they will definitely look to address their receiver position in the mid rounds of the draft. Little has 2nd round talent, but 4th or 5th round red flags attached. Cincinnati has overlooked character concerns in the past, so if they have any indication that Little is past all his troubles they will have no problem snatching him in the 4th round. With T.O. on the way out the door and Chad Johnson likely to follow suit, Little will fill a major need for the Bengals.

101. Cleveland Browns: CB Chimdi Chekwa, Ohio State-

The Browns drafted Joe Haden last year in the first round, but they really don’t have much else at CB. Chekwa has good size and speed but he’s not the complete package. He is good value for this spot, and coming from Ohio State doesn’t hurt either.

102. Arizona Cardinals: G Will Rackley, Leigh-

The Cardinals have major needs along their offensive line, so adding a quality guard like Rackley would be a steal here. Rackley is one of my favorite players in this draft class. I think he has immense upside and will quickly develop into a good starting guard.

103. Philadelphia Eagles (from Washington): OLB K.J. Wright, Miss. State-

The Eagles need a lot of help at both of their OLB, spots and Wright offers great value and upside. He might not be a true starter in year one, but he should be by year two, and Philly should be quite happy with what he becomes.

104. Houston Texans: OLB Chris Carter, Fresno State-

Defense, defense, defense! I know some might hate to see yet another defensive pick, but their offense wasn’t the problem last season. Carter gives them another pass rusher to help allieviate the pressure on their corners and safeties.

105. Minnesota Vikings: WR Austin Pettis, Boise State-

The Vikings will need another weapon if Sidney Rice leaves via free agency this offseason. Even if Rice is retained, Minnesota’s receiver depth could use some fresh blood.

106. Detroit Lions: CB Jalil Brown, Colorado-

After adding their offensive lineman in round 1, the Lions need to add as many defenders as possible in this draft. In particular they need help in their back 7. Brown got overshadowed by his more highly touted teammate (Jimmy Smith), but he is a very talented corner in his own right. Good value here for Detroit.

107. San Francisco 49ers: RB Derrick Locke, Kentucky-

With Brian Westbrooke not likely to return the 49ers will be in the market for a, small quick back out of the backfield. Locke, is a good player and should be a valuable target out of the backfield for whomever lines up behind center.

108. Tennessee Titans: OLB Lawrence Wilson, Connecticut-

The Titans could use an upgrade at outside linebacker, and although Wilson might not be ready to start he would add much needed depth and should develop into a starting role.

109. Dallas Cowboys: G Zach Hurd, Connecticut-

The Cowboys need to really invest some picks into their offensive line, and Hurd is good value for this slot. He could need a year to develop, but should be at the very least the Cowboys primary reserved guard.

110. Miami Dolphins: WR Vincent Brown, San Diego State-

This needs to be an offensive draft for the Dolphins and jumping on the 4th round receiver bandwagon would seem like a good idea. Miami is set with their starting two receivers, but they could use a third option to help jump start their offense. Brown caught just about everything thrown his way at the Senior Bowl and would be a fine addition to the Dolphins.

111. St. Louis Rams: DE Greg Romeus, Pittsburgh-

Although DE isn’t a major need for the Rams, Romeus is a great value at this pick. Going into this past season he seemed like a sure-fire 1st rounder. While injuries have obviously caused him to slide, he is a find in the 4th round. James Hall is 34 years old, and probably can’t be counted on to have too many more great seasons.

112. Oakland Raiders: TE Luke Stocker, Tennessee-

Given all the big contracts they’ve handed out of late, I don’t know if the Raiders have the resources to pay big money to their tight end Zach Miller. If that’s the case look for them to target a replacement in the mid rounds. Stocker is the most complete tight end on the board, and should replace Miller fairly well.

113. Jacksonville Jaguars: WR Terrence Toliver, LSU-

The Jaguars are going to be losing WR Mike Sims-Walker this offseason so a mid round replacement, will help ensure the Jags offense doesn’t suffer too much.

114. San Francisco 49ers (from San Diego): FS Chris Culliver, South Carolina-

The 49ers could use more help in their secondary and Culliver is the best free safety on the board at this point. I like Culliver’s upside and I really do believe he can become a starter at the next level.

115. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: RB Jacquizz Rodgers, Oregon State-

Tampa could be in the market for a small shifty back to complement Blount this season. I love Rodgers, but I doubt he gets picked much higher than this due to his bad timed speed. Bucs fans shouldn’t worry though as, he plays quite a bit faster than the stopwatch suggests.

116. New York Giants: TE D.J. Williams, Arkansas-

Kevin Boss is a free agent so if he leaves the Giants will need to address their need at some point in this draft.

117. Kansas City Chiefs: C Tim Barnes, Missouri-

The Chiefs starting center is going to be 38 years old, it might just be time to think about a replacement. Barnes has some upside and should develop into a starting caliber guy.

118. Indianapolis Colts: S Ahmad Black, Florida-

I know some will say that Black isn’t big enough to hold up as a starting strong safety, but you have to love the kid’s heart, ball skills, and football I.Q. I think he will be just fine at the next level, and I don’t see the Colts having any problems with his diminutive size. Bob Sanders their former star safety wasn’t known for his size, yet he was one of the best safeties in the league when healthy.

119. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Jah Reid, UCF-

If Marcus Cannon ends up at guard (either short or long term) the Eagles could use a young RT to develop. Reid has a lot of size and potential, and looks to be a good fit for Philly.

120. Jacksonville Jaguars (from New Orleans): S Jeron Johnson, Boise State-

The Jags need to double up at safety in this draft class, and Johnson is a good pick for this spot. While some see him more of a strong safety, I really think he can handle the center field spot.

121. Buffalo Bills: (from Seattle): G Steve Schilling, Michigan-

Buffalo needs to keep upgrading their offensive line, particularly if they plan on grooming a young quarterback.

122. Baltimore Ravens: RB Roy Helu, Nebraska-

As much as the Ravens are looking to improve their passing attack, they still need to rely on their ground game if they have any shot of competing for a Super Bowl berth. With Le’Ron McClain a free agent and Willis McGahee likely to be released, Baltimore needs to find an upgrade. Helu has great value at this spot, and should be a great number 2 back to Rice.

123. Atlanta Falcons: DE Cliff Matthews, South Carolina-

The Falcons need to make sure they don’t ignore their defense this offseason as they look to retool for another playoff run. Defensive end is their primary need area, as they need to create more consistent pressure on the quarterback. Matthews is a bit limited overall, but I think he fits well as a situational pass rusher, making him a good fit for the end of the 4th round.

124. New England Patriots: NT Jerrell Powe, Mississippi-

Powe might not be the biggest need for the Patriots, but his presence will allow Vince Wilfork to play on the outside some as well as rest up more, which should make him an even bigger force late in games. Powe isn’t a star NT, but he is capable of playing in the NFL and having a significant impact.

125. New York Jets: NT Ian Williams, Notre Dame-

The past two seasons the Jets lost their starting NT in week one, and while their backups handled the job well, they need to add quality depth to that position. Williams isn’t just your traditional space eating nose tackle, but he gets excellent leverage and holds up at the point of attack.

126. Chicago Bears: CB Rashard Carmichael, Virginia Tech-

For the Bears to win the North again and make another run at the Super Bowl, they will need to get past Aaron Rodgers. Which means having as many talented corners as possible is a pretty good idea. Carmichael offers good value here, and has good upside. He doesn’t run the fastest or look the best in drills, but when he’s on the field you know he can play.

127. Pittsburgh Steelers: CB Buster Skrine, Chattanooga-

Ditto…The Steelers know first hand what it is like to have to face the Packers and their receivers. Pittsburgh has to improve this secondary as they can’t rely solely on the pass rush.

128. Green Bay Packers: DE/DT Terrell McClain, South Florida-

The Packers could lose Cullen Jenkins to free agency, which would make this a bigger need, but even if they keep him McClain is good value for them here.

Round 1 picks 1-16
Round 1 picks 17-32
Round 2
Round 3

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3: Round 4

17. New England Patriots (From Oakland): WR Jon Baldwin, Pittsburgh-

The Patriots could look to go in a number of directions here, including DE (the 3-4 variety), RB, WR, OT, OG, or Rush LB, and I think they will take the best player available at one of those needs. Although I would typically look for them to fill one of their defensive needs, I’d be a little shocked if they let Jon Baldwin get past them. Baldwin has big time speed and play making ability, and he could be the perfect replacement for Randy Moss.While I know there are some concerns about his attitude, overall I think Baldwin will be an exceptional addition and offer great value to the Pats.

New England is a prime candidate to trade up (or even trade down), but right now I think Watt is their prime choice.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OLB Aldon Smith

Feb. 18th update: The Patriots will give Cam Jordan a long hard look, as well as Julio Jones. I think Watt is still their pick and he will be an immediate starter.

Feb. 25th update: Watt almost looks like he was born to be a Patriot, and while there are some other interesting options I still see this as they way they go.

Mar. 2nd: Watt blew up the combine, but unfortunately for him so did a number of other players. Watt is basically a borderline top 10 talent, so getting him at 17 is fantastic value.

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection, DE J.J. Watt

18. San Diego Chargers: DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin-

With the Patriots passing on J.J. Watt, San Diego lands a player worth of a top 10 pick in the 2nd half of round 1. The Chargers could consider an offensive lineman or receiver here, but defensive end is their biggest need and Watt should fill it exceptionally well.

pick change, Jan. 25th previous pick: DE J.J. Watt

pick change, Feb. 3rd previous pick: WR Julio Jones

Feb. 25th update: I’d still be pretty shocked to see Jordan fall this far, but it is possible. If he does the Chargers almost have to take him.

pick change:Feb. 24th previous selection DE Cam Jordan.

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection OLB Robert Quinn

Mar. 20th update: Watt is a great fit for San Diego and a steal if they can land him this late.

19. New York Giants: OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA-

Although a number of teams could target Ayers, I see him falling a little bit, since he is more of a 4-3 OLB, than a 3-4. Sure he rushes the passer, but guys like Smith and Miller do it better. Ayers plays better in coverage and diagnosing runs, making him a more ideal fit for a 4-3 team. The Giants desperately need to upgrade their back 7 (and could also look DT). He can be useful blitzing the quarterback, but can go out in coverage as well. He would be a big upgrade for the G-men, and should be able to start from day 1.

Feb. 3rd update: Giants still will look at a few other positions, but I don’t see them passing up Ayers and a big upgrade to that defense.

Feb. 17th update: I know some people are looking for the Giants to take an offensive lineman , but I don’t see it in the first round. Not with Ayers on the board.

Feb. 25th update: Ayers to the Giants is one of the biggest no-brainers in this draft, and barring them landing a top LB in free agency I can’t see how they look elsewhere.

Mar. 2nd update: I wasn’t thrilled with Ayers at the Combine, and considered moving him down, but I think what is more likely is he is now the late teens-early 20′s player, that I’ve been slotting him as. He still is a great fit for the G-Men, and should be near the top of their draft board.

Mar. 6th update: I’m still enough of a believer in Ayers to keep him at this spot, but I think his hold of it is tenuous at best.

Mar. 2oth update: I’ve been a little concerned about Ayers straight line speed, but I think that matters a bit less in a 4-3 than a 3-4. I still think Ayers is a solid pick here, and a fit for the Giants.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue-

I’ve been mocking them an offensive tackle for some time, but I really think Tampa could be happy with Ryan Kerrigan. He has fallen some in my book and this is a bit high for him, but he can get after the quarterback. Sacks didn’t come easy for the Buccaneers last season, and that has to change for them to take their game to the next level and become a playoff team. I worry about Kerrigan in the ground game, but I do still like him as a pass rusher.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OT Nate Solder

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection OT Gabe Carimi

Mar. 2nd update: Kerrigan blew up at the Combine, and really showed great athleticism. He even answered some questions about standing up as an OLB. I think Kerrigan is a great fit for Tampa and should be a fantastic pass rusher at the next level.

Mar. 6th update: I think Tampa would be thrilled with Kerrigan, and it will take something pretty spectacular to make them look in a different direction.

Mar. 20th update: Kerrigan is a great fit for their system, and he should greatly increase the amount of pressure the Bucs get on the opposing quarterbacks next season.

21. Kansas City Chiefs: OLB/DE Justin Houston, Georgia-

The Chiefs might be desperate for a receiver, but there is no one on the board here worth taking. I realize that they have been drafting pretty steady on defense of late, but they do have their tight end, running back, and quarterback (at least they believe so) positions set. Offensive line looks pretty good assuming they resign their free agents (not big name stars so I see them coming back). Receiver is a big issue, but it will need to be addressed in free agency to find a real fix. I think the Chiefs will look to add another pass rusher to compliment Hali, and Houston is a great fit. While the Chiefs defense did a lot of things well this season they were really a one man show when it came to rushing the passer. If they can add a second threat it will strengthen the entire defense.

Feb. 3rd Update: The Chiefs still are in need of a complement to Hali, and I think Houston is the perfect fit for them.

Feb. 18th Update: Justin Houston still looks like a great pick for the Chiefs, though Julio Jones will tempt them. If they have not added anyone via free agency, Jones could be the pick, otherwise Houston and Hali will wreck havoc on the AFC West.

Feb. 24th update: 3-4′s succeed because of their line (which is improving) and their pass rush, adding Houston ensures the latter of those two is going to be very good.

Mar. 2nd update: Houston I thought put together a very nice Combine, and showed well in both the athletic and positional drills. Houston is firming up a spot in the top 20-25 rankings and is a good fit in K.C.

Mar. 6th update: This is a slight reach for the Chiefs, but I still don’t see why they wouldn’t want a bookend to Hali.

Mar. 20th update: I like Houston probably a bit more than most people and don’t see this a a true reach. I also think Houston is a great fit for the 3-4 and that he will excel there.

22. Indianapolis Colts: OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College-

I finally gave in and now have the Colts taking an offensive tackle. They could take one in free agency, but they might not want to pay the high price tag with having to resign Peyton this offseason. Look for the Colts to add a good defensive player or two in free agency to allow them to take an OT. Castonzo I thought preformed well at the Scouting Combine, and looked to be the 2nd best tackle in the draft. I don’t think he is the perfect tackle, but he should be a day one starter and protect Peyton’s blindside for a number of years.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DT Stephen Paea

Feb. 18th update: I realize I’m going against the grain here as most people have them targeting a tackle. I just feel strongly the Colts will use free agency and the rest of the draft to fill their OT need. Ballard is a great fit for them and fills a huge need.

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection DT Christian Ballard

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection OT Gabe Carimi

Mar. 6th update: While DT is still a real possibility, if they have a shot at Castonzo, I can’t see them passing it up. Protecting Manning and getting some help for the ground game is a top priority.

Mar. 20th update: Castonzo is exactly what the Colts need, and I think something special would have to occur for them to change this pick.

23. Philadelphia Eagles: CB Brandon Harris, Miami-

The Eagles have a pressing need at offensive tackle and I’m not buying their faith in Winston Justice, but I am starting to think they might look elsewhere in the draft. Corner back is almost as big of a need as offensive line, and Brandon Harris has great starting potential. Given the level of talent of the Cowboys and Giants receiving corps, the Eagles need to matchup if they want to stay competitive.

Feb. 3rd update: Although I’d personally prefer Carimi, I’m thinking Sherrod will go higher in the draft. Unless they upgrade OT in free agency the Eagles need to strengthen that line.

Feb. 18th update: Sherrod could move a little higher, but this seems like a good spot for him. If the Eagles haven’t addressed their corner need a guy like Brandon Harris is a legitimate option.

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection OT Derrek Sherrod

Mar. 2nd update: Jimmy Smith has some red flags, but the Eagles have been known to take chances on people. He has fantastic talent so they are getting an elite player, but there are some serious questions.

Mar. 6th update: Jimmy Smith on talent alone is a top 15 player, but his character concerns will likely get him to slip the Eagles.

pick change: Mar. 6th previous selection Jimmy Smith

24. New Orleans Saints: G/C Mike Pouncey, Florida-

I think Mark Ingram would have been their pick if he was available. But, with him off the board and the Saints filling their DT need with Shaun Rogers, I could see them looking to upgrade their offensive line. Yes they already have two of the best guards in the league, but Carl Nicks is a restricted free agent, and I’m not sure if they are willing to have both of their guards signed to massive contracts. If they land Pouncey, they could look to trade Nicks, before he is an unrestricted free agent next season. Even if they keep Nicks, they could always start Pouncey at center where, there current starter, Jonathan Goodwin is also currently a free agent.

Feb. 3rd update: More and more I’m thinking the Saints will look at Ingram with this pick. Their lack of a consistent running game is their only flaw on offense. And while the running back by committee approach worked two years ago, this year was a fairly big disaster. Ingram alleviates that, and can be the true feature back for them.

pick change: Feb 18th previous selection RB Mark Ingram

Feb. 24th update: There are a couple ways the Saints could go, but adding a DT, could really bring this defense together. I know it is a number of years straight taking a defensive player first, but without another first round quality running back, I can’t see that trend changing.

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection DT Drake Nevis

Mar. 6th update: Pouncey is somewhat of a luxury pick, but it allows them to have multiple options. It is never a bad strategy to strengthen their offensive line, so I see this a real possibility.

Mar. 20th update: I know some Saints fans aren’t happy with the Pouncey pick, but it is great value and really secures the long term future for the Saints offensive line.

25. Seattle Seahawks: DT Corey Liuget, Illinois-

The Seahawks have a number of needs so I think they will go with the best player available strategy, and at this point no player has more value than Liuget. Liuget has the makings of a star defensive tackle. While he could potentially play outside in a 3 man front, his best position is DT. Seattle could be looking at losing their best D-lineman in DT Brandon Mebane, so Liuget could possibly be his replacement. Even if they keep Mebane, pairing him with Liuget would be a nightmare for opposing offenses.

pick change: previous selection DE Cameron Jordan

Feb. 17th update: Aaron Williams still makes sense at this pick, though D-line is still an option. A lot could depend on whether or not they bring Brandon Mebane back at DT, if he leaves there is a pretty big hole for the Seahawks to fill.

Feb. 24th update: I still like Williams with this pick, but with so many needs, it is very possible they go in a different direction.

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection CB Aaron Williams

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection QB Jake Locker

Mar. 20th update: This is a great value pick for the Seahawks, and they add a great young talent in the middle of their defensive line.

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Aaron Williams, Miami-

The Ravens have one of the elite defenses in the league, but their corner back play is still average at best. Williams is a bigger more physical corner, but he can still cover quicker guys. He probably won’t develop into an elite corner, but he should be a good starter.

Feb. 3rd update: Ravens could target defensive line or linebacker, but I’m fairly confident this pick is on defense. CB remains their biggest need and Harris is a good fit for them.

Feb. 17th update: This is pure need over desire. Julio Jones would look nice in a Ravens uniform, but they have to fill that hole at CB.

Feb. 24th update: Corner back has to be number one on the Ravens wish list, and Harris is good value at this spot.

Mar. 2nd update: I think Harris is quickly becoming the 3rd best corner in this draft class. He looks to be a playmaker at the next level and shouldn’t disappoint Ravens fans.

Mar. 6th update: Harris has a lot of upside and while he might not be elite he has the potential to be pretty close to it.

pick change: Mar. 6th previous selection, CB Brandon Harris

27. Atlanta Falcons: TE Kyle Rudolph, Notre Dame-

Although the Falcons need to upgrade their pass rush, there aren’t any good 4-3 ends available at this pick. They could grab a guy like Heyward or Ballard and kick him inside on passing downs, but I’m guessing they go in a different direction. They could target an offensive lineman if they lose one of their starters in free agency, but for now I like Kyle Rudolph with this pick. No it isn’t the wide receiver they are hoping for, but Rudolph, should still be a good weapon in year one, despite being Tony Gonzalez’s understudy. Surround Matt Ryan with as many weapons as possible is key for Atlanta, and Rudolph definitely qualifies.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection TE Kyle Rudolph

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Torrey Smith

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Julio Jones

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection DE Christian Ballard

Mar. 6th update: This is a little high for Rudolph, but he is the perfect fit for the Falcons, and with no DE’s available here that are worth the pick, adding a weapon for Ryan is key.

Mar. 20th update: Rudolph might be coming off an injury, but I really believe he will develop into a weapon at the next level.

28. New England Patriots: OT Derek Sherrod, Miss. St.-

While I like the idea of the Patriots grabbing a playmaker, I’m thinking they will take the more practical approach at take an offensive lineman. Sherrod is 4th on my OT board, but I see him as a guy the Patriots will like. He can play on either side and is more of a pass blocker than a run blocker. The Pats need him, because with Matt Light on the way out, and New England’s once elite offensive line is showing some holes. The Jets exploited some of those weaknesses in the Playoffs, as they were even able to get pressure with 3 and 4 men rushing. Unless the Patriots add a top tackle in free agency, they will have to address it early in the draft.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DE Allen Bailey

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Titus Young

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Torrey Smith

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

Mar. 6th update: Unless they add a FA tackle the Pats need to add a starting caliber guy, and Sherrod is the top guy on the board.

Mar. 20th update: Could the Pats draft two offensive players in the first round? Sure, will they could be another matter. As it stands now Sherrod would be an excellent value pick here and fill a pretty good need.

29. New York Jets: DE Muhammad Wilkerson Temple-

The Jets are likely to lose Shaun Ellis to free agency this offseason leaving a major void along their defensive line. I think this has to be New York’s top priority come draft time, and they should be quite pleased with Wilkerson. I’ve previously had Cameron Heyward here, but his injury could knock him down a peg. Wilkerson is a little raw, but he flashes big time upside, and looks to be effective both against the rush and the pass. He should ensure that the Jets don’t miss Ellis too much, and will help keep this defense among the league’s elite.

Feb. 3rd update: While Heyward’s injury could have him drop into the early 2nd round, I think the Jets will probably look past that. Now of course you never know and a lot will be dependent on how much he can workout before the draft. Right now I still think he is their pick.

Feb. 17th update: Jets franchised Harris and apparently their top targets are their two receivers. It looks as though they could need a corner, but I’m guessing they find another way to fill that need.

Feb. 24th update: A lot will depend on what they lose in free agency, but until then Heyward is the smart pick.

Mar. 2nd update: Heyward is still the tentative pick, but I do believe there are a number of directions the Jets could go.

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection DE Cameron Heyward

Mar. 20th update: I like Wilkerson for the Jets and I think he is going to be the type of guy who starts early in his career.

30. Chicago Bears: OT Nate Solder, Colorado -

Nate Solder is a boom or bust tackle, and I consider him the 5th best OT in the draft. I do think he will go higher than others and remain a first round pick because of that unlimited upside. I liked what I saw from Solder in the offensive lineman drills at the Combine, but his lack of upper body strength does worry me. He’s a good fit for Chicago, given his quickness, but he needs to maintain leverage if he is going to be a star.

pick change: previous selection OT DeMarcus Love

Feb. 17th update: I have some real concerns about Solder, and the more I watch him the less I like, but I am thinking he will still go in the first round. The Bears have a big enough need they, won’t let the concerns about Solder stop them.

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection OT Nate Solder

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection OT Derek Sherrod

Mar. 6th update: The Bears need to come out of this draft with an offensive tackle, otherwise I really doubt they’ll be able to come anywhere close to replicating their success from last year.

Mar. 20th update: With Solder’s good Pro Day I think he is now locked into the 1st round.

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin-

I’ve had Pouncey going to the Steelers for quite some time, but I could see him off the board by this pick. If that is the case Pittsburgh should waste no time turning in their card for Carimi, who is a perfect fit for them. Last season both of their starting tackles missed a significant amount of time due to injury, so it is a major need for Pittsburgh. Carimi could have been born to play in Pittsburgh as he is a pure road grinder, with a blue collar attitude. He will be devastating in run blocking and more than hold his own in pass blocking. He’s probably a better fit on the right side, but since both tackles need upgraded he fits in Pittsburgh.

Feb. 3rd update: CB and OT are still big needs, but grabbing another interior lineman is key. I don’t think there is anyway they let Pouncey slip by them.

Feb. 17th update: I know the Steelers have a need at corner, but their guards were getting pretty well manhandled in the Super Bowl. Putting the Pouncey boys together will be the best thing for both Roethlisberger and Mendenhall.

Feb. 24 update: I still think Pouncey and Pouncey is a dream scenario for the Steelers offensive line. Now if Willie Colon or Ike Taylor leave it could change their strategy.

pick change: previous selection OG Mike Pouncey

Mar. 6th update: I love the Carimi to the Steelers idea. I think he is just the blue collar, power running guy that they are looking for.

Mar. 20th update: Carimi will likely get passed up as a RT only in most systems, but in Pittsburgh’s power scheme he could play on the blind side.

32. Green Bay Packers: WR Torrey Smith, Maryland-

This is a bit of a luxury pick, but it makes sense as well. I know the Packers have some defensive and offensive line issues, but they also could have a huge issue developing at WR. James Jones is a free agent, and I’m guessing he’ll get priced out of what the Packers are willing to pay. On top of Jones leaving, Donald Driver is coming off his worst season and might only have one more year left. A good young receiver like Torrey Smith, does make some sense for the Packers. Their window is now, and adding weapons for Aaron Rodgers has to be a top priority. Smith has the speed and quickness to help stretch the field, and be a home run threat.

Feb. 3rd update: Packers could go in a different direction, but I think Liuget makes a lot of sense for them still.

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection DE/DT Corey Liuget

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Titus Young

Mar. 2nd update: I thought Smith had a pretty good Combine overall and should make a strong case for being the Packers pick. They could look at another area, but I think the idea of adding a top weapon will prevail.

Mar. 6th update: This is a pick that could go in any number of directions, but the Packers are pretty definite to lose James Jones this season, so they could look long and hard at WR.

Mar. 20th update: I’ll be pretty shocked if the Packers would leave Smith still on the board. He is a good value here and a big weapon upgrade than some of the Packers current receivers.

Round 1 Picks 1-16
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4

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97. Carolina Panthers: QB Ricky Stanzi, Iowa-

I don’t know if the Panthers are sold on the long term future of Jimmy Clausen. While I don’t think they will opt for a QB in round 1, they will keep their eye on the midround guys. Stanzi has some upside, and was extremely productive as a senior in college. Good value for this pick.

98. Seattle Seahawks (from New England via Denver): G/T DeMarcus Love, Arkansas-

The Seahawks need to upgrade their offensive line, if they hope to win the West again. They have needs at guard, and possibly at RT, which means Love versatility is a plus. Personally I like Love more as a guard, and see that as the better fit.

99. Buffalo Bills: ILB Kelvin Sheppard, LSU-

If the Bills resign both Akin Ayodele and Paul Posluszny, then inside linebacker isn’t a huge need, but that could be a big ‘if’. And the Bills might not want to put that much money in the position. Even if they do resign both backers, Sheppard is a great value for this spot, and the Bills could be tempted from a depth standpoint.

100. Cincinnati Bengals: RB DeMarco Murray, Oklahoma-

The Bengals need an upgrade in their backfield even if Cedric Benson does return. Murray at his best is a strong and powerful runner, who flashes the ability to be a number 1 guy. I’m not a huge fan of his and think this is an overdraft, but there is some upside there.

101. Cleveland Browns: CB Chimdi Chekwa, Ohio State-

The Browns drafted Joe Haden last year in the first round, but they really don’t have much else at CB. Chekwa has good size and speed but he’s not the complete package. He is good value for this spot, and coming from Ohio State doesn’t hurt either.

102. Arizona Cardinals: OLB/DE Ugo Chinasa, Oklahoma State-

The Cardinals need to add multiple pass rushers as former Steelers LB’s Joey Porter and Clark Haggans are on the downside of their career. Chinasa is rising up draft boards and displays a lot of potential.

103. Philadelphia Eagles (from Washington): OLB K.J. Wright, Miss. State-

The Eagles need a lot of help at both of their OLB, spots and Wright offers great value and upside. He might not be a true starter in year one, but he should be by year two, and Philly should be quite happy with what he becomes.

104. Houston Texans: NT Jerrell Powe, Mississippi-

Defense, defense, defense! I know some might hate to see yet another defensive pick, but their offense wasn’t the problem last season. Powe isn’t a great pass rusher, but he should help out on early downs in stopping the run.

105. Minnesota Vikings: DE Greg Romeus, Pittsburgh-

The Vikings could use another defensive end as Ray Edwards is primed to leave, and their depth is suspect at best. This is also a high value pick, as Romeus is a first round talent, but has fallen due to injuries this past season. If he grades out medically, this is a complete steal for the Vikings.
106. Detroit Lions: CB Jalil Brown, Colorado-

After adding their offensive lineman in round 1, the Lions need to add as many defenders as possible in this draft. In particular they need help in their back 7. Brown got overshadowed by his more highly touted teammate (Jimmy Smith), but he is a very talented corner in his own right. Good value here for Detroit.
107. San Francisco 49ers: RB Derrick Locke, Kentucky-

With Brian Westbrooke not likely to return the 49ers will be in the market for a, small quick back out of the backfield. Locke, is a good player and should be a valuable target out of the backfield for whomever lines up behind center.
108. Tennessee Titans: WR Austin Pettis, Boise State-

While the Titans have decent receivers, they could use a mid-late round pick to help strengthen the position. Pettis is good value here and looks to be a good possession receiver at the next level.
109. Dallas Cowboys: WR Greg Little, North Carolina-

Receiver isn’t the biggest need for the Cowboys on paper, but they are likely to part with Roy Williams this offseason, so an upgrade could be in order. Little is a great value at this spot, and should step in immediately to their 3rd receiver spot.
110. Miami Dolphins: WR Vincent Brown, San Diego State-

This needs to be an offensive draft for the Dolphins and jumping on the 4th round receiver bandwagon would seem like a good idea. Miami is set with their starting two receivers, but they could use a third option to help jump start their offense. Brown caught just about everything thrown his way at the Senior Bowl and would be a fine addition to the Dolphins.
111. St. Louis Rams: S Tyler Sash, Iowa-

The Rams safety position was a weakness, even before they released O.J Atogwe, and he was signed by the Redskins. Now they could use help at both spots. While most feel that Sash is a strong safety only, I see good ball skills and think he could maybe even play free safety. I love his upside and feel like he is the best pick for St. Louis here.
112. Oakland Raiders: TE Luke Stocker, Tennessee-

Given all the big contracts they’ve handed out of late, I don’t know if the Raiders have the resources to pay big money to their tight end Zach Miller. If that’s the case look for them to target a replacement in the mid rounds. Stocker is the most complete tight end on the board, and should replace Miller fairly well.
113. Jacksonville Jaguars: WR Terrence Toliver, LSU-

The Jaguars are going to be losing WR Mike Sims-Walker this offseason so a mid round replacement, will help ensure the Jags offense doesn’t suffer too much.
114. San Francisco 49ers (from San Diego): WR Darvin Adams, Auburn-

The 49ers don’t have much beyond their starting receivers, and they should look to add at least one this April. I’m not a huge Adams fan, but he has some decent skills, and is reportedly a fantastic worker and teammate. He offers decent value for this pick.
115. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: RB Jacquizz Rodgers, Oregon State-

Tampa could be in the market for a small shifty back to complement Blount this season. I love Rodgers, but I doubt he gets picked much higher than this due to his bad timed speed. Bucs fans shouldn’t worry though as, he plays quite a bit faster than the stopwatch suggests.
116. New York Giants: TE D.J. Williams, Arkansas-

Kevin Boss is a free agent so if he leaves the Giants will need to address their need at some point in this draft.
117. Kansas City Chiefs: C Tim Barnes, Missouri-

The Chiefs starting center is going to be 38 years old, it might just be time to think about a replacement. Barnes has some upside and should develop into a starting caliber guy.
118. Indianapolis Colts: S Ahmad Black, Florida-

I know some will say that Black isn’t big enough to hold up as a starting strong safety, but you have to love the kid’s heart, ball skills, and football I.Q. I think he will be just fine at the next level, and I don’t see the Colts having any problems with his diminutive size. Bob Sanders their former star safety wasn’t known for his size, yet he was one of the best safeties in the league when healthy.
119. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Jah Reid, UCF-

If Marcus Cannon ends up at guard (either short or long term) the Eagles could use a young RT to develop. Reid has a lot of size and potential, and looks to be a good fit for Philly.
120. Jacksonville Jaguars (from New Orleans): S Jeron Johnson, Boise State-

The Jags need to double up at safety in this draft class, and Johnson is a good pick for this spot. While some see him more of a strong safety, I really think he can handle the center field spot.
121. Buffalo Bills: (from Seattle): G Zach Hurd, Connecticut-

Buffalo needs to keep upgrading their offensive line, particularly if they plan on grooming a young quarterback.
122. Baltimore Ravens: RB Roy Helu, Nebraska-

As much as the Ravens are looking to improve their passing attack, they still need to rely on their ground game if they have any shot of competing for a Super Bowl berth. With Le’Ron McClain a free agent and Willis McGahee likely to be released, Baltimore needs to find an upgrade. Helu has great value at this spot, and should be a great number 2 back to Rice.
123. Atlanta Falcons: WR Edmund Gates, Abilene Christian-

Atlanta needs to keep adding weapons for their offense, and Gates offers good 4th round value. He has the speed to stretch the field, and should fit in nicely as a slot receiver.
124. New England Patriots: S Joe Lefeged, Rutgers-

Joe Lefeged is one of my favorite players in this draft class. He can play either safety position and should be a huge help on special teams for the Patriots. I think he offers great 4th round value, and makes a promising young secondary even better going forward.
125. New York Jets: NT Ian Williams, Notre Dame-

The past two seasons the Jets lost their starting NT in week one, and while their backups handled the job well, they need to add quality depth to that position. Williams isn’t just your traditional space eating nose tackle, but he gets excellent leverage and holds up at the point of attack.
126. Chicago Bears: CB Rashard Carmichael, Virginia Tech-

For the Bears to win the North again and make another run at the Super Bowl, they will need to get past Aaron Rodgers. Which means having as many talented corners as possible is a pretty good idea. Carmichael offers good value here, and has good upside. He doesn’t run the fastest or look the best in drills, but when he’s on the field you know he can play.
127. Pittsburgh Steelers: CB Buster Skrine, Chattanooga-

Ditto…The Steelers know first hand what it is like to have to face the Packers and their receivers. Pittsburgh has to improve this secondary as they can’t rely solely on the pass rush.
128. Green Bay Packers: DE/DT Terrell McClain, South Florida-

The Packers could lose Cullen Jenkins to free agency, which would make this a bigger need, but even if they keep him McClain is good value for them here.

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17. New England Patriots (From Oakland): DE J.J Watt, Wisconsin-

The Patriots could look to go in a number of directions here, including DE (the 3-4 variety), RB, WR, OT, OG, or Rush LB, and I think they will take the best player available at one of those needs. Given their propensity to focus on defense I think that is where they will look. While they could go for one of the top rush guys on the board, I think they will target J.J. Watt here. He improves their pass rush from his end position and will help free up their linebackers. I’m sure the Patriots will want one of the top rush linebackers, but I don’t see them reaching for a guy like Houston or Ayers here, not with Watt still on the board.

New England is a prime candidate to trade up (or even trade down), but right now I think Watt is their prime choice.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OLB Aldon Smith

Feb. 18th update: The Patriots will give Cam Jordan a long hard look, as well as Julio Jones. I think Watt is still their pick and he will be an immediate starter.

Feb. 25th update: Watt almost looks like he was born to be a Patriot, and while there are some other interesting options I still see this as they way they go.

Mar. 2nd: Watt blew up the combine, but unfortunately for him so did a number of other players. Watt is basically a borderline top 10 talent, so getting him at 17 is fantastic value.

18. San Diego Chargers: OLB Robert Quinn, North Carolina-

The Chargers have franchised Vincent Jackson so at least one of their receivers are coming back. While they could still look at Julio Jones here, I think the Chargers take the best player on the board. They need a defensive end, but I don’t think there is anyone here who is top 20 worthy, so consider them a prime target to trade up. If they stay where they are Robert Quinn, would make a good selection. Rush linebacker isn’t a major need, but Larry English has just been average so far, and Antwan Applewhite is just a decent starter. Not to mention Shaun Phillips is getting up there in age, so San Diego could get some use out of Quinn. At the Combine I had some worries about Quinn standing up, but he is such a talent that it shouldn’t matter. Quinn has top 5 ability, but missing a season and an average Combine could push him down.

pick change, Jan. 25th previous pick: DE J.J. Watt

pick change, Feb. 3rd previous pick: WR Julio Jones

Feb. 25th update: I’d still be pretty shocked to see Jordan fall this far, but it is possible. If he does the Chargers almost have to take him.

pick change:Feb. 24th previous selection DE Cam Jordan.

19. New York Giants: OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA-

Although a number of teams could target Ayers, I see him falling a little bit, since he is more of a 4-3 OLB, than a 3-4. Sure he rushes the passer, but guys like Smith and Miller do it better. Ayers plays better in coverage and diagnosing runs, making him a more ideal fit for a 4-3 team. The Giants desperately need to upgrade their back 7 (and could also look DT). He can be useful blitzing the quarterback, but can go out in coverage as well. He would be a big upgrade for the G-men, and should be able to start from day 1.

Feb. 3rd update: Giants still will look at a few other positions, but I don’t see them passing up Ayers and a big upgrade to that defense.

Feb. 17th update: I know some people are looking for the Giants to take an offensive lineman , but I don’t see it in the first round. Not with Ayers on the board.

Feb. 25th update: Ayers to the Giants is one of the biggest no-brainers in this draft, and barring them landing a top LB in free agency I can’t see how they look elsewhere.

Mar. 2nd update: I wasn’t thrilled with Ayers at the Combine, and considered moving him down, but I think what is more likely is he is now the late teens-early 20′s player, that I’ve been slotting him as. He still is a great fit for the G-Men, and should be near the top of their draft board.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue-

I’ve been mocking them an offensive tackle for some time, but I really think Tampa could be happy with Ryan Kerrigan. He has fallen some in my book and this is a bit high for him, but he can get after the quarterback. Sacks didn’t come easy for the Buccaneers last season, and that has to change for them to take their game to the next level and become a playoff team. I worry about Kerrigan in the ground game, but I do still like him as a pass rusher.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OT Nate Solder

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection OT Gabe Carimi

Mar. 2nd update: Kerrigan blew up at the Combine, and really showed great athleticism. He even answered some questions about standing up as an OLB. I think Kerrigan is a great fit for Tampa and should be a fantastic pass rusher at the next level.

21. Kansas City Chiefs: OLB/DE Justin Houston, Georgia-

The Chiefs might be desperate for a receiver, but there is no one on the board here worth taking. I realize that they have been drafting pretty steady on defense of late, but they do have their tight end, running back, and quarterback (at least they believe so) positions set. Offensive line looks pretty good assuming they resign their free agents (not big name stars so I see them coming back). Receiver is a big issue, but it will need to be addressed in free agency to find a real fix. I think the Chiefs will look to add another pass rusher to compliment Hali, and Houston is a great fit. While the Chiefs defense did a lot of things well this season they were really a one man show when it came to rushing the passer. If they can add a second threat it will strengthen the entire defense.

Feb. 3rd Update: The Chiefs still are in need of a complement to Hali, and I think Houston is the perfect fit for them.

Feb. 18th Update: Justin Houston still looks like a great pick for the Chiefs, though Julio Jones will tempt them. If they have not added anyone via free agency, Jones could be the pick, otherwise Houston and Hali will wreck havoc on the AFC West.

Feb. 24th update: 3-4′s succeed because of their line (which is improving) and their pass rush, adding Houston ensures the latter of those two is going to be very good.

Mar. 2nd update: Houston I thought put together a very nice Combine, and showed well in both the athletic and positional drills. Houston is firming up a spot in the top 20-25 rankings and is a good fit in K.C.

22. Indianapolis Colts: OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College-

I finally gave in and now have the Colts taking an offensive tackle. They could take one in free agency, but they might not want to pay the high price tag with having to resign Peyton this offseason. Look for the Colts to add a good defensive player or two in free agency to allow them to take an OT. Castonzo I thought preformed well at the Scouting Combine, and looked to be the 2nd best tackle in the draft. I don’t think he is the perfect tackle, but he should be a day one starter and protect Peyton’s blindside for a number of years.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DT Stephen Paea

Feb. 18th update: I realize I’m going against the grain here as most people have them targeting a tackle. I just feel strongly the Colts will use free agency and the rest of the draft to fill their OT need. Ballard is a great fit for them and fills a huge need.

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection DT Christian Ballard

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection OT Gabe Carimi

23. Philadelphia Eagles: CB Jimmy Smith, Colorado-

The Eagles have a pressing need at offensive tackle and I’m not buying their faith in Winston Justice, but I am starting to think they might look elsewhere in the draft. Corner back is almost as big of a need as offensive line, and Jimmy Smith is moving up draft boards. He is a big strong physical corner, that will have no problem matching up with the Cowboys’ Dez Bryant and Miles Austin. Smith should really shore up that secondary and turn it into a strength. The Eagles will need to still find an offensive tackle, but they should have some options in free agency to do so.

Feb. 3rd update: Although I’d personally prefer Carimi, I’m thinking Sherrod will go higher in the draft. Unless they upgrade OT in free agency the Eagles need to strengthen that line.

Feb. 18th update: Sherrod could move a little higher, but this seems like a good spot for him. If the Eagles haven’t addressed their corner need a guy like Brandon Harris is a legitimate option.

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection OT Derrek Sherrod

Mar. 2nd update: Jimmy Smith has some red flags, but the Eagles have been known to take chances on people. He has fantastic talent so they are getting an elite player, but there are some serious questions.

24. New Orleans Saints: G/C Mike Pouncey, Florida-

I think Mark Ingram would have been their pick if he was available. But, with him off the board and the Saints filling their DT need with Shaun Rogers, I could see them looking to upgrade their offensive line. Yes they already have two of the best guards in the league, but Carl Nicks is a restricted free agent, and I’m not sure if they are willing to have both of their guards signed to massive contracts. If they land Pouncey, they could look to trade Nicks, before he is an unrestricted free agent next season. Even if they keep Nicks, they could always start Pouncey at center where, there current starter, Jonathan Goodwin is also currently a free agent.

Feb. 3rd update: More and more I’m thinking the Saints will look at Ingram with this pick. Their lack of a consistent running game is their only flaw on offense. And while the running back by committee approach worked two years ago, this year was a fairly big disaster. Ingram alleviates that, and can be the true feature back for them.

pick change: Feb 18th previous selection RB Mark Ingram

Feb. 24th update: There are a couple ways the Saints could go, but adding a DT, could really bring this defense together. I know it is a number of years straight taking a defensive player first, but without another first round quality running back, I can’t see that trend changing.

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection DT Drake Nevis

25. Seattle Seahawks: QB Jake Locker, Washington-

Seattle could go in a number of different directions, but Jake Locker’s strong Combine, could propel him back into the first round. I still believe he is a developmental QB, but given his local ties and the need for a long term option, Seattle could pull the trigger on this one. Locker still needs to work on his accuracy and footwork, but he does have a lot of promise.

pick change: previous selection DE Cameron Jordan

Feb. 17th update: Aaron Williams still makes sense at this pick, though D-line is still an option. A lot could depend on whether or not they bring Brandon Mebane back at DT, if he leaves there is a pretty big hole for the Seahawks to fill.

Feb. 24th update: I still like Williams with this pick, but with so many needs, it is very possible they go in a different direction.

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection QB Jake Locker

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Brandon Harris, Miami-

The Ravens have one of the elite defenses in the league, but their corner back play is still average at best. Harris is a promising young corner, who has the skills to develop into a number one corner. Until then the Ravens will be quite happy with him being number two, and a big upgrade.

Feb. 3rd update: Ravens could target defensive line or linebacker, but I’m fairly confident this pick is on defense. CB remains their biggest need and Harris is a good fit for them.

Feb. 17th update: This is pure need over desire. Julio Jones would look nice in a Ravens uniform, but they have to fill that hole at CB.

Feb. 24th update: Corner back has to be number one on the Ravens wish list, and Harris is good value at this spot.

Mar. 2nd update: I think Harris is quickly becoming the 3rd best corner in this draft class. He looks to be a playmaker at the next level and shouldn’t disappoint Ravens fans.

27. Atlanta Falcons: TE Kyle Rudolph, Notre Dame-

Although the Falcons need to upgrade their pass rush, there aren’t any good 4-3 ends available at this pick. They could grab a guy like Heyward or Ballard and kick him inside on passing downs, but I’m guessing they go in a different direction. They could target an offensive lineman if they lose one of their starters in free agency, but for now I like Kyle Rudolph with this pick. No it isn’t the wide receiver they are hoping for, but Rudolph, should still be a good weapon in year one, despite being Tony Gonzalez’s understudy. Surround Matt Ryan with as many weapons as possible is key for Atlanta, and Rudolph definitely qualifies.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection TE Kyle Rudolph

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Torrey Smith

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Julio Jones

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection DE Christian Ballard

28. New England Patriots: OT Derek Sherrod, Miss. St.-

While I like the idea of the Patriots grabbing a playmaker, I’m thinking they will take the more practical approach at take an offensive lineman. Sherrod is 4th on my OT board, but I see him as a guy the Patriots will like. He can play on either side and is more of a pass blocker than a run blocker. The Pats need him, because with Matt Light on the way out, and New England’s once elite offensive line is showing some holes. The Jets exploited some of those weaknesses in the Playoffs, as they were even able to get pressure with 3 and 4 men rushing. Unless the Patriots add a top tackle in free agency, they will have to address it early in the draft.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DE Allen Bailey

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Titus Young

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Torrey Smith

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

29. New York Jets: DE Cameron Heyward, Ohio State-

The Jets are likely to lose Shaun Ellis to free agency this offseason leaving a major void along their defensive line. I think this has to be New York’s top priority come draft time, and they should be quite pleased with Heyward. While some question his motor, he seems to read the snap count very well for a college player and a solid assortment of moves. The Jets will be quite pleased with Heyward going forward and he should help keep their defense near the top.

Feb. 3rd update: While Heyward’s injury could have him drop into the early 2nd round, I think the Jets will probably look past that. Now of course you never know and a lot will be dependent on how much he can workout before the draft. Right now I still think he is their pick.

Feb. 17th update: Jets franchised Harris and apparently their top targets are their two receivers. It looks as though they could need a corner, but I’m guessing they find another way to fill that need.

Feb. 24th update: A lot will depend on what they lose in free agency, but until then Heyward is the smart pick.

Mar. 2nd update: Heyward is still the tentative pick, but I do believe there are a number of directions the Jets could go.

30. Chicago Bears: OT Nate Solder, Colorado -

Nate Solder is a boom or bust tackle, and I consider him the 5th best OT in the draft. I do think he will go higher than others and remain a first round pick because of that unlimited upside. I liked what I saw from Solder in the offensive lineman drills at the Combine, but his lack of upper body strength does worry me. He’s a good fit for Chicago, given his quickness, but he needs to maintain leverage if he is going to be a star.

pick change: previous selection OT DeMarcus Love

Feb. 17th update: I have some real concerns about Solder, and the more I watch him the less I like, but I am thinking he will still go in the first round. The Bears have a big enough need they, won’t let the concerns about Solder stop them.

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection OT Nate Solder

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection OT Derek Sherrod

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin-

I’ve had Pouncey going to the Steelers for quite some time, but I could see him off the board by this pick. If that is the case Pittsburgh should waste no time turning in their card for Carimi, who is a perfect fit for them. Last season both of their starting tackles missed a significant amount of time due to injury, so it is a major need for Pittsburgh. Carimi could have been born to play in Pittsburgh as he is a pure road grinder, with a blue collar attitude. He will be devastating in run blocking and more than hold his own in pass blocking. He’s probably a better fit on the right side, but since both tackles need upgraded he fits in Pittsburgh.

Feb. 3rd update: CB and OT are still big needs, but grabbing another interior lineman is key. I don’t think there is anyway they let Pouncey slip by them.

Feb. 17th update: I know the Steelers have a need at corner, but their guards were getting pretty well manhandled in the Super Bowl. Putting the Pouncey boys together will be the best thing for both Roethlisberger and Mendenhall.

Feb. 24 update: I still think Pouncey and Pouncey is a dream scenario for the Steelers offensive line. Now if Willie Colon or Ike Taylor leave it could change their strategy.

pick change: previous selection OG Mike Pouncey

32. Green Bay Packers: WR Torrey Smith, Maryland-

This is a bit of a luxury pick, but it makes sense as well. I know the Packers have some defensive and offensive line issues, but they also could have a huge issue developing at WR. James Jones is a free agent, and I’m guessing he’ll get priced out of what the Packers are willing to pay. On top of Jones leaving, Donald Driver is coming off his worst season and might only have one more year left. A good young receiver like Torrey Smith, does make some sense for the Packers. Their window is now, and adding weapons for Aaron Rodgers has to be a top priority. Smith has the speed and quickness to help stretch the field, and be a home run threat.

Feb. 3rd update: Packers could go in a different direction, but I think Liuget makes a lot of sense for them still.

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection DE/DT Corey Liuget

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Titus Young

Mar. 2nd update: I thought Smith had a pretty good Combine overall and should make a strong case for being the Packers pick. They could look at another area, but I think the idea of adding a top weapon will prevail.

Round 1 Picks 1-16
NFL Draft Blog

17. New England Patriots (From Oakland): DE J.J Watt, Wisconsin-

The Patriots could look to go in a number of directions here, including DE (the 3-4 variety), RB, WR, OT, OG, or Rush LB, and I think they will take the best player available at one of those needs. Given their propensity to focus on defense I think that is where they will look. While they could go for one of the top rush guys on the board, I think they will target J.J. Watt here. He improves their pass rush from his end position and will help free up their linebackers. I’m sure the Patriots will want one of the top rush linebackers, but I don’t see them reaching for a guy like Houston or Ayers here, not with Watt still on the board.

New England is a prime candidate to trade up (or even trade down), but right now I think Watt is their prime choice.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OLB Aldon Smith

Feb. 18th update: The Patriots will give Cam Jordan a long hard look, as well as Julio Jones. I think Watt is still their pick and he will be an immediate starter.

Feb. 25th update: Watt almost looks like he was born to be a Patriot, and while there are some other interesting options I still see this as they way they go.

18. San Diego Chargers: DE Cam Jordan, Cal-

The Chargers have franchised Vincent Jackson so at least one of their receivers are coming back. While they could still look at Julio Jones here, I think the Chargers take the best player on the board in Cam Jordan. Jordan is a great young defensive end that absolutely dominated during Senior Bowl week. Jordan fills a big need for the Chargers and makes their top defense even better. If they can’t land a receiver or retain Floyd in free agency this could change quickly.

pick change, Jan. 25th previous pick: DE J.J. Watt

pick change, Feb. 3rd previous pick: WR Julio Jones

Feb. 25th update: I’d still be pretty shocked to see Jordan fall this far, but it is possible. If he does the Chargers almost have to take him.

19. New York Giants: OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA-

Although a number of teams could target Ayers, I see him falling a little bit, since he is more of a 4-3 OLB, than a 3-4. Sure he rushes the passer, but guys like Smith and Miller do it better. Ayers plays better in coverage and diagnosing runs, making him a more ideal fit for a 4-3 team. The Giants desperately need to upgrade their back 7 (and could also look DT). He can be useful blitzing the quarterback, but can go out in coverage as well. He would be a big upgrade for the G-men, and should be able to start from day 1.

Feb. 3rd update: Giants still will look at a few other positions, but I don’t see them passing up Ayers and a big upgrade to that defense.

Feb. 17th update: I know some people are looking for the Giants to take an offensive lineman , but I don’t see it in the first round. Not with Ayers on the board.

Feb. 25th update: Ayers to the Giants is one of the biggest no-brainers in this draft, and barring them landing a top LB in free agency I can’t see how they look elsewhere.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue-

I’ve been mocking them an offensive tackle for some time, but I really think Tampa could be happy with Ryan Kerrigan. He has fallen some in my book and this is a bit high for him, but he can get after the quarterback. Sacks didn’t come easy for the Buccaneers last season, and that has to change for them to take their game to the next level and become a playoff team. I worry about Kerrigan in the ground game, but I do still like him as a pass rusher.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OT Nate Solder

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection OT Gabe Carimi

21. Kansas City Chiefs: OLB/DE Justin Houston, Georgia-

The Chiefs might be desperate for a receiver, but there is no one on the board here worth taking. I realize that they have been drafting pretty steady on defense of late, but they do have their tight end, running back, and quarterback (at least they believe so) positions set. Offensive line looks pretty good assuming they resign their free agents (not big name stars so I see them coming back). Receiver is a big issue, but it will need to be addressed in free agency to find a real fix. I think the Chiefs will look to add another pass rusher to compliment Hali, and Houston is a great fit. While the Chiefs defense did a lot of things well this season they were really a one man show when it came to rushing the passer. If they can add a second threat it will strengthen the entire defense.

Feb. 3rd Update: The Chiefs still are in need of a complement to Hali, and I think Houston is the perfect fit for them.

Feb. 18th Update: Justin Houston still looks like a great pick for the Chiefs, though Julio Jones will tempt them. If they have not added anyone via free agency, Jones could be the pick, otherwise Houston and Hali will wreck havoc on the AFC West.

Feb. 24th update: 3-4′s succeed because of their line (which is improving) and their pass rush, adding Houston ensures the latter of those two is going to be very good.

22. Indianapolis Colts: OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin-

I finally gave in and now have the Colts taking an offensive tackle. They could take one in free agency, but they might not want to pay the high price tag with having to resign Peyton this offseason. Look for the Colts to add a good defensive player or two in free agency to allow them to take an OT. Carimi isn’t the perfect fit for the Colts as he is a better run blocker (which given their ground game isn’t a bad thing), but he will also be an upgrade in the pass blocking department as well. He’s a day one starter and that is what’s most important for the Colts, because their time to win is now.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DT Stephen Paea

Feb. 18th update: I realize I’m going against the grain here as most people have them targeting a tackle. I just feel strongly the Colts will use free agency and the rest of the draft to fill their OT need. Ballard is a great fit for them and fills a huge need.

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection DT Christian Ballard

23. Philadelphia Eagles: CB Jimmy Smith, Colorado-

The Eagles have a pressing need at offensive tackle and I’m not buying their faith in Winston Justice, but I am starting to think they might look elsewhere in the draft. Corner back is almost as big of a need as offensive line, and Jimmy Smith is moving up draft boards. He is a big strong physical corner, that will have no problem matching up with the Cowboys’ Dez Bryant and Miles Austin. Smith should really shore up that secondary and turn it into a strength. The Eagles will need to still find an offensive tackle, but they should have some options in free agency to do so.

Feb. 3rd update: Although I’d personally prefer Carimi, I’m thinking Sherrod will go higher in the draft. Unless they upgrade OT in free agency the Eagles need to strengthen that line.

Feb. 18th update: Sherrod could move a little higher, but this seems like a good spot for him. If the Eagles haven’t addressed their corner need a guy like Brandon Harris is a legitimate option.

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection OT Derrek Sherrod

24. New Orleans Saints: DT Drake Nevis, LSU-

I think Mark Ingram would have been their pick if he was available. With him off the board I think the Saints will look at shoring up their defensive line. Drake Nevis would be a good fit next to Sedrick Ellis and give New Orleans a strong front four. Nevis holds up well against the run and gets a very good pass rush. His addition would have, DC Gregg Williams salivating, and should help keep the Saints defense highly productive.

Feb. 3rd update: More and more I’m thinking the Saints will look at Ingram with this pick. Their lack of a consistent running game is their only flaw on offense. And while the running back by committee approach worked two years ago, this year was a fairly big disaster. Ingram alleviates that, and can be the true feature back for them.

pick change: Feb 18th previous selection RB Mark Ingram

Feb. 24th update: There are a couple ways the Saints could go, but adding a DT, could really bring this defense together. I know it is a number of years straight taking a defensive player first, but without another first round quality running back, I can’t see that trend changing.

25. Seattle Seahawks: CB Aaron Williams, Texas-

The Seahawks has a number of needs despite being a playoff team, while I could see them addressing their pass rush or long term quarterback situation, I think they will look to add a top notch corner. I have Williams and Brandon Harris in basically a dead heat to be the 3rd CB off the board, but think Williams makes a bit more sense for the Seahawks. He is a little bit bigger and taller, which should matchup better against the top receivers in the NFC West.

pick change: previous selection DE Cameron Jordan

Feb. 17th update: Aaron Williams still makes sense at this pick, though D-line is still an option. A lot could depend on whether or not they bring Brandon Mebane back at DT, if he leaves there is a pretty big hole for the Seahawks to fill.

Feb. 24th update: I still like Williams with this pick, but with so many needs, it is very possible they go in a different direction.

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Brandon Harris, Miami-

The Ravens have one of the elite defenses in the league, but their corner back play is still average at best. Harris is a promising young corner, who has the skills to develop into a number one corner. Until then the Ravens will be quite happy with him being number two, and a big upgrade.

Feb. 3rd update: Ravens could target defensive line or linebacker, but I’m fairly confident this pick is on defense. CB remains their biggest need and Harris is a good fit for them.

Feb. 17th update: This is pure need over desire. Julio Jones would look nice in a Ravens uniform, but they have to fill that hole at CB.

Feb. 24th update: Corner back has to be number one on the Ravens wish list, and Harris is good value at this spot.

27. Atlanta Falcons: DT/DE Christian Ballard, Iowa-

This pick could change in a hurry if the Falcons lose one or more of their starting offensive linemen in free agency, but right now their top need is to upgrade their pass rush. Now I know Ballard doesn’t seem like a good fit, because he is traditionally a 4-3 DT, but despite having tackle size he has end speed. Ballard has a quick first step and is strong enough to bull rush his way to the quarterback. I see Ballard playing end on early downs and kicking inside to tackle, on passing situations. I know receiver is still a need for this team, but their primary focus needs to be their pass rush.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection TE Kyle Rudolph

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Torrey Smith

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Julio Jones

28. New England Patriots: OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College-

While I like the idea of the Patriots grabbing a playmaker, I’m thinking they will take the more practical approach at take an offensive lineman. Castonzo is a local product, but that isn’t why he will end up a Patriot. The Pats need him, because with Matt Light on the way out, New England’s once elite offensive line is showing some holes. The Jets exploited some of those weaknesses in the Playoffs, as they were even able to get pressure with 3 and 4 men rushing. Unless the Patriots add a top tackle in free agency, they will have to address it early in the draft.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DE Allen Bailey

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Titus Young

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Torrey Smith

29. New York Jets: DE Cameron Heyward, Ohio State-

The Jets are likely to lose Shaun Ellis to free agency this offseason leaving a major void along their defensive line. I think this has to be New York’s top priority come draft time, and they should be quite pleased with Heyward. While some question his motor, he seems to read the snap count very well for a college player and a solid assortment of moves. The Jets will be quite pleased with Heyward going forward and he should help keep their defense near the top.

Feb. 3rd update: While Heyward’s injury could have him drop into the early 2nd round, I think the Jets will probably look past that. Now of course you never know and a lot will be dependent on how much he can workout before the draft. Right now I still think he is their pick.

Feb. 17th update: Jets franchised Harris and apparently their top targets are their two receivers. It looks as though they could need a corner, but I’m guessing they find another way to fill that need.

Feb. 24th update: A lot will depend on what they lose in free agency, but until then Heyward is the smart pick.

30. Chicago Bears: OT Derek Sherrod, Mississippi St. -

With no trades this pick could happen, but come draft day I’d be shocked if one of the top 4 tackles lasted to 30. That being said the Bears are in the market for a tackle and if needs be I’m sure they will be a team looking to trade up to ensure they get one. Sherrod is an interesting tackle prospect, I think he is very capable of playing either spot, and he has the upside to develop into a Pro Bowler. He’s not as much as a road grinder as some of the other tackles, but he should do okay in the run game. The real area he excels is pass blocking, something I’m sure Jay Cutler will appreciate.

pick change: previous selection OT DeMarcus Love

Feb. 17th update: I have some real concerns about Solder, and the more I watch him the less I like, but I am thinking he will still go in the first round. The Bears have a big enough need they, won’t let the concerns about Solder stop them.

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection Nate Solder

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: G/C Mike Pouncey, Florida-

Sure it is a bit of a feel good story, but Mike Pouncey is deserving of hearing his name called in the first round. Now I don’t think he is as refined as his All-Pro brother Maurkice, but he has that potential. Mike fits better as a guard than a center, which is where the Steelers biggest need lies. He should step into their right guard spot and team up with his brother to form a great interior line. If Willie Colon can come back from injury the Steelers offensive line will go from a weakness to one of their strengths. Pouncey could get taken earlier, but I think it is a foregone conclusion that he won’t get past the Steelers first round pick.

Feb. 3rd update: CB and OT are still big needs, but grabbing another interior lineman is key. I don’t think there is anyway they let Pouncey slip by them.

Feb. 17th update: I know the Steelers have a need at corner, but their guards were getting pretty well manhandled in the Super Bowl. Putting the Pouncey boys together will be the best thing for both Roethlisberger and Mendenhall.

Feb. 24 update: I still think Pouncey and Pouncey is a dream scenario for the Steelers offensive line. Now if Willie Colon or Ike Taylor leave it could change their strategy.

32. Green Bay Packers: WR Torrey Smith, Maryland-

This is a bit of a luxury pick, but it makes sense as well. I know the Packers have some defensive and offensive line issues, but they also could have a huge issue developing at WR. James Jones is a free agent, and I’m guessing he’ll get priced out of what the Packers are willing to pay. On top of Jones leaving, Donald Driver is coming off his worst season and might only have one more year left. A good young receiver like Torrey Smith, does make some sense for the Packers. Their window is now, and adding weapons for Aaron Rodgers has to be a top priority. Smith has the speed and quickness to help stretch the field, and be a home run threat.

Feb. 3rd update: Packers could go in a different direction, but I think Liuget makes a lot of sense for them still.

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection DE/DT Corey Liuget

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Titus Young

Round 1 Picks 1-16
NFL Draft Blog

17. New England Patriots (From Oakland): DE J.J Watt, Wisconsin-

The Patriots could look to go in a number of directions here, including DE (the 3-4 variety), RB, WR, OT, OG, or Rush LB, and I think they will take the best player available at one of those needs. Given their propensity to focus on defense I think that is where they will look. While they could go for one of the top rush guys on the board, I think they will target J.J. Watt here. He improves their pass rush from his end position and will help free up their linebackers. I’m sure the Patriots will want one of the top rush linebackers, but I don’t see them reaching for a guy like Houston or Ayers here, not with Watt still on the board.

New England is a prime candidate to trade up (or even trade down), but right now I think Watt is their prime choice.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OLB Aldon Smith

Feb. 18th update: The Patriots will give Cam Jordan a long hard look, as well as Julio Jones. I think Watt is still their pick and he will be an immediate starter.

18. San Diego Chargers: DE Cam Jordan, Cal-

The Chargers have franchised Vincent Jackson so at least one of their receivers are coming back. While they could still look at Julio Jones here, I think the Chargers take the best player on the board in Cam Jordan. Jordan is a great young defensive end that absolutely dominated during Senior Bowl week. Jordan fills a big need for the Chargers and makes their top defense even better. If they can’t land a receiver or retain Floyd in free agency this could change quickly.

pick change, Jan. 25th previous pick: DE J.J. Watt

pick change, Feb. 3rd previous pick: WR Julio Jones

19. New York Giants: OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA-

Although a number of teams could target Ayers, I see him falling a little bit, since he is more of a 4-3 OLB, than a 3-4. Sure he rushes the passer, but guys like Smith and Miller do it better. Ayers plays better in coverage and diagnosing runs, making him a more ideal fit for a 4-3 team. The Giants desperately need to upgrade their back 7 (and could also look DT). He can be useful blitzing the quarterback, but can go out in coverage as well. He would be a big upgrade for the G-men, and should be able to start from day 1.

Feb. 3rd update: Giants still will look at a few other positions, but I don’t see them passing up Ayers and a big upgrade to that defense.

Feb. 17th update: I know some people are looking for the Giants to take an offensive lineman , but I don’t see it in the first round. Not with Ayers on the board.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin-

The Buccaneers biggest need is defensive end, but unless they are comfortable playing Justin Houston or Ryan Kerrigan there full time, they don’t have much to choose from. Most of the best options profile as a better 3-4 end or rush linebacker. It is possible they pull the trigger, but if they have already addressed the position via free agency (which they should) they can hold off a round or two. I think Tampa should look to acquire a starting OT in the first round. I know James Lee handled RT admirably this past season, but he was far from perfect, and he might not hold up for a full season. Tampa needs to address their offensive line, to keep their new found offense running on all cylinders, and Carimi would be an excellent fit. He profiles at either tackle position, and should be a very good RT for the Bucs for the next 10 years. Carimi is a guy who could fall, since he looks to be a much better RT, and teams usually want to see anyone they draft in the first round move permanently to the left side at some point. Carimi is an absolute mauler and will be a big addition to their ground game.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OT Nate Solder

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

21. Kansas City Chiefs: OLB/DE Justin Houston, Georgia-

The Chiefs might be desperate for a receiver, but there is no one on the board here worth taking. I realize that they have been drafting pretty steady on defense of late, but they do have their tight end, running back, and quarterback (at least they believe so) positions set. Offensive line looks pretty good assuming they resign their free agents (not big name stars so I see them coming back). Receiver is a big issue, but it will need to be addressed in free agency to find a real fix. I think the Chiefs will look to add another pass rusher to compliment Hali, and Houston is a great fit. While the Chiefs defense did a lot of things well this season they were really a one man show when it came to rushing the passer. If they can add a second threat it will strengthen the entire defense.

Feb. 3rd Update: The Chiefs still are in need of a complement to Hali, and I think Houston is the perfect fit for them.

Feb. 18th Update: Justin Houston still looks like a great pick for the Chiefs, though Julio Jones will tempt them. If they have not added anyone via free agency, Jones could be the pick, otherwise Houston and Hali will wreck havoc on the AFC West.

22. Indianapolis Colts: DT Christian Ballard, Iowa-

The Colts have three main needs RB, OT, DT this offseason, and while and offensive tackle would also benefit the running game, I’m thinking that defensive tackle is the way the Colts go. Earlier I mocked Stephen Paea to the Colts, but a recent knee injury will probably set him back some. While I think this is a bit high on Ballard, this seems like it makes too much sense for the Colts. Indianapolis prefers smaller and quicker defensive tackles, and Ballard fits that to a ‘T’. He should get good penetration on the inside, which can really help their ends get more sacks.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DT Stephen Paea

Feb. 18th update: I realize I’m going against the grain here as most people have them targeting a tackle. I just feel strongly the Colts will use free agency and the rest of the draft to fill their OT need. Ballard is a great fit for them and fills a huge need.

23. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Derrek Sherrod, Mississippi State-

The Eagles have finally realized that Winston Justice just can’t be an effective offensive tackle, and will need to fix that problem area in the first round of this April’s draft. Corner back and defensive tackle will also be on their wish list, but I’m guessing offensive tackle is their top priority. Sherrod is a player I really like, but I don’t love. He offers the versatility to grow into a left tackle down the road, but as long as Michael Vick is the starting quarterback, RT is the prime position on the Eagles offensive line.

Sherrod is a mix bag for me, but I think teams will fall in love with him enough to make him a first rounder. He needs some refinement, but the tools are definitely there.

Feb. 3rd update: Although I’d personally prefer Carimi, I’m thinking Sherrod will go higher in the draft. Unless they upgrade OT in free agency the Eagles need to strengthen that line.

Feb. 18th update: Sherrod could move a little higher, but this seems like a good spot for him. If the Eagles haven’t addressed their corner need a guy like Brandon Harris is a legitimate option.

24. New Orleans Saints: DT Drake Nevis, LSU-

I think Mark Ingram would have been their pick if he was available. With him off the board I think the Saints will look at shoring up their defensive line. Drake Nevis would be a good fit next to Sedrick Ellis and give New Orleans a strong front four. Nevis holds up well against the run and gets a very good pass rush. His addition would have, DC Gregg Williams salivating, and should help keep the Saints defense highly productive.

Feb. 3rd update: More and more I’m thinking the Saints will look at Ingram with this pick. Their lack of a consistent running game is their only flaw on offense. And while the running back by committee approach worked two years ago, this year was a fairly big disaster. Ingram alleviates that, and can be the true feature back for them.

pick change: Feb 3rd. previous selection RB Mark Ingram

25. Seattle Seahawks: CB Aaron Williams, Texas-

The Seahawks has a number of needs despite being a playoff team, while I could see them addressing their pass rush or long term quarterback situation, I think they will look to add a top notch corner. I have Williams and Brandon Harris in basically a dead heat to be the 3rd CB off the board, but think Williams makes a bit more sense for the Seahawks. He is a little bit bigger and taller, which should matchup better against the top receivers in the NFC West.

pick change: previous selection DE Cameron Jordan

Feb. 17th update: Aaron Williams still makes sense at this pick, though D-line is still an option. A lot could depend on whether or not they bring Brandon Mebane back at DT, if he leaves there is a pretty big hole for the Seahawks to fill.

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Brandon Harris, Miami-

The Ravens have one of the elite defenses in the league, but their corner back play is still average at best. Harris is a promising young corner, who has the skills to develop into a number one corner. Until then the Ravens will be quite happy with him being number two, and a big upgrade.

Feb. 3rd update: Ravens could target defensive line or linebacker, but I’m fairly confident this pick is on defense. CB remains their biggest need and Harris is a good fit for them.

Feb. 17th update: This is pure need over desire. Julio Jones would look nice in a Ravens uniform, but they have to fill that hole at CB.

27. Atlanta Falcons: WR Julio Jones, Alabama-

This is the dream scenario for the Falcons, but it could come close to fruition. Receivers have been known to fall in the draft, and with all the teams needing a receiver having another major hole to fix it makes this scenario plausible. For the Falcons they will add a huge weapon to go along with one of the best offenses in the NFL. There are still questions at TE and DE, but those can be addressed later.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection TE Kyle Rudolph

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Torrey Smith

28. New England Patriots: WR Torrey Smith, Maryland-

The Patriots could go in a number of directions with this pick, but I think they will shock some people and grab a playmaker. Smith offers great speed and would give Tom Brady another good young target. While they got by with utilizing their tight ends, New England needs to add a little bit more talent to their receiving corps.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DE Allen Bailey

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Titus Young

29. New York Jets: DE Cameron Heyward, Ohio State-

The Jets are likely to lose Shaun Ellis to free agency this offseason leaving a major void along their defensive line. I think this has to be New York’s top priority come draft time, and they should be quite pleased with Heyward. While some question his motor, he seems to read the snap count very well for a college player and a solid assortment of moves. The Jets will be quite pleased with Heyward going forward and he should help keep their defense near the top.

Feb. 3rd update: While Heyward’s injury could have him drop into the early 2nd round, I think the Jets will probably look past that. Now of course you never know and a lot will be dependent on how much he can workout before the draft. Right now I still think he is their pick.

Feb. 17th update: Jets franchised Harris and apparently their top targets are their two receivers. It looks as though they could need a corner, but I’m guessing they find another way to fill that need.

30. Chicago Bears: OT Nate Solder, Colorado-

I have some serious questions about Solder, and worry that he could end up a bust, the Bears success means that they can’t be choosy. Solder is still a top tackle prospect with the tools to become elite. And Chicago has to do a better job of protecting Jay Cutler next season so they will welcome Solder with open arms.

pick change: previous selection OT DeMarcus Love

Feb. 17th update: I have some real concerns about Solder, and the more I watch him the less I like, but I am thinking he will still go in the first round. The Bears have a big enough need they, won’t let the concerns about Solder stop them.

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: G/C Mike Pouncey, Florida-

Sure it is a bit of a feel good story, but Mike Pouncey is deserving of hearing his name called in the first round. Now I don’t think he is as refined as his All-Pro brother Maurkice, but he has that potential. Mike fits better as a guard than a center, which is where the Steelers biggest need lies. He should step into their right guard spot and team up with his brother to form a great interior line. If Willie Colon can come back from injury the Steelers offensive line will go from a weakness to one of their strengths. Pouncey could get taken earlier, but I think it is a foregone conclusion that he won’t get past the Steelers first round pick.

Feb. 3rd update: CB and OT are still big needs, but grabbing another interior lineman is key. I don’t think there is anyway they let Pouncey slip by them.

Feb. 17th update: I know the Steelers have a need at corner, but their guards were getting pretty well manhandled in the Super Bowl. Putting the Pouncey boys together will be the best thing for both Roethlisberger and Mendenhall.

32. Green Bay Packers: WR Titus Young, Boise State-

This is a bit of a luxury pick, but it makes sense as well. I know the Packers have some defensive and offensive line issues, but they also could have a huge issue developing at WR. James Jones is a free agent, and I’m guessing he’ll get priced out of what the Packers are willing to pay. On top of Jones leaving, Donald Driver is coming off his worst season and might only have one more year left. Young would be a big time weapon, for a team that loves to throw the ball down the field. I could see Green Bay trying to make their top offense even better, and Young would be the man to do so.

Feb. 3rd update: Packers could go in a different direction, but I think Liuget makes a lot of sense for them still.

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection DE/DT Corey Liuget