Archived Mock Draft, Round 1 Picks 1-16 11/26

November 26, 2012 in Mock Drafts



Archived Mock Draft, Round 1 Picks 1-16 11/26

*Please Note: You're looking at an archived post! Links to Steve's most recent mock drafts are below.

Steve Shoup's Updated 2013 NFL Mock Draft

Updated 2013 NFL Mock Draft Round 1 | Round 1 Picks 17-32 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 |

Picks 1-1617-32Round 2, Round 3, Round 4

 Check out our NFL Draft Page for Additional Content!

1. Kansas City- QB Geno Smith, WVU

-Kansas City faces a tough choice in taking a top defensive player, or the best quarterback in this draft. Given how much teams have valued QB’s in recent years, it is hard to imagine the Chiefs not taking Geno Smith with this pick. Smith could do well in Kansas City given their strong offensive line, rushing attack and weapons.

2. Carolina- DT Star Lotulelei, Utah

-The Panthers luck into probably the best player in this entire draft class and one that also fills their biggest need. Lotulelei would be a major improvement inside for the Panthers and could really turn this defense into a top unit.

3. Jacksonville- LB Jarvis Jones, Georgia

-The Jaguars need to get more pressure on the quarterback, and while they have needs elsewhere, adding a pass rusher here makes a lot of sense. Jones should be an automatic double digit sack machine, something that is sorely needed for the Jags.

4. Oakland- LB Barkevious Mingo, LSU

-The Raiders pass rush needs to improve next season if they want to be able to consistently stop the pass. Adding a disruptor like Mingo is key, for the Raiders plan to get after the quarterback..

5. Philadelphia- LB Manti Te’o, Notre Dame

-This is probably too early to draft a quarterback, and I don't know if the team would take either an offensive lineman or defensive linemen here. I think though they would be quite happy to add a defensive leader and star like Manti Te'o. Though Philly's linebackers are improving, adding a guy like Te'o would be huge.

6. Cleveland-DE Damontre Moore, Texas A&M

-The Browns need to get after the quarterback with greater consistency, so adding a top pass rusher like Moore would be a smart play. Cleveland has some offensive needs, but I think this high in the draft you go with impact.

7.  San Diego- OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M

-Not many positives can come from the Chargers season, but landing the top offensive tackle to protect Phillip Rivers blind side would help. Rivers has regressed these last couple of years as the line has broken down, but is still one of the most dangerous quarterbacks in the league when you give him time. San Deigo has to make that a priority this offseason.

8. Buffalo- WR Keenan Allen, Cal

-Quarterback could be tempting, but it could be hard for Buffalo to pass up on the top receiver in the draft. Adding Allen to Stevie Johnson and C.J. Spiller, would give the Bills a great offensive weapon core for their new quarterback to work with.

9. New York Jets- QB Matt Barkley, USC

-Mark Sanchez has become untenable in New York, and Tim Tebow is not the answer at quarterback. The Jets may want to avoid the draft route after the Sanchez failure, but they might not have much of a choice. It's the cheapest way to add a starting caliber quarterback, and New York doesn't figure to be in a strong salary cap position due to some poor contracts. Matt Barkley has fallen down the prospect radar, and in many ways this is a reach pick, but New York is a team that could make a play on him.

10. Tennessee- S Eric Reid, LSU

-The Titans safeties have been a bit of a problem this year, and Tennessee could opt to take the top safety in the draft with Reid. They could be intrigued by some offensive linemen or defensive linemen as well, but Reid is a great pick.

11. Arizona- OT Taylor Lewan, Michigan

The Cardinals have to invest heavily in rebuilding their offensive line and that starts by landing a franchise LT. Lewan can be that guy for the Cardinals and help protect  who ever is under center next year.

12. Detroit- CB Dee Millner, Alabama

-The Lions secondary is still their weakest link and should be the focus of their offseason. Millner has number 1 corner ability, and really nice size, giving the Lions a lot of potential here.

13. St. Louis- OT Jake Matthews, Texas A&M

-Jeff Fisher found a lot of success relying on Bruce Matthews as his top offensive linemen in Houston/Tennessee, and could turn to his son to help build up the St. Louis Rams. Matthews projects as a LT in the NFL and should be a welcome sight for Sam Bradford.

14. Miami- WR Robert Woods, USC

-Robert Woods may be one of the more underrated players coming out this year. He's fallen down draft boards for not being "fast", but that simply isn't true. He might not be a burner, but Woods can get plenty of separation, and has very impressive hands. He'd be a great weapon for Ryan Tannehill to grow with.

15. St. Louis (via Wash.)- DT John Jenkins, Georgia

-The Rams reshaped their defensive tackles this past year, but could look to add another piece here with Jenkins. With defensive tackle being a rotational position, you need to be at least three deep, and Jenkins gives St. Louis another big body in the middle. It's not the Rams biggest need, but it's great value here.

16. New Orleans-DE Bjoern Werner, FSU

-The Saints clearly need some help on defense, and that starts up front. Yes their secondary has gotten torched some, but much of that has to do with allowing too much time in the pocket for the opposing quarterback. Werner gives them that edge rusher, and hopefully difference maker.




  • http://fanspeak.com/members/gmucrew7/ Geoff

    I know the NFL is a QB driven league but I really think Smith is a huge reach as the top pick. Obviously picking a defensive player with the number one overall pick isn't sexy but I think there are impact players that are a safer bet at the NFL level than Smith.

  • http://fanspeak.com/members/steveospeak/ Steve Shoup

    Its tough. I for one see the risk in general, but think that going to asituation like KC makes sense.

  • http://fanspeak.com/members/willypops/ Willypops

    Not sure how Jets fans would react to taking another USC quarterback with the #1 pick – just on principle. But at least they wouldn't have to trade up to get him!

  • Stuart

    As much as the Jets need a QB, I can't see them going back to USC after the Sanchez debacle. I think their fan base would revolt & Sanchez has really looked shaky at time this year, Bray might be a better option there

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  • Chris

    Geoff – the Chiefs havent taken a 1st round QB since 1983, Todd Blackledge. "Safe" picks are no longer…we need a QB!

  • http://fanspeak.com/members/steveospeak/ Steve Shoup

    Great Point Chris