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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3

65. Carolina Panthers: OG Orlando Franklin, Miami-

The Panthers could go a number of different routes, but if they want to give Jimmy Clausen a legitimate chance they need to improve the line in front of him. They are set at center and tackle, but their guard play was pretty poor last season. Franklin would be a very good addition with this pick and should help improve both their run and pass blocking. I think it is key that the Panthers grab an instant starter with this pick, and I feel that Franklin can step right in.

66. Cincinnati Bengals: DT Allen Bailey, Miami-

The Bengals need some help in the middle of their defensive line, and Bailey is the top guy on the board. Bailey is a bit of a tweener, but he has the better frame for DT. He’s not exceptionally quick off the line, but he still disrupts a number of plays in the backfield. The Bengals could go with a more traditional DT, but Bailey is good value here.

67. Denver Broncos: FS Quinton Carter, Oklahoma-

I know this is a lot of defensive picks for the Broncos, but that was their biggest issue last season. For the most part their offensive line looks good, and they have decent receivers and quarterbacks. While I am not 100% sold on Moreno, he was a first rounder two years ago so he deserves at least one more shot. Free safety was a huge hole for this team last year, and Carter should fill it quite well. With a rebuild D-line and an improving secondary, Denver’s defense (and subsequently the entire team) could make a quick turnaround.

68. Buffalo Bills: OT Marcus Gilbert, Florida-

If the Bills don’t address their offensive line issues in the top 3 rounds this year, they should just fire their G.M. on the spot. Buffalo has some decent weapons at RB and WR, but until they get some protection their offense will always be second rate.

69. Arizona Cardinals: OT/G James Brewer, Indiana-

The Cardinals have to add talent to their offensive line and even if they do address this position in an earlier round a versatile player like Brewer could be a fit here. I think he is limited to either RT or G, but both of those are needs for Arizona. I like Brewer more than most and do see a little bit of the Roger Saffold comparison some people make.

70. Cleveland Browns: DE Pernell McPhee, Miss. State-

The Browns need to add some 4-3 linemen, and McPhee profiles well as a strong left end. He offers decent pass rush and should be a very good run defender as well.

71. Dallas Cowboys: FS Marcus Gilchrest, Clemson-

Dallas needs to go back to fixing their secondary and adding a FS would be the next logical step. While some teams might like Gilchrest as a corner I think he is a much better fit as a free safety. He should at least be a nickel safety as a rookie, and could end up starting next season.

72. New Orleans Saints (from Washington): RB Shane Vereen, California-

Reggie Bush is likely done in New Orleans, and while Thomas was resigned he has been nicked up a bit and Chris Ivory is coming off a big injury, meaning RB is still high on the Saints wish list. Vereen would be a nice change of pace back and fill the role that Bush once held.

73. Houston Texans: CB Davon House, New Mexico State-

Pretty much as long as this pick is on defense the Texans will be making the right choice. House adds quality depth to their corner backs, a group that got torched nonstop last year.

74. New England Patriots (from Minnesota): OLB Dontay Moch, Nevada-

New England needs to add some pass rushing talent this offseason and Moch is a good fit for them. He is a pure speed rusher, but given his athletic ability, his upside is immense. He would do well to go to a team like the Patriots, who already have a lot of surrounding talent so he doesn’t have to be a major focal point of their defense.

75. Detroit Lions: OLB Mason Foster, Washington-

The Lions need linebacker help desperately so doubling up in the 2nd and 3rd rounds makes a lot of sense. The Lions could go from having one of the worst linebacker corps, to one of the most promising. I’m a big Mason Foster fan, and think he is a very good starter at the next level.

76. San Francisco 49ers: QB Andy Dalton, TCU-

If the 49ers miss out in the first two rounds I fully expect them to target a quarterback in Round 3. Dalton has plenty of detractors and I think this is a bit high for him, but I see the 49ers reaching. Dalton does fit their offense pretty well and could have success given his work ethic and attitude, but I’m not too confident he is the answer.

77. Tennessee Titans: G Clint Boling, Georgia-

The Titans need to look to upgrade the interior of their offensive line. They likely won’t have a major passing attack next year, so anything the Titans can do to free up Chris Johnson, they have to make a priority. Boling is good value here and should immediately be added to the starting line.

78. St. Louis Rams: DT Jarvis Jenkins, Clemson-

The Rams took care of their offensive needs with their first two picks, but they need to make sure they don’t ignore their defensive ones. Although they need a FS, I think they go DT here. Right now they have nothing next to Fred Robbins in the middle, and he is in his early 30′s. Jenkins is a great get here, if he falls this far. He is a disruptive force on the interior and should really have an impact as a rookie.

79. Miami Dolphins: QB Colin Kaepernick, Nevada-

The Dolphins haven’t had much success with drafting mid-round quarterbacks lately, but Kaepernick could change all of that. He has incredible potential and I really believe he will develop into a starting quarterback in this league within two years.

80. Jacksonville Jaguars: WR Tandon Doss, Indiana-

The Jags will need to replace Mike Sims-Walker and Doss would be a good fit for them. Doss in many ways is similar to Walker with good size and speed. He doesn’t excel in any one area, but is just a quality receiver across the board.

81. Oakland Raiders: OT Joesph Barksdale, LSU-

The Raiders biggest weakness is the play of their offensive line, so multiple upgrades are needed. Barksdale has a lot of potential, he could end up being their starting right tackle, and has the ability to play there for the next 10 years. If the Raiders can add Wiz and Barksdale, their offense could quickly become one of the better units in the NFL.

82. San Diego Chargers: WR Randall Cobb, Kentucky-

Last year the Chargers dealt with a number of receiver issues, and while for the most part it didn’t affect their overall play, I’m guessing they don’t want to be unprepared again. I know they typically favor bigger receivers, but Cobb is great value for them at this pick and should have a lot of freedom underneath (think Wes Welker), with Jackson stretching the field deep. Cobb also could end up being their primary kick returner if Darren Sproles leaves during free agency.

83. New York Giants: DT Jurrell Casey USC-

Does New York need another defensive tackle? No, but the Giants know they need to keep that front four strong if they want to contend. Casey offers good value for the pick, and the two things the Giants do the most in the draft is select on value and stockpile D-linemen.

84. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: MLB Quan Sturdivant, North Carolina-

The Buccaneers defensive front 7 needs quite a bit of work, but after this draft, they could be in pretty good shape. Sturdivant is a player that not many people are talking about, but that I feel can step in from day one as a starter.

85. Philadelphia Eagles: OLB Nate Irving, North Carolina St.-

The Eagles linebackers last season were one of their biggest weak spots and an area that needs to be upgraded. Irving is an intriguing prospect and one that I feel will develop into a start player. He is pretty good in coverage, and is a very sure tackler. While he isn’t perfect, I like what I’ve seen from his instincts as well.

86. Kansas City Chiefs: NT Kendrick Ellis, Hampton-

The Chiefs defense improved a lot last season, and it looks like former first rounders Glenn Dorsey and Tyson Jackson are going to finally start producing, but they need to add a man in the middle. Ellis has a lot of potential and could develop into a frontline NT.

87. Indianapolis Colts: G John Moffitt, Wisconsin-

The Colts offensive line was pretty bad last season. While it didn’t always amount to sacks, opponents put constant pressure on Manning. Moffitt can play anywhere on the interior and will also be a major addition in run blocking as well.

88. New Orleans Saints: DT Lawrence Guy, Arizona State-

Yes I know the Saints signed Shaun Rogers to fill their DT void, but you need to have depth at the position as even the best defensive tackles in the league play only between 75-80% of the snaps. Also Rogers was only signed for one season, so he could very well be gone leaving the Saints looking for another DT in a year. Guy is an underrated DT, but one that I think has a lot of promise going forward. He will be a good fit in a rotational role for the Saints this year, and hopefully develop into a fulltime starter next season.

89. San Diego Chargers (from Seattle): ILB Colin McCarthy, Miami-

The Chargers could use some youth added to their linebacking corps. While McCarthy is a bit of a reach here I love his upside for the interior of a 3-4. He probably won’t be a starter in year one, but should quickly work his way into that role by year two.

90. Baltimore Ravens: OT Chris Hairston, Clemson-

The Ravens have multiple offensive linemen who are free agents this offseason and I doubt they can resign them all. Hairston could help out at either RT or G, and replace anyone the Ravens might have lost.

91. Atlanta Falcons: RB Jordan Todman, Connecticut-

The Falcons need to add weapons and speed this offseason and Todman would be a nice value for them here. While Michael Turner is the top back in Atlanta, their speed back, J. Norwood, is a free agent and always injured, so the Falcons need a replacement. Todman should be able to contribute immediately and could even be the long term starter, if Turner starts to wear down in the next couple of years.

92. New England Patriots: SS Tyler Sash, Iowa-

The Patriots could need to find a new strong safety given Brandon Merriweather’s legal problems. Even if he isn’t suspended or worse due to his involvement with a shooting, Merriweather was the weakest link for the Patriots secondary last season, so competition isn’t the worst thing in the world. I love Sash’s upside and think he can start at either safety position.

93. Chicago Bears: CB Curtis Marsh, Utah State-

For the Bears to contend this year they will have to get through Aaron Rodgers and his arsenal of weapons. To do so Chicago needs to upgrade their secondary and adding a corner like Marsh would go a long way to satisfying that goal. Marsh has starter potential and should be at worst the nickel corner next season.

94. New York Jets: WR Niles Paul, Nebraska-

The Jets are likely to lose one of their top receivers this offseason to free agency, and he will need to be replaced. While they could choose a bigger target if Edwards leaves, I really like Paul and think he can flourish in that offense. Paul has great secondary skills, and should contribute early.

95. Pittsburgh Steelers: CB Kendrick Bruney, North Carolina-

The Steelers have two weaknesses, their offensive line and their corner backs. I know Bruney fell in some people’s eyes with a slow Combine time, but I like his upside. He is very instinctive and should be at least a nickel corner as a rookie.

96. Green Bay Packers: RB Kendall Hunter, Oklahoma State-

Some might question this pick, but Hunter is excellent value here, and is a great change of pace back to James Starks. Ryan Grant will be a free agent next season and it is doubtful the Packers will invest serious money into him. Hunter could be the 3rd back this year and develop into a bigger role in year two.

97. Carolina Panthers (supplemental pick): TE Luke Stocker, Tennessee-

I know the Panthers signed Jeremy Shockey this offseason, but it was for only one season and Shockey isn’t exactly the picture of health. Adding a long term option would be a good idea for the Panthers. Whether their quarterback of the future is Clausen, a draft pick this year or next, he will need some reliable underneath targets to throw to. Stocker is a good enough blocker that he could stay in and block while Shockey is more involved in the passing game.

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3

33. New England Patriots (From Carolina): DE Cameron Heyward, Ohio State-

With the Patriots addressing their offensive needs in the first, I think they will look to land a top defensive talent with this pick. Heyward is a first round talent, but will likely fall into the early 2nd round due to his injuries this offseason. While none are considered serious, it has kept him from working out, which is the reason for the slide. Heyward would be a good fit for the Patriots and with the return of Ty Warren, would give New England a formidable defensive line.

34. Buffalo Bills: QB Christian Ponder, Florida State-

I think the Bills have to take a quarterback with their first two picks, but I can’t get behind them taking Locker right now. At least not with Ponder still on the board. Christian Ponder is quite possibly the most NFL ready quarterback, and would be a good fit for Buffalo. His stock is rising fast and there is a chance he sneaks into the first round, but if not Buffalo could look to take him here.

35. Cincinnati Bengals: RB Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech-

Williams is the 2nd best back in this draft class, and would be a solid value pick for the Bengals here. While they could look to add a receiver, my guess is they will wait a round to do so. Williams has the benefit of being able to really take some pressure off Cam Newton, and offer the Bengals a consistent ground threat. Cincinnati has big needs along the defensive line, but I’m guessing they still go offense with this pick.

36. Denver Broncos: DT Stephen Paea, Oregon State-

Paea is one of the best defensive tackles in this draft class, and while his stock took a hit with a knee injury at the Senior Bowl, this is still great value for the Broncos. Their defensive front 7 is basically a one man show and he is coming off a major injury. Adding Bowers was a good first step, but getting an elite run defender in the middle is key as well. The Broncos could consider a running back or linebacker with this pick, but DT is more important. Remember John Fox comes from a defensive background, and he saw in Carolina that you can win with just okay QB play if you have a good running game and defense.

37. Cleveland Browns: DT Christian Ballard, Iowa-

The Browns are another team that is making a transition to a 4-3 defense, and now need to add the correct personnel. While the Browns have multiple needs for their new defense, adding Ballard would be a great addition here. They already have more of a run-stuffing DT, so now they need to add one who can generate a bit of a pass rush up the middle. Ballard is a relentless player, who’s motor never stops running. Ballard should give good pressure up the middle, and fill a major need for the Browns.

38. Arizona Cardinals: G Danny Watkins, Baylor-

If the Cards take a quarterback in the first round, then I think they will ensure his protection with an offensive lineman in round 2. Watkins should be able to start at guard from day one (and could even potentially lineup at RT). While he is an older prospect, he will be an immediate addition to this team and give them a great blocker. Watkins is one of the more physical offensive linemen in this draft and if he gets his hands on you, he will stop you cold.

39. Tennessee Titans: QB Ryan Mallett, Arkansas-

Personally I don’t think Mallett is worth a top 50 pick given his character concerns, but if a team believes he can mature they won’t hesitate to pull the trigger. If Jeff Fisher were still in charge, I’d say no way this happens, but as it stands now the Titans have a huge void at QB and are getting a lot of pressure to fill it. The Titans brought in Chris Palmer specifically to work with a young quarterback so I have to believe they take one here. Look for them to also potentially pursue a trade up for Jake Locker if the opportunity presents itself.

40. Dallas Cowboys: T/G Ben Ijalana, Villanova-

The Cowboys will likely be looking for either a safety or an offensive lineman with this pick. If Ijalana is still on the board, I think they will go the offensive line route. Ijalana could fit in as either a guard or a RT, two positions of need for Dallas. Overall I think he is a better guard, but if the Cowboys haven’t filled their right tackle void I think he is more than capable of handling that.

41. Washington Redskins: G/C Rodney Hudson, Florida State-

I know the Skins have needs at RB, WR and QB, but until they get an offensive line in place it’s really not going to matter whom the Redskins have at their skill positions, as they simply won’t have the blocking to be effective. While the Redskins could look long and hard at NT Phil Taylor or DE Cameron Heyward, they need to upgrade this line in 4 spots. Hudson is preferred by some as a center, but I think he is a perfect zone blocking guard. He has quick hands and feet, and anchors extremely well. If the Skins grab him and stick him next to Trent Williams, they will be set on the left side of their line for years to come.

42. Houston Texans: NT Phil Taylor, Baylor-

Although I figured the Texans wouldn’t forgo the opportunity to grab a corner in the top two rounds, I now think they might stay focused on their front 7 in the early rounds. Phil Taylor would be a great fit in Houston and give the Texans the classic nose tackle they are lacking. The last thing the Texans can afford to do is not bring in 3-4 talent, because if they don’t their defense won’t be able to stop anyone. Corner and safety are still major needs, but ones that I think Houston can address later.

43. Minnesota Vikings: QB Jake Locker, Florida State-

The Vikings will likely be adding a veteran quarterback this offseason, but they also need add a young guy, who can start in a year or two. Locker isn’t a perfect fit for Minnesota since I think he will need a couple years of development time, but that is also why he could still be available at this pick. Locker could do well to develop under Offensive Coordinator Bill Musgrave.

44. Detroit Lions: LB Martez Wilson, Illinois-

I know some prefer Wilson as an ILB, but I think he is an excellent strong side linebacker prospect. He offers good bulk to anchor against the run, and great speed for pursuit after the ball carrier. I think Wilson has immense upside, and the Lions should be quite thrilled with his selection in the 2nd round.

45. San Francisco 49ers: OLB Jabaal Sheard, Pittsburgh-

The 49ers will stay on the defensive side of the football as they look to improve their pass rush. Sheard is a great value in 2nd round and should quickly develop into the elite pass rusher the 49ers are looking for. Sheard has been moving up draft boards and this is a great fit for him, as I think he fits better in a 3-4 than a 4-3.

46. Denver Broncos (From Miami): DT Drake Nevis, LSU-

I know some people might not get behind the idea of using their top 3 picks to fix the defensive line, but that is exactly what they should do. Yes they still need some help at RB, but they can get a decent option in the mid-rounds, and while their secondary and linebackers still need some help, their need isn’t as great as the defensive line’s. Adding Nevis gives the Broncos a potentially elite unit, that John Fox used to have (and win with) in Carolina. I know it is a bit of a pipe dream for one team to devote 3 high picks on the defensive line, but that unit was so bad last year that it makes sense. If I was looking at the quickest way to return Denver to prominence, it would be by building an exceptionally strong unit, and that they can do with their D-line with these picks.

47. St. Louis Rams: OG Marcus Cannon, TCU-

The Rams landed their top flight receiver in the first round, which leaves them with one big hole on offense, right guard. Cannon is a perfect power guard and he open quite a few holes for Stephen Jackson next season. And while RG will be a position change for Cannon I think he should handle it considering he was a LT in college. By filling their final major weakness on offense, the Rams should be able to take off and really challenge for the division.

48. Oakland Raiders: C/G Stefen Wisniewski, Penn State-

Wisniewski’s uncle was an All-Pro center for the Raiders (and now their O-line coach), and I fully expect the Raiders to make Stefen their 2nd round choice if he is still on the board. While he could play guard for them, I think it is more likely he ends up their center.

49. Jacksonville Jaguars: CB Brandon Burton, Utah-

The Jaguars secondary is almost as much of a joke as their pass rush. They have to add some quality players who can cover. I think this is a little high for Burton, but Jacksonville has shown in the past that they are willing to reach for the player they want/need. While a player like Jimmy Smith is a higher value at this point, I don’t think Jacksonville will bite given his attitude and off the field issues.

50. San Diego Chargers: OLB/DE Sam Acho, Texas-

This could be a bit of a reach for Acho, but he had an impressive combine, and the Chargers could use a younger pass rusher. I like Acho’s upside and I see him developing into a very good OLB.

51. Tampa Bay: CB Chris Brown, Texas-

With some pending legal troubles for Tampa’s starting corner (Talib), the Bucs will likely look to address the position early in the draft. Brown is a good value here and someone who could start from day one if need be. Even if Talib isn’t suspended or cut for his actions, Tampa needs to think of the future as Ronde Barber might only have one more year in him.

52. New York Giants: FS Rahim Moore, UCLA-

Safety isn’t the biggest need for the Giants, then again it isn’t their biggest strength as well. While there might be more glaring needs, the Giants do appreciate value, and I could see them grabbing Moore here given his value relative to the draft position. If the Giants safeties continue to struggle, Moore gives the team the depth to make the necessary change.

53. Indianapolis Colts: DT Marvin Austin, North Carolina-

The Colts addressed their OT need (well at least half of it) in the first round. They will need to try to fix their DT need in the 2nd. Austin, has some red flags heading into this offseason, but so far he seems to be doing all the right things to answer those questions about him. If he checks out, the Colts should be highly interested in him. Austin would be a good fit in the middle of the Colts line and should cause all sorts of disruptions in the opposing backfield.

54. Philadelphia Eagles: G Will Rackley, Leigh-

The Eagles need to upgrade the right side of their offensive line, and Rackley is quickly moving up draft boards. This could be slightly high for him, but I see him as a good fit in Philly and a guy who will shore up that offensive line. Philly still needs to find a RT, but I don’t see any tackles that make sense for the Eagles right here.

55. Kansas City Chiefs: WR Leonard Hankerson, Miami-

Hankerson could be nabbed earlier, but if he does last this long then I think the Chiefs will be quite thrilled. Kansas City needs to keep adding quality targets to Matt Cassel’s arsenal and Hankerson would be a good fit. Hankerson isn’t the biggest or fastest receiver, but he should excel at the next level. The one real concern is his hands as at times he loses concentration and will have a multi-drop game, but otherwise he looks like a very good starting WR.

56. New Orleans Saints: OLB Bruce Carter, North Carolina-

The Saints have a major need at weakside linebacker and Carter is one of the best LB’s in this class, making this both a value and a need pick. Carter has the skill set to be an instant starter and should help upgrade the Saints defense.

57. Seattle Seahawks: CB Ras-I Dowling, Virginia-

The Seahawks need to add a corner in the first two rounds of the draft, as there secondary got torched last season. Dowling has some injury concerns, and has disappeared at times, but he has incredible potential. If he can stay healthy he projects as a number 1 corner, capable of shadowing the league’s top receivers.

58. Baltimore Ravens: WR Titus Young, Boise State-

The Ravens receiving corps is vastly improved, but they are still looking for that home run threat. Young would be that speed weapon and a perfect compliment to Boldin and Mason. Young still needs to work on his secondary skills (getting out of breaks, route running, and working against press coverage), but he has the potential to be a star.

59. Atlanta Falcons: WR Jerrel Jernigan, Troy:

Although the Falcons need another DE to compliment John Abraham, I’m thinking they continue to add weapons on offense. Roddy White is a great receiver, but the rest of their pass catchers are in need of an upgrade. Jernigan offers a legitimate burner for Matt Ryan and someone who will stretch the field, which should help open up the middle for the Falcons tight ends.

60. New England: RB Mikel Leshoure, Illinois:

The Patriots have a lot of picks to play with, so I see them going best player available with this pick and adding another weapon. While their ground game was nice last season, it didn’t have an elite feel to it, and it let them down when it mattered most. While the Pats have some talent in the backfield I really don’t think anyone of them is a legit number one tailback. Leshoure has that number one back potential, and is a steal late in the 2nd round.

61. San Diego Chargers (from New York Jets): OT James Carpenter, Alabama-

The Chargers could use an upgrade on the right side of their line, and while Carpenter isn’t projected as a top 2 round guy, his draft stock is moving up and he is a good fit here. I think Carpenter has a lot of potential and could be the answer the Chargers are looking for at their right tackle spot.

62. Chicago Bears: CB Jimmy Smith, Colorado-

When you face Aaron Rodgers twice a season you better be prepared. Although the Bears could go in a number of directions I see them going corner with this pick. If Jimmy Smith is available I think Chicago will be more than happy to add him to their ‘Rodgers prevention’ unit. Smith has the ability to be an elite corner, but red flags will make him fall. If Chicago doesn’t see any major concerns, I think he is a great value at this pick.

63. Pittsburgh Steelers: OG Jason Pinkston, Pittsburgh-

The Steelers desperately need to improve their offensive line this offseason, and adding a G like Pinkston will go a long way to helping. While Pinkston was a tackle in college, he likely fits best on the inside. I really like his upside and considering he was a local product the Steelers will have plenty of knowledge of what he brings to the table. The Steelers do need a corner, but I think they might go guard here and corner in the next round.

64. Green Bay Packers: OLB Brooks Reed, Arizona-

Reed has been compared to Clay Matthews, so adding him to Packers LB corps could just be scary. I don’t think Reed is as elite as Matthews, but he is a relentless pass rusher who gets after the quarterback. If the Packers can get a book end to Matthews their defense could very well be unstoppable. I know some people rank Reed higher, and I could see him going a few spots higher, but I really don’t see him going too much higher than this pick, given the talent at other positions.

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3

17. New England Patriots (From Oakland): WR Jon Baldwin, Pittsburgh-

The Patriots could look to go in a number of directions here, including DE (the 3-4 variety), RB, WR, OT, OG, or Rush LB, and I think they will take the best player available at one of those needs. Although I would typically look for them to fill one of their defensive needs, I’d be a little shocked if they let Jon Baldwin get past them. Baldwin has big time speed and play making ability, and he could be the perfect replacement for Randy Moss.While I know there are some concerns about his attitude, overall I think Baldwin will be an exceptional addition and offer great value to the Pats.

New England is a prime candidate to trade up (or even trade down), but right now I think Baldwin is their prime choice.

18. San Diego Chargers: DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin-

With the Patriots passing on J.J. Watt, San Diego lands a player worth of a top 10 pick in the 2nd half of round 1. The Chargers could consider an offensive lineman or receiver here, but defensive end is their biggest need and Watt should fill it exceptionally well.

19. New York Giants: OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA-

Although a number of teams could target Ayers, I see him falling a little bit, since he is more of a 4-3 OLB, than a 3-4. Sure he rushes the passer, but guys like Smith and Miller do it better. Ayers plays better in coverage and diagnosing runs, making him a more ideal fit for a 4-3 team. The Giants desperately need to upgrade their back 7 (and could also look DT). He can be useful blitzing the quarterback, but can go out in coverage as well. He would be a big upgrade for the G-men, and should be able to start from day 1.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue-

I’ve been mocking them an offensive tackle for some time, but I really think Tampa could be happy with Ryan Kerrigan. He has fallen some in my book and this is a bit high for him, but he can get after the quarterback. Sacks didn’t come easy for the Buccaneers last season, and that has to change for them to take their game to the next level and become a playoff team. I worry about Kerrigan in the ground game, but I do still like him as a pass rusher.

21. Kansas City Chiefs: OLB/DE Justin Houston, Georgia-

The Chiefs might be desperate for a receiver, but there is no one on the board here worth taking. I realize that they have been drafting pretty steady on defense of late, but they do have their tight end, running back, and quarterback (at least they believe so) positions set. Offensive line looks pretty good assuming they resign their free agents (not big name stars so I see them coming back). Receiver is a big issue, but it will need to be addressed in free agency to find a real fix. I think the Chiefs will look to add another pass rusher to compliment Hali, and Houston is a great fit. While the Chiefs defense did a lot of things well this season they were really a one man show when it came to rushing the passer. If they can add a second threat it will strengthen the entire defense.

22. Indianapolis Colts: OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College-

I finally gave in and now have the Colts taking an offensive tackle. They could take one in free agency, but they might not want to pay the high price tag with having to resign Peyton this offseason. Look for the Colts to add a good defensive player or two in free agency to allow them to take an OT. Castonzo I thought preformed well at the Scouting Combine, and looked to be the 2nd best tackle in the draft. I don’t think he is the perfect tackle, but he should be a day one starter and protect Peyton’s blindside for a number of years.

23. Philadelphia Eagles: CB Brandon Harris, Miami-

The Eagles have a pressing need at offensive tackle and I’m not buying their faith in Winston Justice, but I am starting to think they might look elsewhere in the draft. Corner back is almost as big of a need as offensive line, and Brandon Harris has great starting potential. Given the level of talent of the Cowboys and Giants receiving corps, the Eagles need to matchup if they want to stay competitive.

24. New Orleans Saints: G/C Mike Pouncey, Florida-

I think Mark Ingram would have been their pick if he was available. But, with him off the board and the Saints filling their DT need with Shaun Rogers, I could see them looking to upgrade their offensive line. Yes they already have two of the best guards in the league, but Carl Nicks is a restricted free agent, and I’m not sure if they are willing to have both of their guards signed to massive contracts. If they land Pouncey, they could look to trade Nicks, before he is an unrestricted free agent next season. Even if they keep Nicks, they could always start Pouncey at center where, there current starter, Jonathan Goodwin is also currently a free agent.

25. Seattle Seahawks: DT Corey Liuget, Illinois-

The Seahawks have a number of needs so I think they will go with the best player available strategy, and at this point no player has more value than Liuget. Liuget has the makings of a star defensive tackle. While he could potentially play outside in a 3 man front, his best position is DT. Seattle could be looking at losing their best D-lineman in DT Brandon Mebane, so Liuget could possibly be his replacement. Even if they keep Mebane, pairing him with Liuget would be a nightmare for opposing offenses.

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Aaron Williams, Miami-

The Ravens have one of the elite defenses in the league, but their corner back play is still average at best. Williams is a bigger more physical corner, but he can still cover quicker guys. He probably won’t develop into an elite corner, but he should be a good starter.

27. Atlanta Falcons: TE Kyle Rudolph, Notre Dame-

Although the Falcons need to upgrade their pass rush, there aren’t any good 4-3 ends available at this pick. They could grab a guy like Heyward or Ballard and kick him inside on passing downs, but I’m guessing they go in a different direction. They could target an offensive lineman if they lose one of their starters in free agency, but for now I like Kyle Rudolph with this pick. No it isn’t the wide receiver they are hoping for, but Rudolph, should still be a good weapon in year one, despite being Tony Gonzalez’s understudy. Surround Matt Ryan with as many weapons as possible is key for Atlanta, and Rudolph definitely qualifies.

28. New England Patriots: OT Derek Sherrod, Miss. St.-

While I like the idea of the Patriots grabbing a playmaker, I’m thinking they will take the more practical approach at take an offensive lineman. Sherrod is 4th on my OT board, but I see him as a guy the Patriots will like. He can play on either side and is more of a pass blocker than a run blocker. The Pats need him, because with Matt Light on the way out, and New England’s once elite offensive line is showing some holes. The Jets exploited some of those weaknesses in the Playoffs, as they were even able to get pressure with 3 and 4 men rushing. Unless the Patriots add a top tackle in free agency, they will have to address it early in the draft.

29. New York Jets: DE Muhammad Wilkerson Temple-

The Jets are likely to lose Shaun Ellis to free agency this offseason leaving a major void along their defensive line. I think this has to be New York’s top priority come draft time, and they should be quite pleased with Wilkerson. I’ve previously had Cameron Heyward here, but his injury could knock him down a peg. Wilkerson is a little raw, but he flashes big time upside, and looks to be effective both against the rush and the pass. He should ensure that the Jets don’t miss Ellis too much, and will help keep this defense among the league’s elite.

30. Chicago Bears: OT Nate Solder, Colorado -

Nate Solder is a boom or bust tackle, and I consider him the 5th best OT in the draft. I do think he will go higher than others and remain a first round pick because of that unlimited upside. I liked what I saw from Solder in the offensive lineman drills at the Combine, but his lack of upper body strength does worry me. He’s a good fit for Chicago, given his quickness, but he needs to maintain leverage if he is going to be a star.

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin-

I’ve had Pouncey going to the Steelers for quite some time, but I could see him off the board by this pick. If that is the case Pittsburgh should waste no time turning in their card for Carimi, who is a perfect fit for them. Last season both of their starting tackles missed a significant amount of time due to injury, so it is a major need for Pittsburgh. Carimi could have been born to play in Pittsburgh as he is a pure road grinder, with a blue collar attitude. He will be devastating in run blocking and more than hold his own in pass blocking. He’s probably a better fit on the right side, but since both tackles need upgraded he fits in Pittsburgh.

32. Green Bay Packers: WR Torrey Smith, Maryland-

This is a bit of a luxury pick, but it makes sense as well. I know the Packers have some defensive and offensive line issues, but they also could have a huge issue developing at WR. James Jones is a free agent, and I’m guessing he’ll get priced out of what the Packers are willing to pay. On top of Jones leaving, Donald Driver is coming off his worst season and might only have one more year left. A good young receiver like Torrey Smith, does make some sense for the Packers. Their window is now, and adding weapons for Aaron Rodgers has to be a top priority. Smith has the speed and quickness to help stretch the field, and be a home run threat.

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3

1. Carolina Panthers: DT Marcell Dareus, Alabama-

With no Andrew Luck in the mix the Panthers, will go to plan B, which is to choose from one of the elite defensive players in the draft or wide receiver A.J. Green. There might be a big push for the Panthers to go for Green, given their need for a play making receiver (especially to help in the development of Jimmy Claussen), but I think that would be a big mistake. The Panthers have spent a number of draft picks on  receivers the last few years, and while Green is better than all of them, that is just too many resources to put into one position, especially when they have so many other holes. While there are some people who will point to Cam Newton as the answer, he simply isn’t a franchise quarterback of the ilk of Peyton Manning.

While I considered Bowers for the top spot, and have had Fairley there before I think Dareus makes the most sense. While the Panthers could use star DE Charles Johnson, he also might no longer fit in their system. New HC Ron Rivera has talked about employing both the 4-3 and the 3-4. That would make Dareus the be perfect fit for the the Panthers as he as adept to playing both inside at tackle and outside as a 3-4 end. While it isn’t his primary position, Dareus could even play some NT as well. Wherever he is lining up, Dareus projects to be a force at the next level. He should be an excellent run defender and put more than ample pressure on the quarterback.

2. Denver Broncos: DE Da’Quan Bowers, Clemson-

With the Broncos officially resigning Champ Bailey, I think corner back slides a few notches down their needs list. The Broncos need help along the defensive line, and while initially I thought either Fairley or Dareus, would be the pick here, I think Bowers is the best fit. Bowers is the rare combination of a DE, who has the size and bulk to hold up in the running game, and get effective pressure on the quarterback. The Broncos still need a DT (actually two of them), but would be better served with drafting one with one of their two 2nd round picks. Bowers and Dumervil would give Denver the book end pass rushers that every team is looking for.

3. Buffalo Bills: OLB Von Miller, Texas A&M-

As the days go by Miller’s stock keeps rising and rising, to the point that I just can’t see the Bills passing on him. I know they could go QB here, or the top corner on their board, but Miller is an elite talent and fills a major need. He’s making it harder and harder for the Bills to pass him up, to the point that I just can’t see it happening.

4. Cincinnati Bengals: QB Cam Newton, Auburn-

While wide receiver could be the pick, or DE with Bowers on the board, I’m thinking the Bengals bite the bullet and grab Newton. Newton’s workout was a start, and if he follows it up with a big combine and pro day he will likely be picked in the top 5. If the Bengals can’t convince Palmer to come back and play, they will look for his replacement. Personally, I think that this is far too high for Newton, but some team will pull the trigger on him. It will be tough to pass up A.J. Green, but it could end up happening with Newton on the board.

5. Arizona Cardinals: QB Blaine Gabbert, Missouri-

Athough I think this is too high to have two quarterbacks go in the top 5, I could see it happening. Gabbert would give the Cards the quarterback they need to help appease star receiver Larry Fitzgerald. I don’t think it is a perfect fit by any means, but it def. could happen.

6. Cleveland Browns: WR A.J. Green, Georgia-

The Browns have two major needs (WR and DE) and either one could make sense for this pick. I have previously linked them to both a receiver and defensive end, but now I believe they will look receiver first. Although I don’t normally advocate receivers over more important positions, like the defensive line, it is hard to argue against Green. Green has the skill set and potential to be the next elite receiver in this league. Given the Browns lack of a quality wide receiver, Green makes a lot of sense for them. Although, they could still look at DE with a guy like Robert Quinn or Aldon Smith, I think Green is too good to pass up.

7. San Francisco 49ers: CB Patrick Peterson, LSU-

Although I think the 49ers would take Gabbert if he is there, they will be more than happy to land a shutdown corner like Peterson. I don’t think there is anyway they’d try reaching for another QB, or even Julio Jones to shore up their receiving corps. Peterson gives San Fran, a star player, who could fall out of the top 5 given the needs of other teams.

8. Tennessee Titans: DT Nick Fairley, Auburn-

The Titans have been searching for an inside pass rusher for a couple years now, and now they finally have one in Nick Fairley. Fairley is a top 5 talent, but one that could slip since he isn’t as good of a fit in the 3-4. Fairley will be a big boost to the Titans pass rush, that could be hurting from the potential loss of Jason Babin. Tennessee needs a disruptor along their defensive line and that fits Fairley perfectly.

9. Dallas Cowboys: CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska-

The Cowboys have many needs, but I see them going hard after a corner back in this draft. I think Amukamara is the best CB, in this class and an absolute steal for them at this pick. Personally I think Amukamara is the best corner in this draft and will automatically revitalize their secondary.

10. Washington Redskins: OLB/ DE Aldon Smith, Missouri-

While a lot of people will try to ‘mock’ the Redskins a quarterback, that is not the direction this team should be going in. I could also see the Redskins as a prime team to trade back, given their vast needs and small number of picks, but I’m not predicting trades in this mock. In this version of the draft, I have A.J. Green available, which I know a number of fans would jump at, but that too is the wrong choice. The Redskins need to fix their offensive line, and their front 7 on defense, to become a contender. Until then it doesn’t matter who they have at receiver, since the quarterback will never get the ball to him.

I’ve had a 5 technique defensive end mocked here the last two weeks, but I’m going to change my tune a little and go with Aldon Smith. Smith will complement Orakpo on the other side and give the Redskins an incredible pass rush tandem. While defensive end is a priority it is such a deep draft that you can get a really good one in the 2nd round. I think Robert Quinn will get some looks here as well, but Smith might be a better fit.

11. Houston Texans: OLB Robert Quinn, North Carolina-

Houston will be in the midst of transitioning to a 3-4 defense, and with no corner back to take they should focus this pick on grabbing a front 7 player. This pick should come down to either a rush linebacker or a 3-4 DE. I go back and forth about which position the Texans should address, but if they feel like Quinn can stand up, then he has to be their pick. The Texans have at least average defensive ends, but they don’t have much in the way of pass rush specialists. I know they plan is to use Mario Williams in a hybrid formation, and that could work, but they need someone who is more natural at the position. I still have some doubts about Quinn, but he does have the upside to be an elite pass rusher, and that is exactly what the Texans need.

12. Minnesota Vikings: DE Cameron Jordan, California-

While Cameron Jordan isn’t a prototypical 4-3 defensive end, he is still quick enough to rush effectively from that position. Jordan’s ability to play inside, fits well with the Vikings since he can move inside to replace Pat Williams on passing downs. Adding Jordan to the front line, will go a long way to helping the Vikings defense return to elite status.

13. Detroit Lions: OT Tyron Smith, USC-

I know corner and linebacker are need spots, but they aren’t anything compared to Detroit’s need at left tackle. What the Lions have done in terms of protecting (or not protecting) Matt Stafford is flat out insane. You spend $60 million on a guy and you put him in a situation where he can’t succeed and needs to run for his life. The Lions have to fix that this offseason and grabbing Smith would be a smart move. In addition to the pain the offensive line has caused their quarterbacks, the Lions running game hasn’t fared much better. Their backs have one of the worst yards per carry in the league, and can never pick up the tough yards. I know defense wins championships, but Smith is a top notch talent and can protect Stafford for the next decade.

14. St. Louis Rams: WR Julio Jones, Alabama-

The Rams need to walk away from this draft with a frontline receiver, which means they need to address this position in the first round. Now I’m not conceding my personal rankings in terms of who should go first between Julio Jones and Jon Baldwin, but I think it is time to concede the fact that Jones will go first. I think teams will fall in love with his incredible combine numbers, and slightly overdraft Jones. It’s not that I am anit-Jones, its just that I worry about how refined he is. That being said, he will be a major upgrade for the Rams and they will be thrilled to land him with this pick. If they feel he could get drafted earlier, don’t be surprised if St. Louis looks to move up a couple of spots to secure his services.

15. Miami Dolphins: RB Mark Ingram, Alabama-

I’ve had Ryan Kerrigan here for a couple of weeks now, but I have to change this to running back and Mark Ingram. I do think the Dolphins need another rush linebacker, it isn’t nearly as pressing of a need. Miami right now doesn’t have anyone capable of significant playing time on their running back depth chart. That means the need someone they know can start, not someone who might be able to start, like a late round pick. If the Dolphins had a 2nd rounder, I’d still maybe hold off. But not having a pick until the 3rd round, puts Ingram right here. I’m not a huge Ingram fan, and would say this is a good 10 spots too high, but he does fill a primary need for the Dolphins.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: DE Adrian Clayborn, Iowa:

Clayborn was once thought to be a top 10 pick, but slipped some due to a poor senior campaign. Clayborn’s senior numbers weren’t entirely his fault as teams routinely double teamed him, and ran plays away from the powerful defensive end. Clayborn isn’t a dominate pass rusher, but he has the skills to get between 7-10 sacks a season. Clayborn will help continue to boost a Jacksonville pass rush that let them down when it mattered the most.

Despite being right smack in the information age, with 24 hour sports coverage in every medium imaginable it amazes me at times how much people get stuck into traditional ways of thinking and fail to look deeper into a question. That is why when you ask a typical NFL fan about the most important positions, you will usually get a response involving the ‘big three’ Quarterback-Running back-Wide Receiver.

While those positions no doubt serve an importance, this isn’t the Arena League where those are the only players that matter. The NFL is a team game, and victories and Super Bowl successes aren’t dictated by a single player. While we focus on the skill guys, it is worth noting that many of the elite quarterbacks, running backs, and receivers to play this game, don’t have a single Super Bowl Ring to their name. Now are their exceptions to this rule, of course. The Cowboys and 49ers each won multiple Super Bowls, whilst having numerous Hall of Fame talent at their skill positions. What is forgotten of course is the fact that in addition to the Aikmen’s, Rice’s and Smith’s on those teams, they had exceptional talent at other positions as well. Now I’m not trying to discount what Aikmen, Montana, Rice, Irvin, Smith meant to these teams, just to say that they alone would have not been enough for Dallas and San Francisco to win as many Super Bowls as they did.

Of all the key positions that get overlooked the offensive line is probably the worst one. Now I realize that left tackles the aka blind side protectors have gained notoriety in recent years and are now one of the NFL’s highest paid positions on average. While the recent acknowledgement of the importance of the LT is good, it’s only a partial measure. Now too often, teams and fans only focus on the left tackle position and regulate the rest of the line to a 2nd tier status. Having the league’s best LT, but below average talent at the other 4 positions, will only end in disaster for an offense. Now that is not to say you need 5 All-Pros manning the line to be effective. If you look at the league’s most successful offensive lines (and you can pretty much read that as offenses), they usually have 2 elite talents, 2 good players, and 1 average-above average player. That is how a line should be built, yet teams seem to just blatantly ignore the line.

What’s probably the most frustrating is that given how much teams overlook the line, it is very easy to ‘beat the system’ and build a quality offensive line without breaking the bank. While left tackles are usually drafted in the top 50 picks (and usually the best ones are gone in the top 25), many right tackles and interior linemen can be found in the 2nd-5th rounds. Guys who can either start right away, or within a year, and become quality NFL players. Yet despite the ease and availability of good offensive linemen, teams ignore them constantly to instead add a 4th receiver, a backup tight end, or a third-down back in the mid rounds. And yet people are still shocked when a highly drafted quarterback or running back fail to produce because they don’t have the blocking, or a highly touted receiver can’t get any balls thrown his way because a quarterback is on the run for his life. Without a quality offensive line it is nearly impossible for the skill players to succeed, yet the NFL’s ignorance doesn’t seem to be waning. So next time, you want your last place team to draft a new quarterback, running back and receiver with their top 3 picks, remember that while that looks good on paper, on the field it’s not going to make a difference until the foundation is built.

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3: Round 4

97. Carolina Panthers: QB Ricky Stanzi, Iowa-

I don’t know if the Panthers are sold on the long term future of Jimmy Clausen. While I don’t think they will opt for a QB in round 1, they will keep their eye on the midround guys. Stanzi has some upside, and was extremely productive as a senior in college. Good value for this pick.

98. Seattle Seahawks (from New England via Denver): G/T DeMarcus Love, Arkansas-

The Seahawks need to upgrade their offensive line, if they hope to win the West again. They have needs at guard, and possibly at RT, which means Love versatility is a plus. Personally I like Love more as a guard, and see that as the better fit.

99. Buffalo Bills: ILB Kelvin Sheppard, LSU-

If the Bills resign both Akin Ayodele and Paul Posluszny, then inside linebacker isn’t a huge need, but that could be a big ‘if’. And the Bills might not want to put that much money in the position. Even if they do resign both backers, Sheppard is a great value for this spot, and the Bills could be tempted from a depth standpoint.

100. Cincinnati Bengals: WR Greg Little, North Carolina-

If the Bengals haven’t done so by now they will definitely look to address their receiver position in the mid rounds of the draft. Little has 2nd round talent, but 4th or 5th round red flags attached. Cincinnati has overlooked character concerns in the past, so if they have any indication that Little is past all his troubles they will have no problem snatching him in the 4th round. With T.O. on the way out the door and Chad Johnson likely to follow suit, Little will fill a major need for the Bengals.

101. Cleveland Browns: CB Chimdi Chekwa, Ohio State-

The Browns drafted Joe Haden last year in the first round, but they really don’t have much else at CB. Chekwa has good size and speed but he’s not the complete package. He is good value for this spot, and coming from Ohio State doesn’t hurt either.

102. Arizona Cardinals: G Will Rackley, Leigh-

The Cardinals have major needs along their offensive line, so adding a quality guard like Rackley would be a steal here. Rackley is one of my favorite players in this draft class. I think he has immense upside and will quickly develop into a good starting guard.

103. Philadelphia Eagles (from Washington): OLB K.J. Wright, Miss. State-

The Eagles need a lot of help at both of their OLB, spots and Wright offers great value and upside. He might not be a true starter in year one, but he should be by year two, and Philly should be quite happy with what he becomes.

104. Houston Texans: OLB Chris Carter, Fresno State-

Defense, defense, defense! I know some might hate to see yet another defensive pick, but their offense wasn’t the problem last season. Carter gives them another pass rusher to help allieviate the pressure on their corners and safeties.

105. Minnesota Vikings: WR Austin Pettis, Boise State-

The Vikings will need another weapon if Sidney Rice leaves via free agency this offseason. Even if Rice is retained, Minnesota’s receiver depth could use some fresh blood.

106. Detroit Lions: CB Jalil Brown, Colorado-

After adding their offensive lineman in round 1, the Lions need to add as many defenders as possible in this draft. In particular they need help in their back 7. Brown got overshadowed by his more highly touted teammate (Jimmy Smith), but he is a very talented corner in his own right. Good value here for Detroit.

107. San Francisco 49ers: RB Derrick Locke, Kentucky-

With Brian Westbrooke not likely to return the 49ers will be in the market for a, small quick back out of the backfield. Locke, is a good player and should be a valuable target out of the backfield for whomever lines up behind center.

108. Tennessee Titans: OLB Lawrence Wilson, Connecticut-

The Titans could use an upgrade at outside linebacker, and although Wilson might not be ready to start he would add much needed depth and should develop into a starting role.

109. Dallas Cowboys: G Zach Hurd, Connecticut-

The Cowboys need to really invest some picks into their offensive line, and Hurd is good value for this slot. He could need a year to develop, but should be at the very least the Cowboys primary reserved guard.

110. Miami Dolphins: WR Vincent Brown, San Diego State-

This needs to be an offensive draft for the Dolphins and jumping on the 4th round receiver bandwagon would seem like a good idea. Miami is set with their starting two receivers, but they could use a third option to help jump start their offense. Brown caught just about everything thrown his way at the Senior Bowl and would be a fine addition to the Dolphins.

111. St. Louis Rams: DE Greg Romeus, Pittsburgh-

Although DE isn’t a major need for the Rams, Romeus is a great value at this pick. Going into this past season he seemed like a sure-fire 1st rounder. While injuries have obviously caused him to slide, he is a find in the 4th round. James Hall is 34 years old, and probably can’t be counted on to have too many more great seasons.

112. Oakland Raiders: TE Luke Stocker, Tennessee-

Given all the big contracts they’ve handed out of late, I don’t know if the Raiders have the resources to pay big money to their tight end Zach Miller. If that’s the case look for them to target a replacement in the mid rounds. Stocker is the most complete tight end on the board, and should replace Miller fairly well.

113. Jacksonville Jaguars: WR Terrence Toliver, LSU-

The Jaguars are going to be losing WR Mike Sims-Walker this offseason so a mid round replacement, will help ensure the Jags offense doesn’t suffer too much.

114. San Francisco 49ers (from San Diego): FS Chris Culliver, South Carolina-

The 49ers could use more help in their secondary and Culliver is the best free safety on the board at this point. I like Culliver’s upside and I really do believe he can become a starter at the next level.

115. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: RB Jacquizz Rodgers, Oregon State-

Tampa could be in the market for a small shifty back to complement Blount this season. I love Rodgers, but I doubt he gets picked much higher than this due to his bad timed speed. Bucs fans shouldn’t worry though as, he plays quite a bit faster than the stopwatch suggests.

116. New York Giants: TE D.J. Williams, Arkansas-

Kevin Boss is a free agent so if he leaves the Giants will need to address their need at some point in this draft.

117. Kansas City Chiefs: C Tim Barnes, Missouri-

The Chiefs starting center is going to be 38 years old, it might just be time to think about a replacement. Barnes has some upside and should develop into a starting caliber guy.

118. Indianapolis Colts: S Ahmad Black, Florida-

I know some will say that Black isn’t big enough to hold up as a starting strong safety, but you have to love the kid’s heart, ball skills, and football I.Q. I think he will be just fine at the next level, and I don’t see the Colts having any problems with his diminutive size. Bob Sanders their former star safety wasn’t known for his size, yet he was one of the best safeties in the league when healthy.

119. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Jah Reid, UCF-

If Marcus Cannon ends up at guard (either short or long term) the Eagles could use a young RT to develop. Reid has a lot of size and potential, and looks to be a good fit for Philly.

120. Jacksonville Jaguars (from New Orleans): S Jeron Johnson, Boise State-

The Jags need to double up at safety in this draft class, and Johnson is a good pick for this spot. While some see him more of a strong safety, I really think he can handle the center field spot.

121. Buffalo Bills: (from Seattle): G Steve Schilling, Michigan-

Buffalo needs to keep upgrading their offensive line, particularly if they plan on grooming a young quarterback.

122. Baltimore Ravens: RB Roy Helu, Nebraska-

As much as the Ravens are looking to improve their passing attack, they still need to rely on their ground game if they have any shot of competing for a Super Bowl berth. With Le’Ron McClain a free agent and Willis McGahee likely to be released, Baltimore needs to find an upgrade. Helu has great value at this spot, and should be a great number 2 back to Rice.

123. Atlanta Falcons: DE Cliff Matthews, South Carolina-

The Falcons need to make sure they don’t ignore their defense this offseason as they look to retool for another playoff run. Defensive end is their primary need area, as they need to create more consistent pressure on the quarterback. Matthews is a bit limited overall, but I think he fits well as a situational pass rusher, making him a good fit for the end of the 4th round.

124. New England Patriots: NT Jerrell Powe, Mississippi-

Powe might not be the biggest need for the Patriots, but his presence will allow Vince Wilfork to play on the outside some as well as rest up more, which should make him an even bigger force late in games. Powe isn’t a star NT, but he is capable of playing in the NFL and having a significant impact.

125. New York Jets: NT Ian Williams, Notre Dame-

The past two seasons the Jets lost their starting NT in week one, and while their backups handled the job well, they need to add quality depth to that position. Williams isn’t just your traditional space eating nose tackle, but he gets excellent leverage and holds up at the point of attack.

126. Chicago Bears: CB Rashard Carmichael, Virginia Tech-

For the Bears to win the North again and make another run at the Super Bowl, they will need to get past Aaron Rodgers. Which means having as many talented corners as possible is a pretty good idea. Carmichael offers good value here, and has good upside. He doesn’t run the fastest or look the best in drills, but when he’s on the field you know he can play.

127. Pittsburgh Steelers: CB Buster Skrine, Chattanooga-

Ditto…The Steelers know first hand what it is like to have to face the Packers and their receivers. Pittsburgh has to improve this secondary as they can’t rely solely on the pass rush.

128. Green Bay Packers: DE/DT Terrell McClain, South Florida-

The Packers could lose Cullen Jenkins to free agency, which would make this a bigger need, but even if they keep him McClain is good value for them here.

Round 1 picks 1-16
Round 1 picks 17-32
Round 2
Round 3

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3: Round 4

65. Carolina Panthers: OG Orlando Franklin, Miami-

The Panthers could go a number of different routes, but if they want to give Jimmy Clausen a legitimate chance they need to improve the line in front of him. They are set at center and tackle, but their guard play was pretty poor last season. Franklin would be a very good addition with this pick and should help improve both their run and pass blocking. I think it is key that the Panthers grab an instant starter with this pick, and I feel that Franklin can step right in.

66. Cincinnati Bengals: DT Jarvis Jenkins, Clemson-

The Bengals need some help in the middle of their defensive line, and Jenkins is the best DT still left on the board. Jenkins is a disruptive force with a great first step. He is the type of DT that will help against both the run and the pass, with pass rush being his overall strength. This could be a slight reach for him, but not enough that is should be a concern.

67. Denver Broncos: FS Quinton Carter, Oklahoma-

I know this is a lot of defensive picks for the Broncos, but that was their biggest issue last season. For the most part their offensive line looks good, and they have decent receivers and quarterbacks. While I am not 100% sold on Moreno, he was a first rounder two years ago so he deserves at least one more shot. Free safety was a huge hole for this team last year, and Carter should fill it quite well. With a rebuild D-line and an improving secondary, Denver’s defense (and subsequently the entire team) could make a quick turnaround.

68. Buffalo Bills: OT Marcus Gilbert, Florida-

If the Bills don’t address their offensive line issues in the top 3 rounds this year, they should just fire their G.M. on the spot. Buffalo has some decent weapons at RB and WR, but until they get some protection their offense will always be second rate.

69. Arizona Cardinals: OT/G James Brewer, Indiana-

The Cardinals have to add talent to their offensive line and even if they do address this position in an earlier round a versatile player like Brewer could be a fit here. I think he is limited to either RT or G, but both of those are needs for Arizona. I like Brewer more than most and do see a little bit of the Roger Saffold comparison some people make.

70. Cleveland Browns: DE Pernell McPhee, Miss. State-

The Browns need to add some 4-3 linemen, and McPhee profiles well as a strong left end. He offers decent pass rush and should be a very good run defender as well.

71. Dallas Cowboys: FS Marcus Gilchrest, Clemson-

Dallas needs to go back to fixing their secondary and adding a FS would be the next logical step. While some teams might like Gilchrest as a corner I think he is a much better fit as a free safety. He should at least be a nickel safety as a rookie, and could end up starting next season.

72. New Orleans Saints (from Washington): RB Shane Vereen, California-

Reggie Bush is likely done in New Orleans, and while Thomas was resigned he has been nicked up a bit and Chris Ivory is coming off a big injury, meaning RB is still high on the Saints wish list. Vereen would be a nice change of pace back and fill the role that Bush once held.

73. Houston Texans: CB Davon House, New Mexico State-

Pretty much as long as this pick is on defense the Texans will be making the right choice. House adds quality depth to their corner backs, a group that got torched nonstop last year.

74. New England Patriots (from Minnesota): OLB Dontay Moch, Nevada-

New England needs to add some pass rushing talent this offseason and Moch is a good fit for them. He is a pure speed rusher, but given his athletic ability, his upside is immense. He would do well to go to a team like the Patriots, who already have a lot of surrounding talent so he doesn’t have to be a major focal point of their defense.

75. Detroit Lions: OLB Mason Foster, Washington-

The Lions need linebacker help desperately so doubling up in the 2nd and 3rd rounds makes a lot of sense. The Lions could go from having one of the worst linebacker corps, to one of the most promising. I’m a big Mason Foster fan, and think he is a very good starter at the next level.

76. San Francisco 49ers: WR Tandon Doss, Indiana-

The 49ers could use another weapon to help ensure Gabbert’s transition to the NFL is as smooth as possible. I like Doss as he has deceptive speed and pretty good size. I don’t know if he will ever be a star, but I think he will almost definitely be a capable number 2 receiver. I love the upside and think he is good value for the 3rd round.

77. Tennessee Titans: G Clint Boling, Georgia-

The Titans need to look to upgrade the interior of their offensive line. They likely won’t have a major passing attack next year, so anything the Titans can do to free up Chris Johnson, they have to make a priority. Boling is good value here and should immediately be added to the starting line.

78. St. Louis Rams: DT Jurrell Casey, USC-

The Rams took care of their offensive needs with their first two picks, but they need to make sure they don’t ignore their defensive ones. Although they need a FS, I think they go DT here. Right now they have nothing next to Fred Robbins in the middle, and he is in his early 30′s. I’m not a huge fan of Casey’s but this is where his stock is, and I see him as a good fit in St.Louis, since they already have a good d-line.

79. Miami Dolphins: QB Colin Kaepernick, Nevada-

The Dolphins haven’t had much success with drafting mid-round quarterbacks lately, but Kaepernick could change all of that. He has incredible potential and I really believe he will develop into a starting quarterback in this league within two years.

80. Jacksonville Jaguars: S DeAndre McDaniel, Clemson-

The Jags need major upgrades to their secondary, and adding a playmaker like McDaniel would be exactly the type of move they need to make. McDaniel could probably step in from day one and be their starting strong safety.

81. Oakland Raiders: OT Joesph Barksdale, LSU-

The Raiders biggest weakness is the play of their offensive line, so multiple upgrades are needed. Barksdale has a lot of potential, he could end up being their starting right tackle, and has the ability to play there for the next 10 years. If the Raiders can add Wiz and Barksdale, their offense could quickly become one of the better units in the NFL.

82. San Diego Chargers: WR Randall Cobb, Kentucky-

Last year the Chargers dealt with a number of receiver issues, and while for the most part it didn’t affect their overall play, I’m guessing they don’t want to be unprepared again. I know they typically favor bigger receivers, but Cobb is great value for them at this pick and should have a lot of freedom underneath (think Wes Welker), with Jackson stretching the field deep. Cobb also could end up being their primary kick returner if Darren Sproles leaves during free agency.

83. New York Giants: CB Curtis Marsh, Utah State-

The Giants secondary has long been an issue for Big Blue, and should be addressed in the early rounds of the draft. Marsh comes from a small school, but he has a lot of promise. I think he can be at least a nickel corner next year for the Giants and has the potential to be a good starter.

84. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: MLB Quan Sturdivant, North Carolina-

The Buccaneers defensive front 7 needs quite a bit of work, but after this draft, they could be in pretty good shape. Sturdivant is a player that not many people are talking about, but that I feel can step in from day one as a starter.

85. Philadelphia Eagles: OLB Nate Irving, North Carolina St.-

The Eagles linebackers last season were one of their biggest weak spots and an area that needs to be upgraded. Irving is an intriguing prospect and one that I feel will develop into a start player. He is pretty good in coverage, and is a very sure tackler. While he isn’t perfect, I like what I’ve seen from his instincts as well.

86. Kansas City Chiefs: NT Kendrick Ellis, Hampton-

The Chiefs defense improved a lot last season, and it looks like former first rounders Glenn Dorsey and Tyson Jackson are going to finally start producing, but they need to add a man in the middle. Ellis has a lot of potential and could develop into a frontline NT.

87. Indianapolis Colts: G John Moffitt, Wisconsin-

The Colts offensive line was pretty bad last season. While it didn’t always amount to sacks, opponents put constant pressure on Manning. Moffitt can play anywhere on the interior and will also be a major addition in run blocking as well.

88. New Orleans Saints: DT Lawrence Guy, Arizona State-

Yes I know the Saints signed Shaun Rogers to fill their DT void, but you need to have depth at the position as even the best defensive tackles in the league play only between 75-80% of the snaps. Also Rogers was only signed for one season, so he could very well be gone leaving the Saints looking for another DT in a year. Guy is an underrated DT, but one that I think has a lot of promise going forward. He will be a good fit in a rotational role for the Saints this year, and hopefully develop into a fulltime starter next season.

89. San Diego Chargers (from Seattle): ILB Colin McCarthy, Miami-

The Chargers could use some youth added to their linebacking corps. While McCarthy is a bit of a reach here I love his upside for the interior of a 3-4. He probably won’t be a starter in year one, but should quickly work his way into that role by year two.

90. Baltimore Ravens: OT Chris Hairston, Clemson-

The Ravens have multiple offensive linemen who are free agents this offseason and I doubt they can resign them all. Hairston could help out at either RT or G, and replace anyone the Ravens might have lost.

91. Atlanta: RB Jordan Todman, Connecticut-

The Falcons need to add weapons and speed this offseason and Todman would be a nice value for them here. While Michael Turner is the top back in Atlanta, their speed back, J. Norwood, is a free agent and always injured, so the Falcons need a replacement. Todman should be able to contribute immediately and could even be the long term starter, if Turner starts to wear down in the next couple of years.

92. New England Patriots: SS Tyler Sash, Iowa-

The Patriots could need to find a new strong safety given Brandon Merriweather’s legal problems. Even if he isn’t suspended or worse due to his involvement with a shooting, Merriweather was the weakest link for the Patriots secondary last season, so competition isn’t the worst thing in the world. I love Sash’s upside and think he can start at either safety position.

93. Chicago Bears: RB Daniel Thomas, Kansas State-

There are a lot of rumors that the Bears could be looking to part with Chester Taylor this offseason and if that is the case they will need a replacement. Taylor didn’t really help out as much as the Bears thought he would, and they could use a bigger back for short yardage situations. Despite being more of a ‘between the tackles’ back, Thomas has impressive speed, and could fit into the Bears system nicely.

94. New York Jets: WR Niles Paul, Nebraska-

The Jets are likely to lose one of their top receivers this offseason to free agency, and he will need to be replaced. While they could choose a bigger target if Edwards leaves, I really like Paul and think he can flourish in that offense. Paul has great secondary skills, and should contribute early.

95. Pittsburgh Steelers: CB Kendrick Bruney, North Carolina-

The Steelers have two weaknesses, their offensive line and their corner backs. I know Bruney fell in some people’s eyes with a slow Combine time, but I like his upside. He is very instinctive and should be at least a nickel corner as a rookie.

96. Green Bay Packers: RB Kendall Hunter, Oklahoma State-

Some might question this pick, but Hunter is excellent value here, and is a great change of pace back to James Starks. Ryan Grant will be a free agent next season and it is doubtful the Packers will invest serious money into him. Hunter could be the 3rd back this year and develop into a bigger role in year two.

Round 1 picks 1-16
Round 1 picks 17-32
Round 2
Round 4

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3: Round 4

33. New England Patriots (From Carolina): DE Cameron Heyward, Ohio State-

With the Patriots addressing their offensive needs in the first, I think they will look to land a top defensive talent with this pick. Heyward is a first round talent, but will likely fall into the early 2nd round due to his injuries this offseason. While none are considered serious, it has kept him from working out, which is the reason for the slide. Heyward would be a good fit for the Patriots and with the return of Ty Warren, would give New England a formidable defensive line.

34. Buffalo Bills: QB Jake Locker, Washington-

Now the Bills might very well have to trade up into the late first round to land Locker, but it is very reasonable that without a team trading up in front of them, Locker is available at this spot. While addressing their vast offensive line woes is a major need and likely the smart direction to go, I don’t think the Bills will pass up on Locker. With Ryan Fitzpatrick in place, they can give Locker the 1-3 years he needs to develop. And Buffalo hopefully gets their future franchise quarterback.

35. Cincinnati Bengals: RB Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech-

Williams is the 2nd best back in this draft class, and would be a solid value pick for the Bengals here. While they could look to add a receiver, my guess is they will wait a round to do so. Williams has the benefit of being able to really take some pressure off Cam Newton, and offer the Bengals a consistent ground threat. Cincinnati has big needs along the defensive line, but I’m guessing they still go offense with this pick.

36. Denver Broncos: DT Stephen Paea, Oregon State-

Paea is one of the best defensive tackles in this draft class, and while his stock took a hit with a knee injury at the Senior Bowl, this is still great value for the Broncos. Their defensive front 7 is basically a one man show and he is coming off a major injury. Adding Bowers was a good first step, but getting an elite run defender in the middle is key as well. The Broncos could consider a running back or linebacker with this pick, but DT is more important. Remember John Fox comes from a defensive background, and he saw in Carolina that you can win with just okay QB play if you have a good running game and defense.

37. Cleveland Browns: DT Christian Ballard, Iowa-

The Browns are another team that is making a transition to a 4-3 defense, and now need to add the correct personnel. While the Browns have multiple needs for their new defense, adding Ballard would be a great addition here. They already have more of a run-stuffing DT, so now they need to add one who can generate a bit of a pass rush up the middle. Ballard is a relentless player, who’s motor never stops running. Ballard should give good pressure up the middle, and fill a major need for the Browns.

38. Arizona Cardinals: OLB/DE Jabaal Sheard, Pittsburgh-

This pick will likely depend on what the Cardinals do in the first round. If they either draft an rush linebacker at 5 or trade back and do so, then this pick will likely be an offensive lineman. If they move back and grab a tackle like Tyron Smith or Anthony Castonzo, then this pick will be a OLB. If they go with best available and grab someone like Patrick Peterson, then it could go either way. If OLB is still on their wish list then Sheard could end up being their selection. Sheard is moving quickly up draft boards as he has shown the versatility to stand up and rush the quarterback. He looks to be a relentless speed rusher at the next level, but one with enough bulk to anchor against the run. Arizona needs to add some talent to their outside linebacker position, to take advantage of the havoc their elite defensive line causes.

39. Tennessee Titans: QB Ryan Mallett, Arkansas-

Personally I don’t think Mallett is worth a top 50 pick given his character concerns, but if a team believes he can mature they won’t hesitate to pull the trigger. If Jeff Fisher were still in charge, I’d say no way this happens, but as it stands now the Titans have a huge void at QB and are getting a lot of pressure to fill it. The Titans brought in Chris Palmer specifically to work with a young quarterback so I have to believe they take one here. Look for them to also potentially pursue a trade up for Jake Locker if the opportunity presents itself.

40. Dallas Cowboys: T/G Ben Ijalana, Villanova-

The Cowboys will likely be looking for either a safety or an offensive lineman with this pick. If Ijalana is still on the board, I think they will go the offensive line route. Ijalana could fit in as either a guard or a RT, two positions of need for Dallas. Overall I think he is a better guard, but if the Cowboys haven’t filled their right tackle void I think he is more than capable of handling that.

41. Washington Redskins: G/C Rodney Hudson, Florida State-

I know the Skins have needs at RB, WR and QB, but until they get an offensive line in place it’s really not going to matter whom the Redskins have at their skill positions, as they simply won’t have the blocking to be effective. While the Redskins could look long and hard at NT Phil Taylor or DE Cameron Heyward, they need to upgrade this line in 4 spots. Hudson is preferred by some as a center, but I think he is a perfect zone blocking guard. He has quick hands and feet, and anchors extremely well. If the Skins grab him and stick him next to Trent Williams, they will be set on the left side of their line for years to come.

42. Houston Texans: NT Phil Taylor, Baylor-

Although I figured the Texans wouldn’t forgo the opportunity to grab a corner in the top two rounds, I now think they might stay focused on their front 7 in the early rounds. Phil Taylor would be a great fit in Houston and give the Texans the classic nose tackle they are lacking. The last thing the Texans can afford to do is not bring in 3-4 talent, because if they don’t their defense won’t be able to stop anyone. Corner and safety are still major needs, but ones that I think Houston can address later.

43. Minnesota Vikings: QB Christian Ponder, Florida State-

The Vikings will likely be adding a veteran quarterback this offseason, but they also need add a young guy, who can start in a year or two. Ponder I think is a good fit for Minnesota, and should develop well under Offensive Coordinator Bill Musgrave.

44. Detroit Lions: LB Martez Wilson, Illinois-

I know some prefer Wilson as an ILB, but I think he is an excellent strong side linebacker prospect. He offers good bulk to anchor against the run, and great speed for pursuit after the ball carrier. I think Wilson has immense upside, and the Lions should be quite thrilled with his selection in the 2nd round.

45. San Francisco 49ers: CB Curtis Brown, Texas-

The 49ers will probably strongly consider Amukamara in the first round, but should be quite happy landing Brown in the 2nd. Brown shows great ball skills, and might not be the fastest corner in this class, but looks to be the smartest. I think Brown will be able to pretty much start from day one, and I see him being great value here for the 49ers.

46. Denver Broncos (From Miami): DT Drake Nevis, LSU-

I know some people might not get behind the idea of using their top 3 picks to fix the defensive line, but that is exactly what they should do. Yes they still need some help at RB, but they can get a decent option in the mid-rounds, and while their secondary and linebackers still need some help, their need isn’t as great as the defensive line’s. Adding Nevis gives the Broncos a potentially elite unit, that John Fox used to have (and win with) in Carolina. I know it is a bit of a pipe dream for one team to devote 3 high picks on the defensive line, but that unit was so bad last year that it makes sense. If I was looking at the quickest way to return Denver to prominence, it would be by building an exceptionally strong unit, and that they can do with their D-line with these picks.

47. St. Louis Rams: OG Danny Watkins, Baylor-

The Rams landed their top flight receiver in the first round, which leaves them with one big hole on offense, right guard. Watkins would be a great pick for them as he is the type of guy who can enter the starting lineup from day one. Although the Rams have some needs on defense, I can’t see them passing up an instant starter in Watkins to help protect their top two players in Sam Bradford and Stephen Jackson.

48. Oakland Raiders: C/G Stefen Wisniewski, Penn State-

Wisniewski’s uncle was an All-Pro center for the Raiders (and now their O-line coach), and I fully expect the Raiders to make Stefen their 2nd round choice if he is still on the board. While he could play guard for them, I think it is more likely he ends up their center.

49. Jacksonville Jaguars: CB Brandon Burton, Utah-

The Jaguars secondary is almost as much of a joke as their pass rush. They have to add some quality players who can cover. I think this is a little high for Burton, but Jacksonville has shown in the past that they are willing to reach for the player they want/need. While a player like Jimmy Smith is a higher value at this point, I don’t think Jacksonville will bite given his attitude and off the field issues.

50. San Diego Chargers: OLB/DE Sam Acho, Texas-

This could be a bit of a reach for Acho, but he had an impressive combine, and the Chargers could use a younger pass rusher. I like Acho’s upside and I see him developing into a very good OLB.

51. Tampa Bay: DE/DT Allen Bailey, Miami-

The Buccaneers defensive line play was simply awful last year. While the tackles should get better, both ends need replaced big time in this draft. Bailey can play both inside and outside, but he is probably best suited as a left end, who can be strong at the point of attack. He’s a good bookend to Kerrigan, and gives Tampa a defensive front 4 that can grow together and become a dominate force.

52. New York Giants: FS Rahim Moore, UCLA-

Safety isn’t the biggest need for the Giants, then again it isn’t their biggest strength as well. While there might be more glaring needs, the Giants do appreciate value, and I could see them grabbing Moore here given his value relative to the draft position. If the Giants safeties continue to struggle, Moore gives the team the depth to make the necessary change.

53. Indianapolis Colts: DT Marvin Austin, North Carolina-

The Colts addressed their OT need (well at least half of it) in the first round. They will need to try to fix their DT need in the 2nd. Austin, has some red flags heading into this offseason, but so far he seems to be doing all the right things to answer those questions about him. If he checks out, the Colts should be highly interested in him. Austin would be a good fit in the middle of the Colts line and should cause all sorts of disruptions in the opposing backfield.

54. Philadelphia Eagles: G/T Marcus Cannon, TCU-

The Eagles need to upgrade the right side of their offensive line, and Cannon is the best lineman on the board. While he might be best suited for guard, (which is still a need) look for the Eagles to give him a legitimate shot at tackle.

55. Kansas City Chiefs: WR Leonard Hankerson, Miami-

Hankerson could be nabbed earlier, but if he does last this long then I think the Chiefs will be quite thrilled. Kansas City needs to keep adding quality targets to Matt Cassel’s arsenal and Hankerson would be a good fit. Hankerson isn’t the biggest or fastest receiver, but he should excel at the next level. The one real concern is his hands as at times he loses concentration and will have a multi-drop game, but otherwise he looks like a very good starting WR.

56. New Orleans Saints: OLB Bruce Carter, North Carolina-

The Saints have a major need at weakside linebacker and Carter is one of the best LB’s in this class, making this both a value and a need pick. Carter has the skill set to be an instant starter and should help upgrade the Saints defense.

57. Seattle Seahawks: CB Ras-I Dowling, Virginia-

The Seahawks need to add a corner in the first two rounds of the draft, as there secondary got torched last season. Dowling has some injury concerns, and has disappeared at times, but he has incredible potential. If he can stay healthy he projects as a number 1 corner, capable of shadowing the league’s top receivers.

58. Baltimore Ravens: WR Titus Young, Boise State-

The Ravens receiving corps is vastly improved, but they are still looking for that home run threat. Young would be that speed weapon and a perfect compliment to Boldin and Mason. Young still needs to work on his secondary skills (getting out of breaks, route running, and working against press coverage), but he has the potential to be a star.

59. Atlanta Falcons: WR Jerrel Jernigan, Troy:

Although the Falcons need another DE to compliment John Abraham, I’m thinking they continue to add weapons on offense. Roddy White is a great receiver, but the rest of their pass catchers are in need of an upgrade. Jernigan offers a legitimate burner for Matt Ryan and someone who will stretch the field, which should help open up the middle for the Falcons tight ends.

60. New England: RB Mikel Leshoure, Illinois:

The Patriots have a lot of picks to play with, so I see them going best player available with this pick and adding another weapon. While their ground game was nice last season, it didn’t have an elite feel to it, and it let them down when it mattered most. While the Pats have some talent in the backfield I really don’t think anyone of them is a legit number one tailback. Leshoure has that number one back potential, and is a steal late in the 2nd round.

61. San Diego Chargers (from New York Jets): OT James Carpenter, Alabama-

The Chargers could use an upgrade on the right side of their line, and while Carpenter isn’t projected as a top 2 round guy, his draft stock is moving up and he is a good fit here. I think Carpenter has a lot of potential and could be the answer the Chargers are looking for at their right tackle spot.

62. Chicago Bears: CB Jimmy Smith, Colorado-

When you face Aaron Rodgers twice a season you better be prepared. Although the Bears could go in a number of directions I see them going corner with this pick. If Jimmy Smith is available I think Chicago will be more than happy to add him to their ‘Rodgers prevention’ unit. Smith has the ability to be an elite corner, but red flags will make him fall. If Chicago doesn’t see any major concerns, I think he is a great value at this pick.

63. Pittsburgh Steelers: OG Jason Pinkston, Pittsburgh-

The Steelers desperately need to improve their offensive line this offseason, and adding a G like Pinkston will go a long way to helping. While Pinkston was a tackle in college, he likely fits best on the inside. I really like his upside and considering he was a local product the Steelers will have plenty of knowledge of what he brings to the table. The Steelers do need a corner, but I think they might go guard here and corner in the next round.

64. Green Bay Packers: OLB Brooks Reed, Arizona-

Reed has been compared to Clay Matthews, so adding him to Packers LB corps could just be scary. I don’t think Reed is as elite as Matthews, but he is a relentless pass rusher who gets after the quarterback. If the Packers can get a book end to Matthews their defense could very well be unstoppable. I know some people rank Reed higher, and I could see him going a few spots higher, but I really don’t see him going too much higher than this pick, given the talent at other positions.

Round 1 Picks 1-16
Round 1 Picks 17-32
Round 3
Round 4

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3: Round 4

17. New England Patriots (From Oakland): WR Jon Baldwin, Pittsburgh-

The Patriots could look to go in a number of directions here, including DE (the 3-4 variety), RB, WR, OT, OG, or Rush LB, and I think they will take the best player available at one of those needs. Although I would typically look for them to fill one of their defensive needs, I’d be a little shocked if they let Jon Baldwin get past them. Baldwin has big time speed and play making ability, and he could be the perfect replacement for Randy Moss.While I know there are some concerns about his attitude, overall I think Baldwin will be an exceptional addition and offer great value to the Pats.

New England is a prime candidate to trade up (or even trade down), but right now I think Watt is their prime choice.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OLB Aldon Smith

Feb. 18th update: The Patriots will give Cam Jordan a long hard look, as well as Julio Jones. I think Watt is still their pick and he will be an immediate starter.

Feb. 25th update: Watt almost looks like he was born to be a Patriot, and while there are some other interesting options I still see this as they way they go.

Mar. 2nd: Watt blew up the combine, but unfortunately for him so did a number of other players. Watt is basically a borderline top 10 talent, so getting him at 17 is fantastic value.

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection, DE J.J. Watt

18. San Diego Chargers: DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin-

With the Patriots passing on J.J. Watt, San Diego lands a player worth of a top 10 pick in the 2nd half of round 1. The Chargers could consider an offensive lineman or receiver here, but defensive end is their biggest need and Watt should fill it exceptionally well.

pick change, Jan. 25th previous pick: DE J.J. Watt

pick change, Feb. 3rd previous pick: WR Julio Jones

Feb. 25th update: I’d still be pretty shocked to see Jordan fall this far, but it is possible. If he does the Chargers almost have to take him.

pick change:Feb. 24th previous selection DE Cam Jordan.

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection OLB Robert Quinn

Mar. 20th update: Watt is a great fit for San Diego and a steal if they can land him this late.

19. New York Giants: OLB Akeem Ayers, UCLA-

Although a number of teams could target Ayers, I see him falling a little bit, since he is more of a 4-3 OLB, than a 3-4. Sure he rushes the passer, but guys like Smith and Miller do it better. Ayers plays better in coverage and diagnosing runs, making him a more ideal fit for a 4-3 team. The Giants desperately need to upgrade their back 7 (and could also look DT). He can be useful blitzing the quarterback, but can go out in coverage as well. He would be a big upgrade for the G-men, and should be able to start from day 1.

Feb. 3rd update: Giants still will look at a few other positions, but I don’t see them passing up Ayers and a big upgrade to that defense.

Feb. 17th update: I know some people are looking for the Giants to take an offensive lineman , but I don’t see it in the first round. Not with Ayers on the board.

Feb. 25th update: Ayers to the Giants is one of the biggest no-brainers in this draft, and barring them landing a top LB in free agency I can’t see how they look elsewhere.

Mar. 2nd update: I wasn’t thrilled with Ayers at the Combine, and considered moving him down, but I think what is more likely is he is now the late teens-early 20′s player, that I’ve been slotting him as. He still is a great fit for the G-Men, and should be near the top of their draft board.

Mar. 6th update: I’m still enough of a believer in Ayers to keep him at this spot, but I think his hold of it is tenuous at best.

Mar. 2oth update: I’ve been a little concerned about Ayers straight line speed, but I think that matters a bit less in a 4-3 than a 3-4. I still think Ayers is a solid pick here, and a fit for the Giants.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue-

I’ve been mocking them an offensive tackle for some time, but I really think Tampa could be happy with Ryan Kerrigan. He has fallen some in my book and this is a bit high for him, but he can get after the quarterback. Sacks didn’t come easy for the Buccaneers last season, and that has to change for them to take their game to the next level and become a playoff team. I worry about Kerrigan in the ground game, but I do still like him as a pass rusher.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OT Nate Solder

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection OT Gabe Carimi

Mar. 2nd update: Kerrigan blew up at the Combine, and really showed great athleticism. He even answered some questions about standing up as an OLB. I think Kerrigan is a great fit for Tampa and should be a fantastic pass rusher at the next level.

Mar. 6th update: I think Tampa would be thrilled with Kerrigan, and it will take something pretty spectacular to make them look in a different direction.

Mar. 20th update: Kerrigan is a great fit for their system, and he should greatly increase the amount of pressure the Bucs get on the opposing quarterbacks next season.

21. Kansas City Chiefs: OLB/DE Justin Houston, Georgia-

The Chiefs might be desperate for a receiver, but there is no one on the board here worth taking. I realize that they have been drafting pretty steady on defense of late, but they do have their tight end, running back, and quarterback (at least they believe so) positions set. Offensive line looks pretty good assuming they resign their free agents (not big name stars so I see them coming back). Receiver is a big issue, but it will need to be addressed in free agency to find a real fix. I think the Chiefs will look to add another pass rusher to compliment Hali, and Houston is a great fit. While the Chiefs defense did a lot of things well this season they were really a one man show when it came to rushing the passer. If they can add a second threat it will strengthen the entire defense.

Feb. 3rd Update: The Chiefs still are in need of a complement to Hali, and I think Houston is the perfect fit for them.

Feb. 18th Update: Justin Houston still looks like a great pick for the Chiefs, though Julio Jones will tempt them. If they have not added anyone via free agency, Jones could be the pick, otherwise Houston and Hali will wreck havoc on the AFC West.

Feb. 24th update: 3-4′s succeed because of their line (which is improving) and their pass rush, adding Houston ensures the latter of those two is going to be very good.

Mar. 2nd update: Houston I thought put together a very nice Combine, and showed well in both the athletic and positional drills. Houston is firming up a spot in the top 20-25 rankings and is a good fit in K.C.

Mar. 6th update: This is a slight reach for the Chiefs, but I still don’t see why they wouldn’t want a bookend to Hali.

Mar. 20th update: I like Houston probably a bit more than most people and don’t see this a a true reach. I also think Houston is a great fit for the 3-4 and that he will excel there.

22. Indianapolis Colts: OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College-

I finally gave in and now have the Colts taking an offensive tackle. They could take one in free agency, but they might not want to pay the high price tag with having to resign Peyton this offseason. Look for the Colts to add a good defensive player or two in free agency to allow them to take an OT. Castonzo I thought preformed well at the Scouting Combine, and looked to be the 2nd best tackle in the draft. I don’t think he is the perfect tackle, but he should be a day one starter and protect Peyton’s blindside for a number of years.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DT Stephen Paea

Feb. 18th update: I realize I’m going against the grain here as most people have them targeting a tackle. I just feel strongly the Colts will use free agency and the rest of the draft to fill their OT need. Ballard is a great fit for them and fills a huge need.

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection DT Christian Ballard

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection OT Gabe Carimi

Mar. 6th update: While DT is still a real possibility, if they have a shot at Castonzo, I can’t see them passing it up. Protecting Manning and getting some help for the ground game is a top priority.

Mar. 20th update: Castonzo is exactly what the Colts need, and I think something special would have to occur for them to change this pick.

23. Philadelphia Eagles: CB Brandon Harris, Miami-

The Eagles have a pressing need at offensive tackle and I’m not buying their faith in Winston Justice, but I am starting to think they might look elsewhere in the draft. Corner back is almost as big of a need as offensive line, and Brandon Harris has great starting potential. Given the level of talent of the Cowboys and Giants receiving corps, the Eagles need to matchup if they want to stay competitive.

Feb. 3rd update: Although I’d personally prefer Carimi, I’m thinking Sherrod will go higher in the draft. Unless they upgrade OT in free agency the Eagles need to strengthen that line.

Feb. 18th update: Sherrod could move a little higher, but this seems like a good spot for him. If the Eagles haven’t addressed their corner need a guy like Brandon Harris is a legitimate option.

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection OT Derrek Sherrod

Mar. 2nd update: Jimmy Smith has some red flags, but the Eagles have been known to take chances on people. He has fantastic talent so they are getting an elite player, but there are some serious questions.

Mar. 6th update: Jimmy Smith on talent alone is a top 15 player, but his character concerns will likely get him to slip the Eagles.

pick change: Mar. 6th previous selection Jimmy Smith

24. New Orleans Saints: G/C Mike Pouncey, Florida-

I think Mark Ingram would have been their pick if he was available. But, with him off the board and the Saints filling their DT need with Shaun Rogers, I could see them looking to upgrade their offensive line. Yes they already have two of the best guards in the league, but Carl Nicks is a restricted free agent, and I’m not sure if they are willing to have both of their guards signed to massive contracts. If they land Pouncey, they could look to trade Nicks, before he is an unrestricted free agent next season. Even if they keep Nicks, they could always start Pouncey at center where, there current starter, Jonathan Goodwin is also currently a free agent.

Feb. 3rd update: More and more I’m thinking the Saints will look at Ingram with this pick. Their lack of a consistent running game is their only flaw on offense. And while the running back by committee approach worked two years ago, this year was a fairly big disaster. Ingram alleviates that, and can be the true feature back for them.

pick change: Feb 18th previous selection RB Mark Ingram

Feb. 24th update: There are a couple ways the Saints could go, but adding a DT, could really bring this defense together. I know it is a number of years straight taking a defensive player first, but without another first round quality running back, I can’t see that trend changing.

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection DT Drake Nevis

Mar. 6th update: Pouncey is somewhat of a luxury pick, but it allows them to have multiple options. It is never a bad strategy to strengthen their offensive line, so I see this a real possibility.

Mar. 20th update: I know some Saints fans aren’t happy with the Pouncey pick, but it is great value and really secures the long term future for the Saints offensive line.

25. Seattle Seahawks: DT Corey Liuget, Illinois-

The Seahawks have a number of needs so I think they will go with the best player available strategy, and at this point no player has more value than Liuget. Liuget has the makings of a star defensive tackle. While he could potentially play outside in a 3 man front, his best position is DT. Seattle could be looking at losing their best D-lineman in DT Brandon Mebane, so Liuget could possibly be his replacement. Even if they keep Mebane, pairing him with Liuget would be a nightmare for opposing offenses.

pick change: previous selection DE Cameron Jordan

Feb. 17th update: Aaron Williams still makes sense at this pick, though D-line is still an option. A lot could depend on whether or not they bring Brandon Mebane back at DT, if he leaves there is a pretty big hole for the Seahawks to fill.

Feb. 24th update: I still like Williams with this pick, but with so many needs, it is very possible they go in a different direction.

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection CB Aaron Williams

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection QB Jake Locker

Mar. 20th update: This is a great value pick for the Seahawks, and they add a great young talent in the middle of their defensive line.

26. Baltimore Ravens: CB Aaron Williams, Miami-

The Ravens have one of the elite defenses in the league, but their corner back play is still average at best. Williams is a bigger more physical corner, but he can still cover quicker guys. He probably won’t develop into an elite corner, but he should be a good starter.

Feb. 3rd update: Ravens could target defensive line or linebacker, but I’m fairly confident this pick is on defense. CB remains their biggest need and Harris is a good fit for them.

Feb. 17th update: This is pure need over desire. Julio Jones would look nice in a Ravens uniform, but they have to fill that hole at CB.

Feb. 24th update: Corner back has to be number one on the Ravens wish list, and Harris is good value at this spot.

Mar. 2nd update: I think Harris is quickly becoming the 3rd best corner in this draft class. He looks to be a playmaker at the next level and shouldn’t disappoint Ravens fans.

Mar. 6th update: Harris has a lot of upside and while he might not be elite he has the potential to be pretty close to it.

pick change: Mar. 6th previous selection, CB Brandon Harris

27. Atlanta Falcons: TE Kyle Rudolph, Notre Dame-

Although the Falcons need to upgrade their pass rush, there aren’t any good 4-3 ends available at this pick. They could grab a guy like Heyward or Ballard and kick him inside on passing downs, but I’m guessing they go in a different direction. They could target an offensive lineman if they lose one of their starters in free agency, but for now I like Kyle Rudolph with this pick. No it isn’t the wide receiver they are hoping for, but Rudolph, should still be a good weapon in year one, despite being Tony Gonzalez’s understudy. Surround Matt Ryan with as many weapons as possible is key for Atlanta, and Rudolph definitely qualifies.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection TE Kyle Rudolph

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Torrey Smith

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Julio Jones

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection DE Christian Ballard

Mar. 6th update: This is a little high for Rudolph, but he is the perfect fit for the Falcons, and with no DE’s available here that are worth the pick, adding a weapon for Ryan is key.

Mar. 20th update: Rudolph might be coming off an injury, but I really believe he will develop into a weapon at the next level.

28. New England Patriots: OT Derek Sherrod, Miss. St.-

While I like the idea of the Patriots grabbing a playmaker, I’m thinking they will take the more practical approach at take an offensive lineman. Sherrod is 4th on my OT board, but I see him as a guy the Patriots will like. He can play on either side and is more of a pass blocker than a run blocker. The Pats need him, because with Matt Light on the way out, and New England’s once elite offensive line is showing some holes. The Jets exploited some of those weaknesses in the Playoffs, as they were even able to get pressure with 3 and 4 men rushing. Unless the Patriots add a top tackle in free agency, they will have to address it early in the draft.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DE Allen Bailey

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection WR Titus Young

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Torrey Smith

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

Mar. 6th update: Unless they add a FA tackle the Pats need to add a starting caliber guy, and Sherrod is the top guy on the board.

Mar. 20th update: Could the Pats draft two offensive players in the first round? Sure, will they could be another matter. As it stands now Sherrod would be an excellent value pick here and fill a pretty good need.

29. New York Jets: DE Muhammad Wilkerson Temple-

The Jets are likely to lose Shaun Ellis to free agency this offseason leaving a major void along their defensive line. I think this has to be New York’s top priority come draft time, and they should be quite pleased with Wilkerson. I’ve previously had Cameron Heyward here, but his injury could knock him down a peg. Wilkerson is a little raw, but he flashes big time upside, and looks to be effective both against the rush and the pass. He should ensure that the Jets don’t miss Ellis too much, and will help keep this defense among the league’s elite.

Feb. 3rd update: While Heyward’s injury could have him drop into the early 2nd round, I think the Jets will probably look past that. Now of course you never know and a lot will be dependent on how much he can workout before the draft. Right now I still think he is their pick.

Feb. 17th update: Jets franchised Harris and apparently their top targets are their two receivers. It looks as though they could need a corner, but I’m guessing they find another way to fill that need.

Feb. 24th update: A lot will depend on what they lose in free agency, but until then Heyward is the smart pick.

Mar. 2nd update: Heyward is still the tentative pick, but I do believe there are a number of directions the Jets could go.

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection DE Cameron Heyward

Mar. 20th update: I like Wilkerson for the Jets and I think he is going to be the type of guy who starts early in his career.

30. Chicago Bears: OT Nate Solder, Colorado -

Nate Solder is a boom or bust tackle, and I consider him the 5th best OT in the draft. I do think he will go higher than others and remain a first round pick because of that unlimited upside. I liked what I saw from Solder in the offensive lineman drills at the Combine, but his lack of upper body strength does worry me. He’s a good fit for Chicago, given his quickness, but he needs to maintain leverage if he is going to be a star.

pick change: previous selection OT DeMarcus Love

Feb. 17th update: I have some real concerns about Solder, and the more I watch him the less I like, but I am thinking he will still go in the first round. The Bears have a big enough need they, won’t let the concerns about Solder stop them.

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection OT Nate Solder

pick change: Feb. 25th previous selection OT Derek Sherrod

Mar. 6th update: The Bears need to come out of this draft with an offensive tackle, otherwise I really doubt they’ll be able to come anywhere close to replicating their success from last year.

Mar. 20th update: With Solder’s good Pro Day I think he is now locked into the 1st round.

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin-

I’ve had Pouncey going to the Steelers for quite some time, but I could see him off the board by this pick. If that is the case Pittsburgh should waste no time turning in their card for Carimi, who is a perfect fit for them. Last season both of their starting tackles missed a significant amount of time due to injury, so it is a major need for Pittsburgh. Carimi could have been born to play in Pittsburgh as he is a pure road grinder, with a blue collar attitude. He will be devastating in run blocking and more than hold his own in pass blocking. He’s probably a better fit on the right side, but since both tackles need upgraded he fits in Pittsburgh.

Feb. 3rd update: CB and OT are still big needs, but grabbing another interior lineman is key. I don’t think there is anyway they let Pouncey slip by them.

Feb. 17th update: I know the Steelers have a need at corner, but their guards were getting pretty well manhandled in the Super Bowl. Putting the Pouncey boys together will be the best thing for both Roethlisberger and Mendenhall.

Feb. 24 update: I still think Pouncey and Pouncey is a dream scenario for the Steelers offensive line. Now if Willie Colon or Ike Taylor leave it could change their strategy.

pick change: previous selection OG Mike Pouncey

Mar. 6th update: I love the Carimi to the Steelers idea. I think he is just the blue collar, power running guy that they are looking for.

Mar. 20th update: Carimi will likely get passed up as a RT only in most systems, but in Pittsburgh’s power scheme he could play on the blind side.

32. Green Bay Packers: WR Torrey Smith, Maryland-

This is a bit of a luxury pick, but it makes sense as well. I know the Packers have some defensive and offensive line issues, but they also could have a huge issue developing at WR. James Jones is a free agent, and I’m guessing he’ll get priced out of what the Packers are willing to pay. On top of Jones leaving, Donald Driver is coming off his worst season and might only have one more year left. A good young receiver like Torrey Smith, does make some sense for the Packers. Their window is now, and adding weapons for Aaron Rodgers has to be a top priority. Smith has the speed and quickness to help stretch the field, and be a home run threat.

Feb. 3rd update: Packers could go in a different direction, but I think Liuget makes a lot of sense for them still.

pick change: Feb. 3rd previous selection DE/DT Corey Liuget

pick change: Feb. 18th previous selection WR Titus Young

Mar. 2nd update: I thought Smith had a pretty good Combine overall and should make a strong case for being the Packers pick. They could look at another area, but I think the idea of adding a top weapon will prevail.

Mar. 6th update: This is a pick that could go in any number of directions, but the Packers are pretty definite to lose James Jones this season, so they could look long and hard at WR.

Mar. 20th update: I’ll be pretty shocked if the Packers would leave Smith still on the board. He is a good value here and a big weapon upgrade than some of the Packers current receivers.

Round 1 Picks 1-16
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4

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MOCK DRAFT: Round 1: 17-32: Round 2: Round 3: Round 4

*Now Updated with the First Four Rounds!

1. Carolina Panthers: DT Marcell Dareus, Alabama-

With no Andrew Luck in the mix the Panthers, will go to plan B, which is to choose from one of the elite defensive players in the draft or wide receiver A.J. Green. There might be a big push for the Panthers to go for Green, given their need for a play making receiver (especially to help in the development of Jimmy Claussen), but I think that would be a big mistake. The Panthers have spent a number of draft picks on  receivers the last few years, and while Green is better than all of them, that is just too many resources to put into one position, especially when they have so many other holes. While there are some people who will point to Cam Newton as the answer, he simply isn’t a franchise quarterback of the ilk of Peyton Manning.

While I considered Bowers for the top spot, and have had Fairley there before I think Dareus makes the most sense. While the Panthers could use star DE Charles Johnson, he also might no longer fit in their system. New HC Ron Rivera has talked about employing both the 4-3 and the 3-4. That would make Dareus the be perfect fit for the the Panthers as he as adept to playing both inside at tackle and outside as a 3-4 end. While it isn’t his primary position, Dareus could even play some NT as well. Wherever he is lining up, Dareus projects to be a force at the next level. He should be an excellent run defender and put more than ample pressure on the quarterback.

Feb. 1st update: Still think Fairley is the pick here, combine, workouts and background work will all be crucial. The reports about his attitude are troubling, but not sold yet that it changes anything.

Feb. 17th update: No change at the top Fairley is still the best fit for the Panthers.

Feb. 24th update: Bowers is gaining some steam, especially if they lose Johnson. But Fairley is still the best fit for the Panthers.

Mar. 2nd update: It wasn’t the greatest combine for Fairley, but I hardly think it was the worst. Dareus might be moving up, but DT is a huge need and Fairley still has the best game tape.

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection, DT Nick Fairley

Mar. 20th update: Dareus still makes the most sense for the Panthers, though persistent rumors about quarterbacks worry me. Carolina has a lot of needs so this could go a number of directions, but for me Dareus is the top player in this draft and a HUGE need for the Panthers.

2. Denver Broncos: DE Da’Quan Bowers, Clemson-

With the Broncos officially resigning Champ Bailey, I think corner back slides a few notches down their needs list. The Broncos need help along the defensive line, and while initially I thought either Fairley or Dareus, would be the pick here, I think Bowers is the best fit. Bowers is the rare combination of a DE, who has the size and bulk to hold up in the running game, and get effective pressure on the quarterback. The Broncos still need a DT (actually two of them), but would be better served with drafting one with one of their two 2nd round picks. Bowers and Dumervil would give Denver the book end pass rushers that every team is looking for.

Feb. 1st update: Still think CB is the pick here and believe that Amukamara is that guy.

Feb. 17th update: Still like Prince over Peterson, but Peterson is closing the gap for me. Also think Denver could be the type of team that prefers Peterson. I keep Prince up here for now, but it is getting close.

pick change: previous selection Feb. 17th CB Prince Amukamara

pick change: previous selection Feb. 24th DE Da’Quan Bowers

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection DT Marcell Dareus

Mar. 20th update: Fairley is working his way back up the draft boards and Denver could go for a stud young corner, but getting a bookend to Dumervil makes a lot of sense. It is a deeper DT draft than it is a DE draft so the Broncos would be wise to take the top end in this class.

3. Buffalo Bills: OLB Von Miller, Texas A&M-

As the days go by Miller’s stock keeps rising and rising, to the point that I just can’t see the Bills passing on him. I know they could go QB here, or the top corner on their board, but Miller is an elite talent and fills a major need. He’s making it harder and harder for the Bills to pass him up, to the point that I just can’t see it happening.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OLB Robert Quinn

pick change: Feb. 1st previous selection OLB Von Miller

Feb. 24th update: I’m not buying the Newton to Buffalo rumors, though I guess anything is possible considering they took Spiller last year. The Bills I think will look DE/OLB/CB before considering Newton. I like Dareus more than most and say he is probably the best fit for a 3-4 team.

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection DE/DT Marcell Dareus

Mar. 6th update: I think this is maybe a little high, but the Bills could use a CB upgrade and Peterson looks like a star.

pick change: Mar. 6th previous selection CB Patrick Peterson

4. Cincinnati Bengals: QB Cam Newton, Auburn-

While wide receiver could be the pick, or DE with Bowers on the board, I’m thinking the Bengals bite the bullet and grab Newton. Newton’s workout was a start, and if he follows it up with a big combine and pro day he will likely be picked in the top 5. If the Bengals can’t convince Palmer to come back and play, they will look for his replacement. Personally, I think that this is far too high for Newton, but some team will pull the trigger on him. It will be tough to pass up A.J. Green, but it could end up happening with Newton on the board.

Feb. 1st update: Yes quarterback could be an issue if Palmer follows through with his trade demands, but I don’t think there is anyone worth taking at this spot.

pick change: Feb. 1st selection WR A.J. Green

Feb. 24th update: I still see Newton as the fit in Cincinnati, although personally I think it is far too early for Newton.

Mar. 2nd update: Newton isn’t a top 10 quarterback, but I see the Bengals over drafting him. I really believe Palmer is done in Cincinnati, and Newton will be his eventual replacement.

Mar. 6th update: If there is one top 5 team that would pick Newton it has to be the Bengals. They need to move on from Palmer and they don’t mind taking a risk on guys.

Mar. 20th update: This is one of those things that makes too much sense for it not to happen. The Bengals are the type of team that will overvalue Newton and be ‘wowed’ by his athletic ability.

5. Arizona Cardinals: CB Patrick Peterson, LSU-

In some ways I think the Cardinals are ‘Von Miller or bust’ with this top 5 pick. While Peterson, would be excellent value and strengthen the team, he doesn’t represent a major need. While QB is a major need, I don’t see the Cards as players for Newton, and Gabbert might be too rich at the 5th pick for them. Given the depth of quarterbacks the Cardinals should be able to find a good young prospect in the 2nd or 3rd rounds. While there are other talented pass rushers in Quinn and Smith I don’t see the Cards pulling the trigger here. Arizona also desperately needs offensive tackles, but this is a bit rich for Tyron Smith, though I gave it fairly strong consideration.

In my opinion if Miller is off the board, look for Arizona to move down, either for a team that wants Peterson, or Gabbert (with Fairley or Green intriguing guys to move up for as well). If they keep the pick Peterson is an option, but more for value than need.

pick change: Jan. 25 Previous selection CB Patrick Peterson

pick change: Feb. 1st previous selection OLB Robert Quinn

Feb. 24th update: Miller will need to have a big combine to secure this top 5 spot, but I believe that he will, and the Cards will be quite happy with their selection.

Mar. 2nd update: Miller looked very good at the combine, and while he was a little stiff in the hips he will spend most of his time in opponents backfields, so I don’t see that turning off the Cardinals.

Mar. 6th update: Some will push for the Cards to add a QB, but I just don’t see that happening. Miller is an elite talent and barring an injury should be the Cards pick.

pick change: Mar. 6th previous selection OLB Von Miller

6. Cleveland Browns: WR A.J. Green, Georgia-

The Browns have two major needs (WR and DE) and either one could make sense for this pick. I have previously linked them to both a receiver and defensive end, but now I believe they will look receiver first. Although I don’t normally advocate receivers over more important positions, like the defensive line, it is hard to argue against Green. Green has the skill set and potential to be the next elite receiver in this league. Given the Browns lack of a quality wide receiver, Green makes a lot of sense for them. Although, they could still look at DE with a guy like Robert Quinn or Aldon Smith, I think Green is too good to pass up.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection WR Julio Jones

Feb. 17th update: There is a chance Bowers could be off the board, but I still am pretty strong on this pick. He is the perfect fit for the 4-3 and is a huge need for the Browns. A.J. Green is a very real option for the Browns here, and I could move him back up dependent on his combine.

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection DE De’Quan Bowers

Mar. 2nd update: With Julio Jones’ performance at the combine he could be fighting Green to be the first receiver selected. I think Green still is the top choice and will end up being the Brown’s choice.

Mar. 6th update: I still like Green more than Jones and feel he is the perfect weapon for the Browns to help develop Colt McCoy.

Mar. 20th update: With Nick Fairley’s strong Pro Day, I’m considering him strongly for this spot, but the Browns should be able to fill their DT need in the 2nd round. I think Green is too good to pass up at this spot.

7. San Francisco 49ers: QB Blaine Gabbert, Missouri-

I’ve had the 49ers taking a quarterback for awhile, but we could be looking at an extended lockout that could make it difficult to land an established veteran. If that is the case the 49ers could very well look at Gabbert. Gabbert isn’t totally NFL ready, but he is fairly close, and he isn’t likely to be a complete bust. Given the talent on defense, San Francisco, could hope to forgo, adding an elite corner.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection, QB Blaine Gabbert

Feb. 17th update: I could see the 49ers look long and hard at both Gabbert and Robert Quinn with this pick, but right now I can’t see them not taking Peterson, who is a steal at 7 and a perfect playmaker.

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection CB Patrick Peterson

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection CB Prince Amukamara

Mar. 6th update: Gabbert is a good pick for the 49ers and can help begin the revival of that franchise. I think he will need a little time, but he should be a quick study under Harbaugh.

Mar. 20th update: I have very mixed feelings about grabbing Gabbert here, but I think Harbaugh wants a young signal caller and Gabbert is the best in this class.

8. Tennessee Titans: DT Nick Fairley, Auburn-

The Titans have been searching for an inside pass rusher for a couple years now, and now they finally have one in Nick Fairley. Fairley is a top 5 talent, but one that could slip since he isn’t as good of a fit in the 3-4. Fairley will be a big boost to the Titans pass rush, that could be hurting from the potential loss of Jason Babin. Tennessee needs a disruptor along their defensive line and that fits Fairley perfectly.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DE De’Quan Bowers

Feb. 17th update: It is really hard to say what direction the Titans go, but Gabbert has got to be on their short list. I don’t think he is a great quarterback prospect, but I do like the upside.

Feb. 24th update: I really don’t love this pick for the Titans, but it is hard not to go with it. They desperately need a quarterback, and at least have some talent around him on offense.

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection: QB Blaine Gabbert

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection: WR Julio Jones

Mar. 20th update: The Titans have other needs, but I can’t see Fairley sliding any further than this.

9. Dallas Cowboys: CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska-

The Cowboys have many needs, but I see them going hard after a corner back in this draft. I think Amukamara is the best CB, in this class and an absolute steal for them at this pick. Personally I think Amukamara is the best corner in this draft and will automatically revitalize their secondary.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection, OT Tyron Smith

pick change: Feb. 1st previous selection, DE Marcel Dareus

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection, OT Tyron Smith

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection, CB Patrick Peterson

Mar. 6th update: When you have Hakeem Nicks, and DeSean Jackson in your division you need to find a way to matchup. Even Rex Grossman threw for 400 yards against this Cowboys secondary, so CB is definitely a need.

Mar. 20th update: Cowboys could be a prime team to trade up for Peterson, but I think they will be quite content with their ‘consolation’ prize in Amukamara

10. Washington Redskins: OLB/ DE Aldon Smith, Missouri-

While a lot of people will try to ‘mock’ the Redskins a quarterback, that is not the direction this team should be going in. I could also see the Redskins as a prime team to trade back, given their vast needs and small number of picks, but I’m not predicting trades in this mock. In this version of the draft, I have A.J. Green available, which I know a number of fans would jump at, but that too is the wrong choice. The Redskins need to fix their offensive line, and their front 7 on defense, to become a contender. Until then it doesn’t matter who they have at receiver, since the quarterback will never get the ball to him.

I’ve had a 5 technique defensive end mocked here the last two weeks, but I’m going to change my tune a little and go with Aldon Smith. Smith will complement Orakpo on the other side and give the Redskins an incredible pass rush tandem. While defensive end is a priority it is such a deep draft that you can get a really good one in the 2nd round. I think Robert Quinn will get some looks here as well, but Smith might be a better fit.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection DE Marcell Dareus

pick change: Feb. 1st previous selection DE Cam Jordan

Feb. 24th update: The more I see of Smith the more I love him, I think he is going to be a dominate pass rusher at the next level.

Mar. 2nd update: I thought Smith had a great combine and really began to separate himself for me.

Mar. 6th update: I know I’m a lot higher on Smith than most, but I think 3 years from now when you look back at this draft he will end up being a top 10 player.

Mar. 20th update: I know in this scenario most people would peg Jones or Quinnf for this pick, but I think Smith has a real chance of being something special.

11. Houston Texans: OLB Robert Quinn, North Carolina-

Houston will be in the midst of transitioning to a 3-4 defense, and with no corner back to take they should focus this pick on grabbing a front 7 player. This pick should come down to either a rush linebacker or a 3-4 DE. I go back and forth about which position the Texans should address, but if they feel like Quinn can stand up, then he has to be their pick. The Texans have at least average defensive ends, but they don’t have much in the way of pass rush specialists. I know they plan is to use Mario Williams in a hybrid formation, and that could work, but they need someone who is more natural at the position. I still have some doubts about Quinn, but he does have the upside to be an elite pass rusher, and that is exactly what the Texans need.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OLB Von Miller

pick change: Feb. 1st previous selection OLB Aldon Smith

Feb. 24th update: The Texans could look to move up or down in this draft, but adding an elite pass rusher is paramount as they make the 3-4 switch.

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection OLB Robert Quinn

Mar. 6th update: Cam Jordan is a great fit for the Texans and upgrading that line with 3-4 players is key. A pass rusher is possible, but Jordan is too good to pass up

pick change: Mar. 16th previous selection, DE Cam Jordan

12. Minnesota Vikings: OLB Cameron Jordan, California-

While Cameron Jordan isn’t a prototypical 4-3 defensive end, he is still quick enough to rush effectively from that position. Jordan’s ability to play inside, fits well with the Vikings since he can move inside to replace Pat Williams on passing downs. Adding Jordan to the front line, will go a long way to helping the Vikings defense return to elite status.

Feb. 1st update: I realize there are some Vince Young to the Vikings rumors, but I still see Newton as the pick here until that happens.

pick change: Feb. 1st pevious selection QB Cam Newton

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection WR A.J. Green

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection WR Jon Baldwin

pick change: Mar. 2nd previous selection DE Da’Quan Bowers

pick change:Mar. 6th previous selection DE Robert Quinn

13. Detroit Lions: OT Tyron Smith, USC-

I know corner and linebacker are need spots, but they aren’t anything compared to Detroit’s need at left tackle. What the Lions have done in terms of protecting (or not protecting) Matt Stafford is flat out insane. You spend $60 million on a guy and you put him in a situation where he can’t succeed and needs to run for his life. The Lions have to fix that this offseason and grabbing Smith would be a smart move. In addition to the pain the offensive line has caused their quarterbacks, the Lions running game hasn’t fared much better. Their backs have one of the worst yards per carry in the league, and can never pick up the tough yards. I know defense wins championships, but Smith is a top notch talent and can protect Stafford for the next decade.

pick change: Jan. 25th previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

pick change: Feb. 1st previous selection OT Tyron Smith

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection OT Anthony Castonzo

Mar. 2nd update: Smith didn’t do the workouts, but he had an impressive combine nonetheless. Just by weighing in over 300 lbs, he showed that he is a top 15 talent. He will make Matt Stafford a very happy quarterback, and Lions fans should be thrilled that their offensive line is improving.

Mar. 6th update: Smith is still the top tackle on the board and his presence will allow Backus (a better run blocker) kick over to the RT spot, strengthening their line in two areas.

Mar. 20th update:All of the Lions other needs can be addressed in the 2nd-4th rounds, one thing they won’t be able to fix in those rounds is adding a stud LT. That is why Smith has to be the pick here, and any other pick will not do enough

14. St. Louis Rams: WR Julio Jones, Alabama-

The Rams need to walk away from this draft with a frontline receiver, which means they need to address this position in the first round. Now I’m not conceding my personal rankings in terms of who should go first between Julio Jones and Jon Baldwin, but I think it is time to concede the fact that Jones will go first. I think teams will fall in love with his incredible combine numbers, and slightly overdraft Jones. It’s not that I am anit-Jones, its just that I worry about how refined he is. That being said, he will be a major upgrade for the Rams and they will be thrilled to land him with this pick. If they feel he could get drafted earlier, don’t be surprised if St. Louis looks to move up a couple of spots to secure his services.

Feb 1st update: This pick will be either Baldwin or Jones unless the Rams grab a couple big receivers in free agency. They have to add weapons for Bradford and I don’t see them changing course.

Feb. 17th update: I think Baldwin is going to really kill it at the combine and pro day, which will cement this pick. I think there is a case to be made that he is even better than A.J. Green, but I’m guessing Green’s hype wins out.

pick change: Feb. 17th previous selection WR Jon Baldwin

pick change: Feb. 24th previous selection WR Julio Jones

Mar. 6th update: I know some fans don’t like Baldwin too much, but don’t buy the hype, this guy is a stud and just as deserving to go top 15 as Julio Jones. Yes they could go DE or DT here, but I’m a big believer in Baldwin and think he will be the best of the 3 receivers

pick change: Mar. 6th previous selection WR Jon Baldwin

15. Miami Dolphins: RB Mark Ingram, Alabama-

I’ve had Ryan Kerrigan here for a couple of weeks now, but I have to change this to running back and Mark Ingram. I do think the Dolphins need another rush linebacker, it isn’t nearly as pressing of a need. Miami right now doesn’t have anyone capable of significant playing time on their running back depth chart. That means the need someone they know can start, not someone who might be able to start, like a late round pick. If the Dolphins had a 2nd rounder, I’d still maybe hold off. But not having a pick until the 3rd round, puts Ingram right here. I’m not a huge Ingram fan, and would say this is a good 10 spots too high, but he does fill a primary need for the Dolphins.

Feb. 1st update: Still not buying a quarterback here or a running back. If for some reason Gabbert falls I could see him being taken, but no way Mallett or Locker get picked here. Ingram is a nice back, but not top 15 worthy. Dolphins should stay the course and strengthen that defense.

pick change: Feb. 1st previous selection OLB Ryan Kerrigan

Feb. 24th update: I don’t love this Ingram pick, but until the Dolphins do something in their backfield it is hard for me to ignore the position.

Mar. 2nd update: Ingram had a good combine, but I think he needed to show a little more to be a top 15 pick. Right now I’m keeping this pick, but Miami might be better served trading back or filling their need via free agency.

Mar. 6th update: I want to see more out of Ingram to say he is top 15 worthy, but it is such a need for Miami I can’t pass it up.

Mar. 20th update: Ingram is still a fringe top 20 player for me, but Miami’s need is too great to ignore him at this point.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: DE Adrian Clayborn, Iowa:

Clayborn was once thought to be a top 10 pick, but slipped some due to a poor senior campaign. Clayborn’s senior numbers weren’t entirely his fault as teams routinely double teamed him, and ran plays away from the powerful defensive end. Clayborn isn’t a dominate pass rusher, but he has the skills to get between 7-10 sacks a season. Clayborn will help continue to boost a Jacksonville pass rush that let them down when it mattered the most.

Feb. 1st update: Clayborn could be slipping and I nearly had him fall into the 20′s, but still have enough confidence to keep him here. Not participating in the Senior Bowl didn’t help his stock, and at this point unless he has an incredible combine I think the best he can hope for is being taken right here. The Jags could look corner or safety, but my guess is they stay with a lineman.

Feb. 17th update: I still like Clayborn to the Jags, though a guy like Kerrigan could be in the mix as well. Cam Jordan is guy who is falling, but really shouldn’t. He fits better inside on a 4-3, but the Jags could find a place for him. I think Clayborn has the inside edge, and is still a good fit here.

Feb. 24th update: Clayborn fits with the Jags and I think he is their number one target.

Mar. 2nd update: I like Clayborn maybe more than most, but I thought he looked pretty good at the Combine. I think the Jags will be in the market for a DE, and right now Clayborn is at the top of my list.

Mar. 6th update: Clayborn makes a lot of sense at this pick and while there are a couple of other respectable options I really think this is the way they go.

Mar. 20th update: I’m very close to switching this pick to Ryan Kerrigan, and I debated long and hard about the merits between the two defensive ends. In the end I just feel Clayborn is the great value and better all around DE, while Kerrigan is the better pure pash rusher.

Round 1 Picks 17-32
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4