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Best Plays GPP – Fan Duel

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Paeno’s Picks: FanDuel GPP Plays

By Staff Writer Joe Paeno:

QB:

QB-Aaron Rodgers $9,100 – Rodgers will be motivated to exploit the Jets weak secondary. Even though Lacy might play, the Jets have a stout Defensive Line, which should encourage the Packers to throw all the more.

QB-Nick Foles $8,500  Foles sputtered last week, but turned it around toward the end.  Foles has a great price this week, and this game is tied for the highest Vegas line, so expect a shootout.

QB- Andy Dalton $7,800 Andy Dalton played well last week and might benefit from Hue Jackson, due to the emphasis on the ground game.  Dalton can be streaky, but his ceiling is very high. Last week, they even had Dalton running the zone read option and pistol formation which was kind of amusing.

QB- Geno Smith $7,400 I have been a secret admirer of Geno Smith this offseason.  After seeing improvement in footwork and reading defenses, he could surprise.  Note: He has publicly stated that the coaching staff wants him to run more, which helps his upside.

QB- Jake Locker $6,900 Jake is seeing the field a little better and just so happens to be playing Dallas this week.  Locker has a very low floor, but if he throws for a couple touchdowns and possibly one on the ground, he has very big upside.

QB VALUE PLAYS

QB- Carson Palmer $6,900- Last weeks box score doesn’t do Palmer justice.  Palmer looked rejuvenated and in much better shape.  Also, there is a lot of upside with Palmer, because Bruce Arians loves to chuck it deep and he has Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd, and John Brown (T.Y. Hilton  JR) to throw to.

 

RB:

RB-Lesean McCoy $9,200 Don’t overreact based upon 1 week.  McCoy is the engine of this offense and Vegas predicts it to be tied for the highest scoring game of the week.

RB- Matt Forte $8,600  Marc Trestman is incredible at putting his best players in the best possible situation.  Last week Forte had 169 total yards, including 8 catches.  Jeffrey and Marshall are banged up, so Forte could get even more work.

RB-$8,100  Montee Ball– KC’s defense is falling apart and Montee Ball should take advantage of that.

RB-$7,800 Giovani Bernard Last week, Hue Jackson used Giovani all over the field and dominated the backfield touches.  He might even get a slight bump in passing targets with Eifert out.

RB VALUE PLAYS:

RB-Terrance West $5,300 – Ben Tate  went down and Terrance West stepped in and looked great.  He showed quick burst, agility, and a great fit for the zone scheme.

Contrarian RB: Lorenzo Taliaferro $4,500 This could be several weeks early, but I expect the Ravens 4th Rd draft pick to eventually take over the lionshare of carries in Baltimore.  With Ray Rice cut, Pierce benched, and Forsett is better suited for a change of pace (COP) role… Why not now? This is strictly for a large entry field that you are ok with losing your entry fee.  Refer to my bankroll management and GPP strategy articles as a refresher.

Contrarian RB: Jeremy Hill $4,900 Where did all of that pre-season hype go after last week? Hue Jackson didn’t forget and reportedly apologized to Hill and promised him more opportunities moving forward. Oh and by the way, the Saints ran all over the Falcons soft defense, including 3 TD’s.


WR:

WR Calvin Johnson $9,200- Matt Stafford and Megatron are out for blood.  If Detroit can keep Stafford upright, then Calvin should continue to offer fantasy winning upside like last week.

WR Demaryius Thomas $8,7000  Manning looked for Julius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders a lot more last week.  Look for Manning to target

WR AJ Green $8,500  Green draws a nice matchup vs. the Falcons.  Also, Green should retain or improve his targets with Eifert out and only Sanu, Gresham, and Bernard as any real competition.

WR Jordy Nelson $7,900 – Last week, Nelson held his own in Seattle and he gets a much softer matchup facing the Jets secondary.  He led NFL in targets last week with 14, which should translate into more more production

WR Desean Jackson $7,100– I expect Griffin to look much better at home and give him some more time to hit D-Jax on screens and long bombs.

WR VALUE PLAYS:

WR Emmanuel Sanders $6,900- Peyton Manning is at his best when he exploits a matchup that is to the Broncos advantage.  They will continue to move Sanders all over the field to open up their offense.  Don’t hesitate to use Sanders, as he is the cheapest cog in the Broncos elite offense.

WR Kelvin Benjamin $6,600 – Cam Newton is coming back and should look to get his #1 target plenty of opportunities.  He also is their best Red Zone option.

WR Michael Floyd $6,600- Michael Floyd and Palmer displayed great chemistry together on Monday NIght Football.  Palmer loves to chuck it deep in Bruce Arians Offense.

WR Brandon Cooks $6,300- Cooks can be played in cash games and Gpp’s, because he has a high usage rate and a very high ceiling.  Week 1 he showed that he was able to immediately contribute and be targeted frequently.

WR Torrey Smith– $5,900 Thursday Night Games are not always kind for fantasy purposes, but Torrey Smith at $5,900 is an absolute crime.  In a GPP, that is a screaming value.

 

TE:

TE Graham- $8,000- Graham was targeted 10 times in week 1.  Graham’s floor is extremely high, but so is his ceiling making for a great cash game or GPP play. Last week Julius Thomas had a monster week, but Jimmy’s day is coming soon.

TE Julius Thomas $8,100- “Orange Julius” had a monster week 1.  Peyton Manning is likely to spread the love and exploit his opponents deficiencies, so Julius has a lower floor than Graham.

TE VALUE PLAYS:

TE ERTZ $5,600 – I’m all aboard the Zach Ertz train, and if you are smart, you will get aboard NOW.  WAY below market value.

TE GRESHAM $4,500-  Gresham is a great “punt” option at TE this week, with Tyler Eifert on IR.  He has a juicy matchup against the Falcons and although he has a capped ceiling, he has plenty of upside at his minimum price.  He is a good play in Cash Games or Tournaments

TE Kelce $4,600 The Chiefs better get him the rock if they know what’s good for them.  They might not, so hence GPP only.

Defense

Broncos $5,400 vs. Chiefs If you are willing to pay up, Denver could have a big week against the Chiefs offense.  The Chiefs offensive line is in shambles, which makes life difficult for Charles, and they have yet to utilize their future stud Tight End, Travis Kelce.  I expect the Broncos to push the tempo and try to create an early 2 or 3 score lead.  If they can do that, then Denver will be able to unleash their pass rushing hounds (Ware and Von Miller) on the depleted Kansas City O-Line and force multiple sacks and turnovers.

Titans $5,200 vs. Cowboys – Ray Horton is a great defensive coordinator and in week 1 his Defense caused 4 sacks, 3 turnovers, and only allowed 10 points vs. the Chiefs.  Romo will be coming to town, coming off a terrible week 1.

Saints $4,800 vs. Browns- The New Orleans Defense flopped in week 1, but not for a lack of talent.  The Browns run game is very good, but Jordan Cameron is banged up and at this point, Josh Gordon has not returned.

Redskins $4,500 vs. Jaguars- Though not typically known for their defense as of late, Washington played very good defense against the Texans last week.  Losing nose tackle, Barry Cofield will hurt, but the Redskins should still be able to return value.  Best used for a GPP, but they could be in play for cash games if you are looking to pay up for other positions.

 

Kicker

CIN Nugent $5,200 Hit 5 of 6 field goals last week.

PHI Parkey $4,900  PHI vs. IND is tied for the highest point total this week and is played in a dome.

WSH Forbath $4,500- Forbath is a bare minimum price and Washington should be able to move the ball more effectively at home against Jacksonville.

CLE Cundiff $4,500 Minimum price, take him if you don’t want to have Washington D and Forbath in the same lineup

OPTIMAL FAN DUEL GPP LINEUP:

QB- A. Rodgers

RB- T. West

RB- M. Ball

WR-J. Nelson

WR-D. Thomas

WR- M. Floyd

TE- J. Gresham

Def- Saints Defense

K- Cundiff/Forbath

 

—OR—

QB- A. Rodgers

RB- M. Forte

RB- T. West

WR-J. Nelson

WR-M.Floyd (AZ)

WR- K. Benjamin

TE-Gresham

D- Broncos

K-Nugent

 

GPP Contrarian Lineup

QB- Aaron Rodgers/Luck

RB- Matt Forte

RB- Terrance West/ Lorenzo Taliaferro

WR-Nelson/Hilton

WR-Floyd/Desean Jackson

WR-Benjamin/Desean Jackson

TE-Ertz

D-Broncos

K-Parkey